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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 16

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

By Will Grant
December 20, 2013
Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 16
Photo: Cary Edmondson, USA Today Sports

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This season, we are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 17 staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 15 RESULTS

A Big upset week means rough scores for the overall board. Denver cost everyone points on Thursday night by the time the Monday Night match-up was over, Jeff Pasquino had secured his second victory of the season with just 91 total points. Jeff and Andy Hicks tied for missing 'only' five games each, but Pasquino edged Hicks out by one point. Both had the Baltimore pick on Monday night correct, but Pasquino had a big enough lead to hold on to the victory.

Staffer SD PHI NE CHI HOU WAS BUF SF SEA KC NYJ GB NO ARI CIN BAL TOT
DEN MIN MIA CLE IND ATL JAC TB NYG OAK CAR DAL STL TEN PIT DET Pts
Pasquino DEN PHI MIA CHI IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR GB NO ARI CIN BAL 91
  16 9 2 7 10 6 5 13 14 12 15 3 11 8 4 1  
Hicks DEN PHI MIA CHI IND ATL BUF SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN BAL 90
  16 1 9 2 14 3 4 13 10 8 15 11 12 7 6 5  
Rudnicki DEN PHI MIA CHI IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 87
  16 10 9 8 7 6 5 15 14 12 13 2 11 3 1 4  
Wimer DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL BUF SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 83
  16 10 15 9 14 8 7 13 12 6 11 5 4 3 2 1  
Cummings DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL BUF SF SEA KC CAR GB NO TEN PIT DET 81
  16 11 8 7 12 6 3 15 10 9 14 4 13 2 1 5  
Larkin DEN PHI MIA CLE IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI PIT DET 80
  16 13 1 3 12 15 5 14 11 10 6 9 8 7 4 2  
Tremblay DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO TEN PIT DET 80
  14 9 1 5 15 8 6 10 11 12 16 4 13 2 3 7  
Russell DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL BUF SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 78
  16 15 9 10 14 2 5 12 11 8 13 6 7 3 4 1  
Wood DEN PHI NE CHI IND WAS BUF SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO TEN PIT BAL 76
  16 14 9 12 10 6 5 13 15 11 7 4 8 3 2 1  
Grant DEN PHI NE CLE IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 74
  16 10 5 4 14 6 1 13 7 11 15 3 9 8 2 12  
Brimacombe DEN PHI MIA CHI IND WAS JAC SF SEA KC CAR GB NO TEN PIT DET 74
  15 16 5 7 10 1 2 8 9 12 14 6 13 4 3 11  
Hester DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL BUF SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI PIT DET 72
  16 10 7 4 13 8 2 5 12 9 15 6 14 3 1 11  
Holloway DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 72
  15 12 8 6 13 5 4 9 10 11 16 3 14 2 1 7  
Bitonti DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL JAC SF NYG KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 69
  15 14 4 9 16 13 8 11 2 10 3 1 12 7 6 5  
Garda DEN PHI NE CHI IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR GB NO ARI CIN DET 67
  16 15 14 13 8 2 7 12 9 10 6 3 11 4 1 5  
Haseley DEN PHI MIA CLE IND ATL JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO TEN PIT DET 64
  16 12 6 10 7 3 8 14 13 5 15 2 11 4 1 9  
Harstad DEN PHI NE CHI IND WAS JAC SF SEA KC CAR DAL NO ARI CIN DET 64
  16 7 5 4 13 2 1 8 12 9 15 10 11 3 6 14  
Away SD PHI NE CHI HOU WAS BUF SF SEA KC NYJ GB NO ARI CIN BAL  
Total Pts 0 188 85 103 0 9 26 198 180 165 0 16 182 58 33 7  
Home DEN MIN MIA CLE IND ATL JAC TB NYG OAK CAR DAL STL TEN PIT DET  
Total Pts 267 0 32 17 202 91 52 0 2 0 209 66 0 15 15 94  

Denver and Philadelphia opened this week's contest by taking a whopping 455 confidence points right off the board. New England took down a good chunk with another 85 points in the early games on Sunday. The Saints were the third universal favorite go down and the field goal festival on Monday night cost the field another 94 points. Harstad and Haseley caught the worst of it, both finishing with just 64 points. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Hicks clawed his way back into first place as Hester slipped back to the #2 slot. Pasquino powered his way into third place with Rudnicki just a point behind him in 4th. Making up 23 points over two weeks isn't impossible, especially if these upsets keep happening, so any one of these four guys has a shot to take the top spot at the of the season. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Hicks 113 85 86 100 72 82 82 83 46 68 85 79 103 117 90     1291
Hester 95 115 87 72 69 95 78 87 56 71 95 47 113 132 72     1284
Pasquino 94 112 98 80 78 82 81 82 64 49 88 49 97 124 91     1269
Rudnicki 101 111 78 88 66 100 82 85 49 50 92 59 102 118 87     1268
Holloway 103 111 84 81 64 97 81 85 55 52 93 48 109 121 72     1256
Cummings 100 101 77 83 62 107 76 82 57 59 75 55 119 117 81     1251
Tremblay 92 106 71 97 62 96 80 82 55 49 93 52 108 116 80     1239
Harstad 85 117 66 84 76 106 86 88 59 41 92 54 93 120 64     1231
Larkin 102 121 84 71 63 94 85 83 47 55 92 67 90 94 80     1228
Haseley 100 117 96 77 63 82 63 84 60 53 95 55 107 101 64     1217
Grant 107 105 68 87 63 97 86 79 60 60 81 49 84 107 74     1207
Brimacombe 109 103 53 91 68 100 85 75 67 57 86 40 77 118 74     1203
Bitonti 112 97 79 87 66 71 76 85 54 55 86 52 99 112 69     1200
Wood 117 110 89 68 57 93 61 63 49 43 49 58 130 127 76     1190
Garda 81 105 86 64 67 94 82 75 52 68 77 48 87 106 67     1159
Russell 100 102 75 76 62 98 67 83 51 56 68 37 109 90 78     1152
Wimer 90 90 57 72 91 102 66 79 52 42 89 31 97 96 83     1137

