As dynasty rookie drafts continue to proceed around the fantasy football world, owners finds themselves in tough spots trying to decide whether to accept offers to trade down and what to offer when they want to trade up. Pick value charts based on historical value of the players picked first, second, and so on are a good starting point, and our board member Spin has created a very good one of those. Unfortunately, the 2013 draft was one of the weakest in recent memory at the top of the offensive skill positions, so expecting the value of the top picks in recent drafts to mirror the value in this year's class would be foolish. This creates a more gradual slope at the top of the pick value chart.
Additionally, this year's class has a relatively deep second tier of prospects that makes an early-to-mid second round pick worth close to what a late first round pick is worth. Adjusting your trade up/trade down strategy to embrace these realities is the best way to maximize the value you mine with your array of rookie picks. Note: Projected player is an illustration of who you might expect to take at that selection. The point values correspond to the pick, not the player.
A few assumptions about this pick value chart:
- 12 team league
- QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/WR/TE/Flex lineup
- PPR scoring
- medium to long bench rosters
- Used to evaluate 2 for 1 trade up/trade down deals. Trades with 2 or more picks greater on one side are distorted in this chart.
|
Pick
|
Value
|
Projected Player
|
Pick
|
Value
|
Projected Player
|
|
1
|
1000
|
25
|
200
|
||
|
2
|
975
|
26
|
175
|
||
|
3
|
950
|
27
|
175
|
||
|
4
|
700
|
28
|
150
|
||
|
5
|
675
|
LeVeon Bell
|
29
|
150
|
|
|
6
|
550
|
30
|
150
|
||
|
7
|
500
|
31
|
125
|
||
|
8
|
475
|
32
|
125
|
||
|
9
|
425
|
33
|
125
|
||
|
10
|
425
|
34
|
100
|
||
|
11
|
400
|
E.J. Manuel
|
35
|
100
|
|
|
12
|
400
|
36
|
100
|
||
|
13
|
400
|
37
|
75
|
Mike Gilleslee
|
|
|
14
|
375
|
38
|
75
|
||
|
15
|
375
|
39
|
75
|
||
|
16
|
350
|
40
|
75
|
||
|
17
|
350
|
41
|
50
|
||
|
18
|
325
|
42
|
50
|
||
|
19
|
300
|
43
|
50
|
||
|
20
|
275
|
44
|
25
|
||
|
21
|
275
|
45
|
25
|
||
|
22
|
250
|
46
|
25
|
||
|
23
|
250
|
47
|
25
|
||
|
24
|
225
|
Da'Rick Rogers
|
48
|
25
|
Of course, you should adjust this to incorporate factors like return yardage scoring (makes value of top 3 higher), 2-QB leagues (makes value of top 6-8 higher), TE-premium leagues (makes No. 4 and late first higher), the needs of your particular team, and the layout of your personal board and array of picks.
Valuing 2014 picks has a variable of evaluating your trade partner's team, but these numbers should act as a rough guideline:
- 2014 1st round pick = 500
- 2014 2nd round pick = 200
- 2014 3rd round pick = 75
- 2014 4th round pick = 25
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