We spent all summer getting our minds straight on all of the 2017 fantasy outlook across the NFL, only to have a month of news and play out of training camp and the preseason make us question our starting assumptions and adjust to the sneak previews of the new reality. When we reflect in hindsight, there are July/August developments that end up being red herrings and twists that end up rewarding fantasy players who are drawn to the converging forces that create success and punish fantasy owners who ignore the warnings coming from situations that will fail to meet even basic expectations. How should we proceed when considering all of this new information?
Chris Hogan was the consistent #3 receiver, a standout camp performer and increasingly looking like a core part of the pass offense before Julian Edelman went out for the season with a torn ACL. Mike Gillislee has missed practices on and off with hamstring issues.
Action: Make Hogan a part of your draft plan in the 7th-9th round range, knowing that he can be a high ceiling WR3/flex for you with the potential to be an everyweek WR2. All four of the New England backs have potential to lead the backfield in touches and post 15+ fantasy points in any given week, and there could be more two-back sets with Edelman out. Gillislee was previously the most expensive back, but considering the relatively even distribution of talent and tactical value, the best angle here is to buy the cheapest back or two in your draft, usually Rex Burkhead (who looked like Christian McCaffrey on a touchdown catch and run) and Dion Lewis (who has looked like 2015 Lewis).