Wimer had a strong week, and gained some serious ground on Russell and Garda. 22 points separated the bottom three teams as well, so it's still too close to call with two weeks to go. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer MIA IND MIN DEN NO TEN DAL CLE TB NYG ARI PIT OAK NE CHI ATL MNF
BUF KC CIN HOU CAR JAC WAS NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF TOT
Rudnicki MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 43
  9 13 12 14 7 2 6 1 10 8 16 5 11 4 3 15  
Harstad MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL NYJ STL DET SEA PIT SD BAL PHI SF 52
  4 7 11 14 6 10 8 3 9 13 12 2 15 1 5 16  
Garda MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD NE PHI SF 60
  8 14 10 16 11 9 6 4 3 12 13 5 7 2 1 15  
Hicks MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA PIT SD BAL PHI SF 51
  1 14 12 16 4 2 11 3 8 9 13 7 10 5 6 15  
Larkin MIA KC CIN DEN CAR JAC DAL NYJ STL DET SEA PIT SD NE PHI SF 38
  11 14 10 9 8 1 3 7 6 12 15 2 13 5 4 16  
Russell MIA KC CIN DEN NO TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 49
  10 9 14 15 1 3 7 4 6 11 12 8 13 5 2 16  
Cummings MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 45
  10 9 14 13 6 5 8 4 3 11 15 2 12 7 1 16  
Brimacombe MIA KC CIN DEN NO TEN WAS NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD NE PHI SF 45
  10 9 13 16 2 8 1 7 6 15 12 5 14 4 3 11  
Wood MIA KC CIN DEN NO JAC DAL CLE STL NYG SEA PIT SD NE PHI SF 61
  14 11 9 15 10 5 7 4 3 1 13 6 12 2 8 16  
Haseley BUF KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL CHI SF 41
  9 11 7 14 8 2 6 4 3 13 16 1 5 12 10 15  
Pasquino MIA KC CIN DEN CAR JAC WAS CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 50
  7 11 13 14 5 4 2 1 8 10 15 9 12 6 3 16  
Wimer MIA KC CIN DEN NO JAC DAL NYJ TB DET SEA GB SD NE PHI SF 51
  8 12 11 14 7 6 5 4 10 13 16 3 9 2 1 15  
Bitonti MIA KC CIN DEN CAR TEN DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 46
  7 11 10 13 6 2 3 4 9 12 14 8 15 1 5 16  
Tremblay MIA KC CIN DEN CAR JAC DAL CLE STL DET SEA GB SD NE PHI SF 41
  8 11 10 14 5 3 7 2 9 12 13 6 15 1 4 16  
Hester BUF KC CIN DEN NO TEN DAL NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD BAL CHI SF 42
  1 11 10 15 2 9 6 7 8 13 14 4 12 5 3 16  
Holloway MIA KC CIN DEN CAR JAC DAL NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF 39
  8 7 14 16 3 2 5 4 10 12 13 9 11 1 6 15  
Grant MIA KC CIN DEN CAR JAC DAL NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD NE CHI SF 48
  9 13 6 16 1 2 3 5 7 11 14 8 12 10 4 15  
Away MIA IND MIN DEN NO TEN DAL CLE TB NYG ARI PIT OAK NE CHI ATL  
Total Pts 124 0 0 244 22 52 91 31 10 1 0 17 0 26 17 0  
Home BUF KC CIN HOU CAR JAC WAS NYJ STL DET SEA GB SD BAL PHI SF  
Total Pts 10 187 186 0 70 23 3 37 108 187 236 73 198 47 52 260  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Well owners certainly didn't shy away from the 'consensus' picks this week, and KC, Cinci, Denver, Seattle and San Francisco were picked by everyone in the field to win their respective games (Denver and SF being the most confident winners). Dallas drew strong support over Washington despite their last two performances and Detroit is also a strong favorite to beat the Giants after their tough Monday Night loss. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Jacksonville's loss last week scared a few people away, but the field didn't run completely to the other side in picking the Titans to win this week. Philadelphia and Baltimore are favored to win their respective contests, but Chicago and New England also have support behind them. Cleveland and the Jets are the closest game of the week, with just 68 confidence points between the two of them, and the Jets being just a bit more favored 37-31. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With no Thursday game this week or next week, you can look for the contest on Friday morning the rest of the way. We'll announce the overall contest winner during the first week of the playoffs!

Good Luck this Weekend!

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