Win. Your. League.

Receive 3 Free Downloads More Details

High Floors vs. High Ceilings

Finding the right mix of high-floor and high-ceiling players to create the optimal fantasy team

Every year leading up to draft season, there are players described as having “high floors." There are others who are more risky, "high-ceiling" players. This exercise will show that a mix of both is the best way to optimize your draft.

This strategy will keep your opponents guessing. Also, having some high-floor players will keep your team competitive when your "boom or bust" guys don't boom. I believe a championship team can't just have safe players thoughout; it must also have a player or two who can win a week almost on their own.

For our purposes here, we'll be picking sixth in a 12-team PPR league. We'll look at players whose Consensus ADP's (as of August 10) are within a reasonable number of slots of our pick. At the end, we'll have two teams from which we'll pick the best mix of players (using one per round). As the draft progresses, we can stray a bit more from ADP because variability increases as drafts progress.

Players in gray project to have high floors and a relatively predictable range of outcomes. Players in blue project to be a bit more volatile but have higher ceilings in their range of outcomes. The players in bold were the ones selected for the exercise.


The full page you are accessing is only available to our Footballguys Insider PRO subscribers.

In addition to this page, we'll publish about 50,000 more pages of content this season that are just for our Footballguys Insider PROs. It's the ultimate edge to help you WIN YOUR LEAGUE.

ESPN's Matthew Berry says, "Footballguys Insider PRO is the best premium Football only site on the planet." We agree. To see more reasons why the Insider PRO is your ticket to the championship, click HERE.

Registration is simple and in seconds you'll be reading this article plus all the other Footballguys content available only to our Insider PROs. If you're uncertain about your current subscription status, click HERE.

Plus we have a MONEY BACK GUARANTEE so there's nothing to lose.