As I was starting to stack the names for this year's pre-draft Bloom 100. I was struck by how clearly I could see the wide range of rankings post-draft based on eventual destinations. One element of this that we can't know for sure is what pick the player goes off the board at - which is an indicator in some ways - but with the exception of draft day trades and teams that double (or even triple) up on a position, we can clearly see the short and long-term situation the player will be drafted into and project which would be most and least beneficial (or even detrimental) to a player's dynasty value. Quality of supporting cast, scheme/coaching, and both short and long-term opportunity all figure in to the final ranking. Today, a position where sitaution can hurtle a lesser talent into the first round and be the difference between a player target range being the second round and the fourth round in rookie drafts: running back.
1 | DAL | Philosophy and OL of a plug and play running game. The prize of the draft |
2 | ATL | Kyle Shanahan is a run genius and the job is wide open |
3 | SD | I like Branden Oliver, but come on. OL coming along and great QB |
4 | NE | LeGarrette Blount is a stopgap and there's no proven receiving back on roster |
5 | BAL | Will running game maintain without Kubiak? Forsett short term answer |
6 | IND | Gore may only have 1-2 good years left and offense FF cup spilleth over |
7 | HOU | Arian Foster has been worth every penny, but cracks are showing. Run first team |
8 | ARI | Arians craves a running game and doesn't think Ellington can provide it |
9 | DET | Joique Bell is a lunchpail guy, so this is the class to get his understudy |
10 | NYG | No long-term foundation back on roster but OL needs work |
11 | TEN | Sankey didn't impress, but neither does this team |
12 | JAX | Team seems to want to upgrade, but offense is still flatlining |
13 | OAK | They are reluctant to commit to Murray, but could still seize job |
14 | CAR | Can Stewart stay healthy? Newton's short rush TDs hurt outlook |
15 | NYJ | I love Ivory but he's been more like porcelain. Offense not fertile for FF |
16 | TB | Martin's time come and gone? OL an issue |
17 | MIN | Peterson is still there, maybe for a week, maybe for years to come |
18 | MIA | Running game/OL came along in 2014 and Miller FA in 2016 |
19 | CLE | Crowell is best back but coaches kept giving West chances. Lost Shanahan |
20 | CHI | Matt Forte's exit could be sooner than we think, but so could Cutler's |
21 | DEN | Broncos ready to make Anderson the man for good? Not 100% sold |
22 | GB | Lacy long term durability concerns at draft gone? Lean yes. |
23 | PHI | Potentially great running game, but crowded |
24 | SEA | Will Seahawks attempt to keep Michael if Lynch stays in 2016? |
25 | WAS | FA decision coming on Morris in 2016. Snyder not shy about spending |
26 | STL | Mason should get a clear shot for at least one more year |
27 | KC | Charles decline isn't in sight yet |
28 | BUF | With new deal, McCoy is the man for a while |
29 | SF | Any back added would be Bernard to Hyde's Hill |
30 | NO | Ingram and Spiller have this held down for 2-3 years |
31 | PIT | Only chance is Bell running afoul of law/NFL policy again |
32 | CIN | Even the practice squad back is going to be hard to displace |