Bink Inc.
Here at Bink Inc, my aim is to break down the DraftKings player pool and give you the skinny on the various GPP options at your disposal. I will be going through all positions and all pricing tiers, as well as dropping GPP lineup construction knowledge. Due to DraftKings new regulations regarding selling lineups, we can’t actually give you pre-built lineups. With that said, each week the Bink Inc. article will provide you with all of the information you need, so that you can craft lineups from our suggestions. In many ways this is better for our readers, as you will become familiar with the different strategies for GPP lineup construction and be able to identify how value shifts from position to position depending on the pricing each week.
Quarterbacks:
Cam Newton ($7,800)
Minnesota @ Panthers
Projected Team Total: 25 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 21.8 points (2.7x salary multiple)
Simply put, when Cam is at the top of his game and the offense is opened up, he possesses upside that no other quarterback can match. This comes from a combination of passing yards and his ability to not only gain yards on the ground, but convert touchdowns in the red zone. For his career, Newton averages 41.2 rushing yards and .55 rushing touchdowns per game. If you were smart enough to play him last week, you were welcomed to the site of Jonathan Stewart leaving the game with an injury, which tipped the scales even further in favor of Newton dominating offensive possessions. He finished with 353 yards passing, four touchdowns and an interception, as well as 37 yards on the ground. With 34.80 points, last Sunday marked the sixth time in his last 15 games that Newton went over 30 DraftKings points in a week. The 49ers defense did not pose much of a challenge, but that will change this week with the Panthers hosting the 1-1 Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings defense is regarded as one of the more complete units in the NFL, and so far this season they are holding opposing quarterbacks to has held opposing quarterbacks to an average of 242 yards passing per game, with a completion percentage of 58% and three touchdowns to two interceptions generated. The numbers look better than they are from a fantasy perspective though, as they are giving up on average 23 fantasy points per game. The one area where they have been weak is containing opposing quarterbacks in the rush phase, as Marcus Mariota and Aaron Rodgers combined for 48 rushing yards and a touchdown while averaging 6.8 yards per carry. With Jonathan Stewart set to miss this Sunday’s game, and Carolina choosing to go with a committee of Fozzy Whittaker and Cameron Artis-Payne, Newton will once again be counted on to shoulder much of the offensive load. The Panthers have one of the higher team totals of the week (25 points), so I see Newton’s baseline as right around 25 points with at least three combined touchdowns, making him a difference maker in GPP’s. Play him with confidence, he has a healthy Kelvin Benjamin back and one of the best tight ends in the game in Greg Olsen.
Philip Rivers ($6,700)
Chargers @ Colts
Projected Team Total: 24.5 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 20.1 points (3x salary multiple)
The outlook for Philip Rivers after losing Keenan Allen for the year, was not good to be blunt. At least that is what it looked like on the surface, until you dug a little deeper and looked back to the past two seasons when Rivers was put in the exact same spot. It would be inaccurate to say that Rivers was better without Allen, as the numbers clearly prove that is not true, however the sky is not falling in San Diego either. This was best evidenced by this past Sunday’s game against the Jaguars, when Rivers put on a masterful performance by completing 70% of his passes for 220 yards and four touchdowns to no interceptions. Also keep in mind that Rivers played nearly the entire game without Danny Woodhead, who was lost for the season with a knee injury. Rivers almost immediately started to target Travis Benjamin, who stepped up in a big way and showed why he was able to put up respectable numbers while dealing with one of the worst quarterback situations while playing for the Cleveland Browns. Benjamin finished with six receptions for 115 yards and two touchdowns while averaging 19.2 yards per catch and converting all of his targets into receptions. Rivers throws a very accurate deep ball and Benjamin has elite speed, so this was a match made in fantasy heaven from the start. This week the Chargers travel to Indianapolis to take on the Colts in what is a very beneficial matchup for Rivers and company. The Colts are letting up 299 passing yards per game (8th worst in the NFL) with three passing touchdowns to one interception generated. They are also allowing 44.7% of all passes to go for first downs, which is currently worst in the NFL. Trevor Siemian was only able to muster 12 fantasy points last week against the Colts, however in week 1 Mathew Stafford torched them with 32.5 fantasy points (340/3). Philip Rivers is much more Mathew Stafford than Trevor Siemian, so make sure to get him in your GPP lineups in a game that has the 2nd highest projected total of the week at 51 points.
