The story in Cincinnati seems simple. Jeremy Hill and Giovanni Bernard haven't been good enough to get the job done. Enter Joe Mixon. Off-the-field issues aside, Mixon looks the part of workhorse running back. But with all three backs on the roster, will they all have roles? Is there value here?
Chad Parsons: My storyboard projection for the Cincinnati backfield is Jeremy Hill is undervalued to start the season. While an impressive profile and lauded skills, I doubt Joe Mixon gets the keys to the backfield in the opening weeks. Hill is a value based on his RB50+ ADP in September.
Joe Mixon continues his development, snaring a stronger share of the backfield snaps and touches as the season continues. By November, Mixon is a weekly fantasy starter and he emerges as a Jordan Howard/David Johnson-lite type late-season impact, winning fantasy playoff matchups and titles for savvy owners who held Mixon (or acquired early in the season) when the volume was lower.
Giovani Bernard's role will be in the pass-centric, low RB2 but likely RB3 zone of fantasy projections. Bernard will be stronger early in the season when Mixon is still ramping up, than later when Mixon is closer to three-down usage.