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Something about typical fantasy rankings has been bothering me lately. By listing all relevant players in order of draft desirability, we still don't really have anything actionable until we add a denominator of ADP. If I tell you a player is my #5 wide receiver, that doesn't tell you whether I would recommend drafting him or not. When you add the dimension of ADP, it becomes clear right away who my rankings recommend targeting and who my rankings recommend avoiding. This leads to an experiment idea of rethinking rankings. Instead of ranking players by draft desirability (or projected end of year finish), why not rank players by desirability of drafting them at ADP? This table will show you the rough ADP of a player, and where I would consider drafting the player. This ranking should help when prioritizing targets pre-draft and understanding the next best outcomes when targeted players go off the board ahead of you. Any and all feedback welcome!
Rank | Player | Team | Projected ADP | Worth Drafting In? |
1 | Jarvis Landry | MIA | 6th | 5th |
2 | Eric Decker | NYJ | 9th/10th | 7th/8th |
3 | John Brown | ARI | 8th/9th | 7th |
4 | Steve Johnson | SD | 13th-15th | 11th-12th |
5 | Markus Wheaton | WR | 13th-15th | 11th-12th |
6 | Allen Robinson | JAX | 7th | 6th |
7 | Julio Jones | ATL | Late 1st | Late 1st |
8 | Calvin Johnson | DET | Early 2nd | Early 2nd |
9 | Randall Cobb | GB | Mid 2nd | Mid 2nd |
10 | A.J. Green | CIN | Mid 2nd | Mid 2nd |
11 | Charles Johnson | MIN | 8th/9th | 7th/8th |
12 | Antonio Brown | PIT | Mid 1st | Late 1st |
13 | Eddie Royal | CHI | 15th or later | 11th-12th |
14 | Josh Huff | PHI | 15th or later | 13th-15th |
15 | Cole Beasley | DAL | 15th or later | 13th-15th |
16 | Phillip Dorsett | IND | 15th/16th | 13th-15th |
17 | Donte Moncrief | IND | 15th | 13th-15th |
18 | Mike Evans | TB | Early 3rd | Mid 3rd |
19 | Vincent Jackson | TB | 6th/7th | 6th |
20 | Larry Fitzgerald | ARI | 8th | 7th/8th |
21 | Demaryius Thomas | DEN | Late 1st | Early 2nd |
22 | Odell Beckham | NYG | Late 1st | Early 2nd |
23 | Dez Bryant | DAL | Mid 1st | Late 1st |
24 | Andre Johnson | IND | Late 4th | Late 4th |
25 | Keenan Allen | SD | 5th | 5th |
26 | Julian Edelman | NE | 5th | 5th |
27 | Mike Wallace | MIN | 7th | 7th |
28 | Roddy White | ATL | 7th/8th | 7th/8th |
29 | Torrey Smith | SF | 9th | 9th |
30 | Cody Latimer | DEN | 12th/13th | 12th |
31 | T.Y. Hilton | IND | Early 3rd | Mid 3rd |
32 | Nelson Agholor | PHI | 7th | 8th |
33 | Brandin Cooks | NO | Late 3rd | Mid 4th |
34 | Davante Adams | GB | 4th-5th | 5th-6th |
35 | DeVante Parker | MIA | 11th | 11th-12th |
36 | Dorial Green-Beckham | TEN | 13th | 13th-15th |
37 | Rueben Randle | NYG | 12th/13th | 13th-15th |
38 | Marques Colston | NO | 10th | 10th-11th |
39 | Steve Smith | BAL | 10th | 11th-12th |
40 | Anquan Boldin | SF | 10th | 11th-12th |
41 | Marvin Jones | CIN | 12th | 13th-15th |
42 | Brian Quick | STL | 12th | 13th-15th |
43 | Pierre Garcon | WAS | 11th | 13th-15th |
44 | Kendall Wright | TEN | 11th | 13th-15th |
45 | Jordan Matthews | PHI | Early 4th | 5th |
46 | Terrance Williams | DAL | 12th | 13th-15th |
47 | DeAndre Hopkins | HOU | Mid 3rd | Mid 4th |
48 | Emmanuel Sanders | DEN | Mid 3rd | Mid 4th |
49 | Alshon Jeffery | CHI | Early 3rd | Late 3rd |
50 | Brandon Marshall | NYJ | 5th | 6th |
51 | Desean Jackson | WAS | 5th | 6th |
52 | Percy Harvin | BUF | 12th | 15th or later |
53 | Michael Crabtree | OAK | 12th | 15th or later |
54 | Victor Cruz | NYG | 8th/9th | 11th-12th |
55 | Michael Floyd | ARI | 9th/10th | 12th |
56 | Jeremy Maclin | KC | 6th | 8th |
57 | Amari Cooper | OAK | 5th | 7th |
58 | Golden Tate | SEA | 5th | 7th |
59 | Sammy Watkins | BUF | Early 5th | 7th |
60 | Brandon LaFell | NE | 9th | 13th-15th |