Aaron Rodgers ($7,700)
Lions @ Packers
Projected Team Total: 27 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 21.3 points (2.7x salary multiple)
If you were to just look at Aaron Rodgers statistics, the main consensus would be that something is seriously wrong in Green Bay. Through two games he is averaging 206 yards passing to go along with three touchdowns to one interception. The most concerning to me though is his 57.2% completion percentage on 35 attempts per game. For 90% of the NFL, those statistics would be acceptable, but Rodgers is a two time NFL MVP, and his price tag is among the highest of any quarterback from week to week. You are not paying $7,700 to get 20 points per game, you are paying up for Rodgers with the expectation that his ceiling is north of 30 points and he is able to achieve that ceiling more frequently than all but two or three other quarterbacks. The first two games of this year have been sort of a continuation of last season where Rodgers posted career lows in quarterback rating, completion percentage and 300 yard games, all while attempting the most passes in a season over his career. The absence of Jordy Nelson was pointed to as a big reason why Rodgers struggled and that seemed to be a fair point. Nelson is healthy now though, so what gives? Well, Rodgers and the Packers offense needs a shot in the arm, and who better to provide that then an extremely generous Detroit Lions secondary. The Lions are giving up 296 yards passing per game, to go along with six touchdown passes to only one interception generated. Even better for Rodgers, Detroit is allowing a league worst 31 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks through two weeks. Throughout his career, Rodgers has made a living out of feasting on the Lions. In 13 appearances, he has thrown for 26 touchdowns to only six interceptions, and has averaged 25.2 fantasy points per game. This week sets up very well for Rodgers, but with his expensive salary and lackluster performances through two weeks, look for his ownership to be below what it would normally be in such an advantageous matchup, making it the perfect time to be ahead of the curve and put him in play with the weekly upside to be a difference maker in GPP’s.
Ryan Tannehill ($6,200)
Browns @ Dolphins
Projected Team Total: 26 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 20.1 points (3.2x salary multiple)
Any time you have a quarterback whose projection exceeds 3x for that week, you know it is the week to put him in play in your GPP lineups. This is certainly true of Ryan Tannehill this week, as he faces off against a porous Cleveland defense that allowed 25 unanswered points to Joe Flacco last Sunday in a 25-20 loss. Flacco finished the game 25-45 for 302 yards passing, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. In their opening week loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Browns allowed Carson Wentz to put up 24 fantasy points in his rookie debut. The Browns are the team to pick on each week, as they lack playmakers in the secondary (sorry Joe Haden) and have difficulty generating a consistent pass rush. Ryan Tannehill is hardly a player that elicits much excitement within the context of playing him in your GPP lineups, as GPP’s are all about upside and Tannehill has exceeded 30 points only five times in his last 34 appearances. However, there is a perfect storm of factors contributing to Tannehill being a really good option this week, not least of which is his supporting cast finally starting to play up to their ability. The Dolphins lost to the Patriots 31-24 last week, and despite the fact that a division loss can never be looked at as a moral victory…it was in many ways a morale victory. Tannehill led a 2nd half charge that saw the Dolphins score 24 points, and he finished the game 32-45 for 387 yards and two touchdowns to go along with two interceptions. Tannehill padded those stats with 35 yards rushing which brought his fantasy point total to 27.98. Tannehill scored a rushing touchdown in week 1, so the opportunity for him to reach his 30 point ceiling is much more attainable than it had been in years past. Wide receivers Jarvis Landry and Davante Parker both exceeded 100 yards receiving against the Patriots, and Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron each scored a touchdown, which marked a momentous occasion…they caught a touchdown pass when they were supposed to. Tannehill’s ownership has been below 5% on average in each of the first two weeks, and despite the great matchup against Cleveland, I don’t see this changing. He has a very real opportunity to exceed that magical 30 point threshold and provide salary relief, a very rare occurrence among quarterbacks. You don’t have to have a large amount of exposure to Tannehill, but if you are making 100 lineups, earmarking five with Tannehill’s name on it certainly makes sense to me.
