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Footballguys has partnered with FanDuel and as part of that deal, I will be penning a weekly piece that tries to cover some of the finer points on beating their contests. This article appears on Saturdays and does not include the early Thursday game.
My approach to FanDuel's Daily Games
In salary cap games where other companies are determining prices, I like to see where their thoughts differ substantially from my projections. My value chart below matches up my projections against FanDuel's prices:
Some explanation of my Excel manipulation is in order:
- Everything is sorted by position
- I have converted my projections to FanDuel Fantasy Points. These figures appear in the FP column.
- The Price column reflects FanDuel's Week 16 Price
- The Price per FP column reflects the cost per projected fantasy point (the lower the value the better).
- I have highlighted player's names (in green) that should be strong considerations for your lineups. They generally reflect the most bang for the buck at their respective positions. Players in yellow also are worth consideration when building your roster.
General Thoughts
Situations that stand out to me this week.
- I like these passing offenses to produce better than normal fantasy points this week: Chicago, Cincinnati, Indianapolis, Tampa Bay, and Washington.
- I like these rushing offenses to produce better than normal fantasy points this week: Baltimore, Kansas City, Miami, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Washington.
- A lot of rain and snow is expected this week. Check back in Sunday morning to see if some of these situations radically alter how I expect the games to be played.
- This is a weird week in the NFL. Some teams are fighting their hardest for playoff spots, seeding, etc. Others have mailed in their seasons. Add in crazy weather and all of this makes predicting game stats even harder than normal.
Sample $60K Roster - Projected Points = 131.3
- QB Kirk Cousins, WAS - $7,000
- RB LeSean McCoy, PHI - $9,200
- RB Alfred Morris, WAS - $6,000
- TE Antonio Gates, SD - $4,500
- WR A.J. Green, CIN - $8,600
- WR Pierre Garcon, WAS - $7,300
- WR Brian Hartline, MIA - $5,800
- TD San Francisco - $5,900
- PK Nick Novak, SD - $5,200
Sample $55K Roster - Projected Points = 123.1
- QB Matt Flynn, GB - $6,300
- RB LeSean McCoy, PHI - $9,200
- RB Alfred Morris, WAS - $6,000
- TE Antonio Gates, SD - $4,500
- WR Julian Edelman, NE - $6,700
- WR Brian Harline, MIA - $5,800
- WR Golden Tate, SEA - $5,700
- TD San Francisco - $5,900
- PK Matt Prater, DEN - $5,400