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IDP Matchups to Exploit and Avoid: Week 16

Dave Larkin gives his thoughts on the matchups to target and avoid in Week 16. 

Each week, this column will take a critical look at key statistical trends to highlight pass rushing and tackle matchups to exploit and avoid. We'll be heavily relying on another great feature at FBG this season, the IDP Matchup Spreadsheet that will be generated by Aaron Rudnicki. That spreadsheet will contain a number of weekly and weekly average statistical measures to help identify those defensive teams who are facing the best and worst opportunity as the season progresses. While this column will include analysis of tackle and pass rush opportunity and matchup data, it's only a fraction of the data available in the spreadsheet. We hope that the Matchup Spreadsheet and this column will join John Norton's weekly IDP projections, Doug Drinen's Matchup Analyzer Tool and our customizable MyFBG function as useful tools to assist in making weekly line-up and waiver wire decisions.

You are very welcome to the Week 16 edition of what will be a season-long look at the best and worst matchups in the IDP landscape based on detailed, accurate spreadsheet data generated by Aaron Rudnicki on a weekly basis.

For those of you who don’t know me, my name is Dave Larkin. I am a veteran IDP player and what some would call a diehard fan of this game of football that we all love so much.

Defense is my passion. Over the past few years, I have assimilated countless pages of data from various sources to hone my knowledge of the defensive side of the football. Each and every week I will study film from the previous week’s games and provide you with nuggets of wisdom that will lead you to a championship.

This is the most exciting week in fantasy football if you’re involved in what will likely be a nervy, topsy-turvy weekend bedecked in drama, holiday cheer and big hits. More than anything, this week is for taking advantage of opportunities and making the calls that sit best with you.

Make no mistake, you will never hit on all your decisions (if you do, have you considered becoming a professional gambler or something). All you can do is use a combination of data and your gut to do what you’ve hopefully been doing all season – winning games.

Let’s make sure your season doesn’t go up in smoke at the final hurdle by dissecting the Week 16 matchups.


Pass Rushing Matchups to Exploit

Baltimore pass rushers vs. Indianapolis offensive line

‘Tis the season to rush the passer if you’re a Baltimore Ravens player. No matchup will be more welcome at this time of year for the playoff-hungry Ravens than a visit from the Colts, who have surrendered pressure on 24.1% of dropbacks this season. A lot of this can be attributed to Jacoby Brissett’s unwillingness to know when a play is over, instead clinging to the ball and taking sacks. John Harbaugh’s men won’t care, though; a win here will go a long way to securing a coveted playoff berth. This one could be over before it starts.

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