Running Backs:
David Johnson ($7,700)
Cardinals @ Bills
Projected Team Total: 25.5 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 20.6 points (2.6x salary multiple)
The one running back performance last week that seemed to turn the GPP tides in your favor, was Matt Forte’s three touchdown game against the Buffalo Bills. While Forte is used to doing so much of his damage in the passing game, in this particular matchup, Forte put in work rushing the football. He finished with 100 yards and three touchdowns on 30 carries, to go along with two receptions for nine yards. I bring up Forte as a reference point for David Johnson not only because DJ is playing the Bills this week, but how similarly their styles of play are. Johnson runs with more power and explosiveness than Forte did early in his career, but Forte was savvy in the way he picked up yardage and hardly ever got caught behind the line of scrimmage for a negative play. Both players are capable of wearing down defenses because they tend to get stronger as the game goes on, and in Johnson’s case, this is where you start to see him rip off long gains late in games. Johnson is averaging 20 points per game through two weeks, despite the fact that he has not had a 100 yards rushing or receiving, nor has he had a multi-touchdown game. What he does have on his side is volume, but even that has not been to the level that many expected. He has a combined 35 touches (rushing and receiving) that have yielded 275 total yards, an average of 7.8 yards per play, and he already has three plays of 40 yards or more. Compare his modest touches to Forte (59 touches for 264 yards) and the picture starts to form of a player who is explosive and efficient, a rarity among big play running backs in the NFL. Johnson also has the benefit of playing in a very fantasy friendly offense that is loaded with talent at the skill positions. Defenses cannot stack the box against him for fear of getting burned on the outside by Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown or Michael Floyd. The Bills had serious problems containing the Jets trio of Eric Decker (6-126-1), Brandon Marshall (6-101) and Quincy Enunwa (6-92), which bears a striking resemblance to the talent that Arizona has at the wide receiver position, so we will see a very similar game script play out for the Cardinals that we saw out of the Jets last Thursday night. What does that mean for David Johnson? Well, I will stop short of saying a three touchdown night, but I am not ready to rule it out either as the Cardinals have the highest projected team total of any visiting team this week and the fifth highest team total overall. Paying up for him this week is a smart move in GPP’s, as 150 total yards and at least one touchdown to go along with 5+ receptions is what you should expect to get out of Johnson as his floor. I think you can lock up 25 points, with as good a chance at 30+ fantasy points as he will have at any point this season.
Theo Riddick ($4,900)
Lions @ Packers
Projected Team Total: 20 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 15.3 points (3.1x salary multiple)
Just as second year running back Amir Abdullah was starting to get comfortable making plays in the Lions offense, his bad luck of injuries continued as he was placed on Injured Reserve after having surgery on his injured foot. With chaos comes opportunity, and Theo Riddick now finds himself as the feature back for a Lions offense that has shown they can move the ball and score with other juggernaut offenses like the Colts. The Lions have put up 55 points in two games, including 39 points in a wild come from behind victory over the Colts in week 1. Riddick and Abdullah were working very well together, with both players functioning in the rushing and passing phases of the offense. In week 1, Abdullah (12 carries for 63 yards, five catches for 53 yards and a touchdown) and Riddick (seven carries for 45 yards and a touchdown, five catches for 63 yards and a touchdown) essentially combined to form one three down back and the split in touches was nearly identical up until the point that Abdullah was injured. So what can you expect from Riddick moving forward? He will absolutely dominate passing downs and there is no reason to think he can’t hit 80+ catches on the season, which would be an average of five catches per game. Through two games, Riddick has 82 rushing yards and a touchdown on 18 carries (4.5 yards per carry) and 91 yards and a touchdown on nine receptions (10.1 yards per reception). Mathew Stafford has attempted 79 passes on the season, ninth most in the NFL, which bodes very well Riddick’s baseline touches moving forward. This week the Lions have a tough divisional game as they travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers. Green Bay has all but shut down opposing running backs this season, holding Adrian Peterson to 19 yards on 12 carries, and TJ Yeldon to 39 rushing yards on 21 carries, an average of 1.7 yards per carry. As good as the Packers have been against the rush, they’ve had equal as much difficulty containing opposing quarterbacks. Blake Bortles and Sam Bradford combined for 606 yards passing for three touchdowns and one interception, with a 66% completion percentage and an average of 8.7 yards per attempt. To paraphrase Joe Bryant “Fantasy relevance comes from a mixture of talent and opportunity”, and Riddick has a good amount of talent to go along with the best opportunity of his five year career. Tack on a very soft salary of $4,900 in a game that has the third highest projected total of the week, and Riddick becomes a very attractive GPP play with the upside to provide an anchor at the running back position…oh yea, and he is also providing salary relief that will allow you to pay up at wide receiver and/or your other running back spot.
