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On Second Thought: Running Backs

A discussion of how my early preseason expectations have changed as we near the start of the regular season

It's hard to believe that we're just a week away from the start of the NFL regular season. For many fans, they're just now starting to pay attention. But for fantasy owners, for FOOTBALLGUYS, we're already many months into our preparation. As one of the contributors to the site's projections, I have had the entire league modeled and projected since late April. Needless to say, a LOT of things happen between then and the beginning of September. I, along with the other staff, tweak our projections and expectations as we go along. But it occurs to me that very little is ever said about the way our opinions change. This article, and others like it, will highlight in a qualitative manner the assumptions that went into my initial projections that have since changed considerably. Enjoy.

On Second Thought...

Devonta Freeman (ATL) and Tevin Coleman (ATL) are a committee

Devonta Freeman was the #1 fantasy back last year in many scoring systems, so it stands to reason the Falcons wouldn’t shy away from featuring him again in 2016. Yet, he faded down the stretch and Tevin Coleman was getting major work before an early season injury. This preseason both backs have been used liberally and while Freeman remains a fantasy RB1, his volume is going to take a hit from Coleman in every game script.