I posted my updated Tier Rankings and Players To Target earlier this week and here are the players I’m avoiding this year. Some of these players are on my list because I don’t think they will help your fantasy team, others because I think they won’t return value given their current average draft positions (ADP).
Additionally, I say this every year, it is important for you to get your guys as opposed to just taking players that may fall to you. By just taking players that fall to you, even using a tiered ranking sheet, you will often end up with a team consisting of players you don’t like or with very little upside. It’s okay to reach for players if they are your guys, as long as you are not reaching too much, and that’s where ADP comes in handy.
With that in mind, here are the players I am avoiding this year:
Devonta Freeman, Falcons (2.08 ADP) – Freeman did most of his damage (and serious damage it was) over only four games last year. As Matthew Berry of ESPN recently pointed out, from Weeks 9 through 17 last season, Tim Hightower and Ameer Abdullah were among the 27 NFL running backs who had more rushing yards than Freeman who averaged a pathetic 3.1 yards per carry over that time frame. Berry went on to add that 46 different players had at least one run of 40-plus yards last season, while Freeman had zero. I will concede that his redzone prowess and pass catching ability provide him a very solid floor in the PPR leagues, but Tevin Coleman will get the ball more than people are expecting, especially after comments from the teams Head Coach, General Manager and Running Back coach all confirming this. Don't read this wrong, I don't hate Freeman as a player, but unless he falls to the 3rd round, I’m taking a high end wide receiver in round 2.