Charles Sims ($4,900)
Rams @ Buccaneers
Projected Team Total: 23.5 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 14 points (2.8x salary multiple)
With so many running backs being injured in week 2, many of my lineups have a “scat-back special” feel to them, starring Riddick, Sims and Yeldon. Aside from sounding like a law-firm, these pass catching running backs now find themselves in a position to be the lead back, as opposed to just making the most of their opportunity in passing situations. Charles Sims is the latest to get his chance at being the feature back after Doug Martin went down with a hamstring strain that is expected to sideline him for three weeks. Sims is 6’0, 211lbs and appears to be capable of handling 15-18 touches a week until Martin returns, but the Bucs went out and signed Jacquizz Rodgers to work as a compliment to Sims in the event that he is overmatched in his new role. Sims has excelled in his role as a pass catching back, but the jury is still out on him as a pure runner. He’s averaged 4.1 yards per carry on 173 rushes between his rookie year and two games this season, and after watching tape on him it seems as though he gets by on his athleticism more so than superior vision and/or feel for setting up blockers. With that said, Sims brings something to the table that Martin was incapable of, and that is versatility. With Martin in the game, the Bucs were more or less locked into either running the football, or using play action. Sims is a completely different story though, as the Bucs have shown a propensity for using him in motion, split out wide or coming out of the backfield on traditional screen plays. That versatility should allow the Bucs to run a more up-tempo offense that plays into the strengths of Jameis Winston and his ability to throw downfield to Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, both of whom are 6-5, 230lb mismatches. In a perfect world, Sims would have his debut against a porous defense that offered much more optimism of a shootout than the Bucs week 3 opponent, the St. Louis Rams. The same Rams defense that held Russell Wilson to 254 yards passing (with no touchdowns) and the entire Seahawks offense to three point’s total. The matchup is as bad as it gets on paper, but let’s not forget that the Rams play the Seahawks tough each year, and the defense was lit up by the San Francisco 49ers running backs to the tune of 150 yards rushing and three touchdowns, a game they lost 28-0. This is why I find myself liking Sims more and more, as he will be looked at as an attractive option, but the more people look at the matchup, the less likely they are to use him in a meaningful capacity. If I can get a running back at $4,900, who will receive the lion’s share of the touches, 7+ targets in the passing game and red zone opportunities, I will take that every time.
Melvin Gordon ($5,800)
Chargers @ Colts
Projected Team Total: 24.5 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 17.7 points (3x salary multiple)
As mentioned above, Danny Woodhead is now out for the year after tearing his ACL in the Chargers week 2 matchup against the Jaguars. Woodhead played a pivotal role in the Chargers offense, providing Philip Rivers with an elite pass catching running back, while also proving he can run between the tackles when called upon, especially in the red zone. Woodhead led all running backs in receptions last year, totaling 81 catches for 756 yards and six touchdowns. Melvin Gordon was off to a great start running the football through two games, totaling 159 yards and three touchdowns on 38 carries (4.2 ypc). Gordon is not known for his receiving skills, but he will now have the opportunity to contribute on passing downs, which boosts his stock tremendously. It is nearly impossible for a running back to finish in the top five at his position without contributing in the passing game, with the only real exception over the last five years being Adrian Peterson, and he is a once in a generation talent. After Woodhead went down, Gordon was given the chance to play more on passing downs and this led to him finishing last week’s game with three catches for 18 yards, this after failing to record a reception in week 1. I alluded to the Colts porous defense while discussing Philip Rivers, but their run defense is even more inept than their pass defense, as least statistically. Through their first two games, the Colts have allowed opposing running backs to combine for 235 yards rushing and two touchdowns on 49 carries (4.7 ypc), while also surrendering 15 catches for 155 yards and two touchdowns through the air. That is nearly 200 total yards, two touchdowns and 7.5 catches per game to opposing running backs. Gordon’s stock was already on the rise with his performances in the Chargers first two games, but when you add in Woodhead’s injury and the perfect matchup, he becomes an auto-start and a lead candidate to have the highest exposure at the running back position in week 3.
Wide Receiver
Julio Jones ($9,500)
Falcons @ Saints
Projected Team Total: 25.25
Footballguys IVC Projection: 21.5 points (2.2x salary multiple)
I have brought up the point in previous Bink Inc. articles that Antonio Brown is the wide receiver who I view as matchup proof, and therefore he is a guy who I recommend you play each week. Julio Jones and Odell Beckham Jr are priced in the top tier alongside Brown, and when they are matched up with weak defenses they certainly have the talent and opportunity to exceed Browns point total from week to week. Beckham Jr. was unable to capitalize to a GPP winning degree in his perfect matchup with the Saints last week, but history will not repeat itself with Jones this week. Through two games, the Saints have allowed five different receivers to eclipse 4+ catches and 85+ yards with those receivers averaging 16.96 DraftKings points. It is interesting to note that the Saints have not let up a touchdown to any of those receivers, although that is more of a statistical aberration than anything else and they cannot consistently pitch shutouts to wide receivers who are running up and down the field on them. Jones has started off this season right where he left off in 2015, totaling 13 receptions for 172 yards and two touchdowns through his first two games. The fact that he is seeing more red zone targets is encouraging because that is the one area where he has not stacked up to the other receivers in the top tier. Through five complete season, Jones has only recorded double digit touchdowns once (10 touchdowns in 2012), and his season average of 6.8 touchdowns is absurdly low for a player who has averaged 82.8 receptions for their career, and 120 receptions over the last two years. The entire Falcons offense is in play this week against the Saints matador defense, but the receivers and tight ends are the ones you want meaningful exposure to. In his last four games against the Saints, Jones is averaging 7.25 catches for 116.25 yards (with no touchdowns), and he has gone over 100 yards in receiving in three of those four contests. He did strain his calf in last week’s game against Oakland and was given a day off from practice this week, so it is worth monitoring his status heading into the game. With that said, unless his calf has fallen off his leg, you are going to want him in your lineups.
