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IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 5

Dave Larkin breaks down the best and worst IDP matchups on the Week 5 slate. 

Each week, this column will take a critical look at key statistical trends to highlight pass rushing and tackle matchups to exploit and avoid. We'll be heavily relying on another great feature at FBG this season, the IDP Matchup Spreadsheet that will be generated by Aaron Rudnicki. That spreadsheet will contain a number of weekly and weekly average statistical measures to help identify those defensive teams who are facing the best and worst opportunity as the season progresses. While this column will include analysis of tackle and pass rush opportunity and matchup data, it's only a fraction of the data available in the spreadsheet. We hope that the Matchup Spreadsheet and this column will join John Norton's weekly IDP projections, Doug Drinen's Matchup Analyzer Tool and our customizable MyFBG function as useful tools to assist in making weekly line-up and waiver wire decisions.

You are very welcome to the Week 5 edition of what will be a season-long look at the best and worst matchups in the IDP landscape based on detailed, accurate spreadsheet data generated by Aaron Rudnicki on a weekly basis.

For those of you who don’t know me, my name is Dave Larkin. I am a veteran IDP player and what some would call a diehard fan of this game of football that we all love so much.

Defense is my passion. Over the past few years, I have assimilated countless pages of data from various sources to hone my knowledge of the defensive side of the football. Each and every week I will study film from the previous week’s games and provide you with nuggets of wisdom that will lead you to a championship.

Let the bye week gauntlet commence! The ingenuity and patience of fantasy owners will be tested over the coming weeks as the standard war of attrition of starting line-ups is further dwindled by the absence of traditional starters by the byes. The next few weeks will define your season, so it is crucial to ensure your line-up is optimized.

As you know if you have read this column before, I am a firm believer that matchups help owners do just that. Pick the right side and you’ve got yourself a winning ticket. Fantasy football is, after all, a week to week proposition.

Absentees don’t have to mean a weakened lineup. So with that in mind, let’s analyze the Week 5 action.

Pass Rushing Matchups to Exploit

Philadelphia pass rushers vs. Arizona

The red-hot Eagles host the Cardinals this week in what could be a one-sided affair. You have all the typical tropes to fall back on, like a West Coast team travelling east in the early time slot – or simply the fact the Cardinals offensive line can’t pass protect to save their lives. Carson Palmer is taken a beating back there, and it should be no surprise Arizona is tied for the lead in most sacks allowed (17). The Eagles pass rush has been playing well, even if the numbers don’t quite bear that out (13.5% pressure applied). All signs point to an Eagles win and a favourable game script, so err on the side of trusting your birds.


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