Each week, this column will take a critical look at key statistical trends to highlight pass rushing and tackle matchups to exploit and avoid. We'll be heavily relying on another great feature at FBG this season, the IDP Matchup Spreadsheet that will be generated by Aaron Rudnicki. That spreadsheet will contain a number of weekly and weekly average statistical measures to help identify those defensive teams who are facing the best and worst opportunity as the season progresses. While this column will include analysis of tackle and pass rush opportunity and matchup data, it's only a fraction of the data available in the spreadsheet. We hope that the Matchup Spreadsheet and this column will join John Norton's weekly IDP projections, Doug Drinen's Matchup Analyzer Tool and our customizable MyFBG function as useful tools to assist in making weekly line-up and waiver wire decisions.
You are very welcome to the Thanksgiving edition of what will be a season-long look at the best and worst matchups in the IDP landscape based on detailed, accurate spreadsheet data generated by Aaron Rudnicki on a weekly basis.
For those of you who don’t know me, my name is Dave Larkin. I am a veteran IDP player and what some would call a diehard fan of this game of football that we all love so much.
Defense is my passion. Over the past few years, I have assimilated countless pages of data from various sources to hone my knowledge of the defensive side of the football. Each and every week I will study film from the previous week’s games and provide you with nuggets of wisdom that will lead you to a championship.
Depending on your league’s format, you could be staring down the barrel of your last game, or couple of games, of the fantasy regular season. If you’ve gotten this far and you’re still in the hunt, consider that a success. If you’re on the outside looking in, there’s nothing quite like playing the spoiler role.
Whatever your situation for Week 13, pinpointing the juicy match-ups to target and the stale ones to avoid will be crucial, so let’s dig in.
Pass Rushing Matchups to Exploit
Los Angeles Chargers front seven vs. Cleveland
A match made in heaven may take place for appreciators of pass rush this Sunday, as the hapless Browns visit the upwardly mobile Chargers. Los Angeles’ defense has feasted the past couple of weeks, and there is no reason it can’t do the same here. Everyone wants to believe that Cleveland can stop the rot and notch a victory, but that isn’t likely to happen here. The Browns give up pressure on 20.1% of dropbacks, so expect poor DeShone Kizer to be running for his life all day.
Key stat: The Chargers’ formidable pass rush ranks fourth in the league in sacks (32) and averages 2.8 per game at home. The Browns offensive line has surrendered 3.3 sacks per game.