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Footballguys Staff Superflex Review: Rounds 1-4

A review of rounds 1-4 of the Footballguys staff Superflex mock draft

Ah, two-quarterback leagues. They're catching on like wildfire, no longer reserved for the ultra-involved owner or the fantasy expert. It's easy to see why: A league that allows you to greatly utilize and profit from the QB spot more closely mirrors actual NFL football. In reality, Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger are generally far more crucial to their teams than the likes of Ameer Abdullah and Jarvis Landry, so why not seek to prioritize them similarly in fantasy?

We Footballguys realize this, so we want to provide you with the advice and tools you need to enter into a two-quarterback or a superflex format.

Technically speaking, of course, a superflex league is not necessarily a two-QB format. Rather, it requires (of course) one QB starter, but includes a "super" starting flex spot that's not just for backs, receivers, and tight ends – a quarterback is allowed to fill it. This is huge, because you'll almost always want to use a quarterback there. Unless we're talking about a massively productive and consistent position player – think last year's David Johnson, or Antonio Brown from 2015 – even a mid-range QB is always the smarter (and higher-projected) play. In that flex spot, we're talking about raw points compared from one position to the others, and a QB will almost always outscore At the very least, he'll project much higher, and why not? A QB is all but immune to game flow, or far more so than a position player. Even the LeSean McCoys and T.Y. Hiltons will fluctuate in opportunity and scoring from one week to the next, while even Alex Smith can be counted on for a baseline of 12-15 fantasy points in even the worst of matchups and performances.

Here's a breakdown of 2016's top-15 positional finishes among quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers:

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We can see just how quickly QB scoring takes the cake over that of the other positions, and how even the lower-scoring QBs easily outdid the backup fantasy backs and receivers. But that doesn't even tell the entire tale. There's also consistency to think about, specifically just how often a QB is likely to hit those markers compared to the others. Take our RB7 from above, for example, Devonta Freeman. He was an easy RB1 last year and will almost certainly fetch a Round 2 pick in any one-QB draft for this coming season. But he only hit that average 18-point mark in 6 of 16 games. That's some pretty wide variance, and an indication of the weekly boom-or-bust nature of his position. On the other hand, QB7 Dak Prescott hit his 18-point marker 12 of 16 times. (And he was a rookie in a run-oriented offense; there are far more extreme examples of this variance discrepancy every year.)

The bottom line is that, in a two-QB or superflex league, drafters should always be cognizant of just how much more consistent (and, usually, more prolific) a QB is to plug into a flex spot. In late May, 12 of us Footballguys entered into a mock draft to display just how we approach such formats, and how we prioritize QBs versus the other positions. Below are the results from the first four rounds; I'll be analyzing the nextfour rounds over the coming days, so stay tuned in and turned on.

Round 1

1.01  Justin Howe – Johnson, David ARI RB
1.02  James Brimacombe – Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB
1.03  Simon Shepherd – Bell, LeVeon PIT RB
1.04  Chris Feery – Brown, Antonio PIT RB
1.05  Jeff Tefertiller – Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
1.06  Justin Bonnema – Beckham Jr., Odell NYG WR
1.07  Stephen Holloway – Jones, Julio ATL WR
1.08  Jeff Haseley – Evans, Mike TBB WR
1.09  Phil Alexander – Green, A.J. CIN WR
1.10  Jason Wood – Brady, Tom NEP QB
1.11  Clayton Gray – Luck, Andrew IND QB
1.12  Scott Bischoff – Wilson, Russell SEA QB


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