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IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 17

Dave Larkin shares his insights on the matchups to target and avoid in Week 17. 

Each week, this column will take a critical look at key statistical trends to highlight pass rushing and tackle matchups to exploit and avoid. We'll be heavily relying on another great feature at FBG this season, the IDP Matchup Spreadsheet that will be generated by Aaron Rudnicki. That spreadsheet will contain a number of weekly and weekly average statistical measures to help identify those defensive teams who are facing the best and worst opportunity as the season progresses. While this column will include analysis of tackle and pass rush opportunity and matchup data, it's only a fraction of the data available in the spreadsheet. We hope that the Matchup Spreadsheet and this column will join John Norton's weekly IDP projections, Doug Drinen's Matchup Analyzer Tool and our customizable MyFBG function as useful tools to assist in making weekly line-up and waiver wire decisions.

You are very welcome to the Week 17 edition of what will be a season-long look at the best and worst matchups in the IDP landscape based on detailed, accurate spreadsheet data generated by Aaron Rudnicki on a weekly basis.

For those of you who don’t know me, my name is Dave Larkin. I am a veteran IDP player and what some would call a diehard fan of this game of football that we all love so much.

Defense is my passion. Over the past few years, I have assimilated countless pages of data from various sources to hone my knowledge of the defensive side of the football. Each and every week I will study film from the previous week’s games and provide you with nuggets of wisdom that will lead you to a championship.

For most of you, the season has concluded and you are either crying into your beer bottle as you chew on your favourite snack, or celebrating a well-deserved championship win. However, there are the few among you who have to face the inherent uncertainty and Russian roulette of fantasy unpredictability that is Week 17.

I would encourage anyone playing into Week 17 to lobby hard for your commissioner to change the playoff structure so that seasons finish up in Week 16. That said, the goal here is to dissect the matchups regardless of the week, so it is business as usual.

Let’s finish with a flourish in Week 17 as we dig in for the last time this season.


Pass Rushing Matchups to Exploit

Seattle pass rushers vs. Arizona offensive line

The formula for Pete Carroll’s team is straightforward to reach the playoffs: a win and an Atlanta loss to Carolina. The visit of the Cardinals - who may well produce one last hurrah performance for the likely departing Bruce Arians - won’t be easy, especially considering their recent success in the Pacific North-West. Regardless, sometimes we must overlook narrative and instead focus on the raw numbers, and they say the Arizona line has given up pressure on 17.6% of dropbacks. Expect a strong defensive performance to prime the Seahawks here.

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