Kelvin Benjamin ($7,200)
Vikings @ Panthers
Projected Team Total: 25 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 17.7 points (2.4x salary multiple)
Kelvin Benjamin has started off the year as though he wants to make sure no one forgot about him after he missed all of last season with a broken leg. It is safe to say he has achieved that, totaling 13 receptions for 199 yards and three touchdowns through his first two games. The Panthers offense hummed along last season and Cam Newton made fantasy starters out of players like Ted Ginn Jr Jr, but they need Benjamin if they want to compete with the elite teams in the NFC. At 6’5, 245lbs with elite leaping ability and very strong hands, Benjamin is the prototypical wide receiver in the current passing climate of the NFL. He is the type of player that defenses must key on because he can beat you in one on one coverage playing the role of a possession receiver over the middle, as well as down the field in the deep passing game. He also opens up the middle of the field for Greg Olsen, is a fantastic run blocker who can seal off the edge for Cam Newton and the Panthers running backs, and gives someone like Ted Ginn Jr Jr. single coverage without safety help. Benjamin was able to have a dominant game against the Denver Broncos secondary in week 1, catching six passes for 91 yards and a touchdown, so his matchup against the Vikings should be seen as neutral, at worst for him. The Panthers will go to a more pass oriented attack with Jonathan Stewart out of commission this week, which will result in more targets for Benjamin. At this point he should be seen as a #1A wide receiver, and his price of $7300 is very soft considering he has an established ceiling of 34 points. In 18 career games, Benjamin has had at least 90 yards in seven games, has scored a touchdown in 10 games, and has scored double digit DraftKings points in 14 of those 18 games.
Larry Fitzgerald ($6,900)
Cardinals @ Bills
Projected Team Total: 25.5
Footballguys IVC Projection: 17.7 points (2.5x salary multiple)
The Cardinals have arguably the most complete offense in the NFL, with varying skillsets that meld perfectly together at the skill positions. Carson Palmer is getting up there in age, but continues to play the maestro, pushing the ball downfield to explosive receivers like John Brown, finding Michael Floyd in mismatches with cornerbacks who cannot handle his physicality, but his biggest strength is distributing the ball to Larry Fitzgerald, who has reinvented himself as a new-age slot receiver. Fitzgerald is the poster child for perfecting the wide receiver craft. He is not the most athletic, nor can he jump the highest or run the fastest. But when it comes to running a double move to the sideline, or timing a back shoulder fade at the goal line, you would be hard pressed to find Fitzgerald’s equal. For the last several years, it seems that either John Brown or Michael Floyd is picked to pass Fitzgerald in the Cardinals food chain and become the top dog, but regardless of how well both have developed, Fitzgerald means too much to the offense because he is capable of running every single route from the X, Y or Z positions, and not just running them, but running them perfectly. For this reason, the passing game is run through Fitzgerald, and the production of the other two receivers are a function of how Fitzgerald forces opposing secondary’s to account for him. Through the first two games, Fitzgerald has produced 13 receptions, 158 receiving yards and three touchdowns. This week he gets a very accommodating matchup against the Buffalo Bills, who looked lost when it came to stopping Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and Quincy Enunwa last Thursday night. In two games, the Bills have allowed four different players to pass 90 receiving yards, and if you thought the Jets gave them problems, wait until you see the Cardinals unleash their attack. Despite his incredible start to the season, Fitzgerald’s salary has not yet caught up to his production, which is exactly the type of situations you want to exploit in your GPP lineup construction. The Cardinals are the not the “take your foot off the gas pedal” type offense, so there are actually several different game scripts that could results in a high scoring outing for the Cardinals. At $6,900, you can fit Fitzgerald alongside studs at QB, WR, RB and TE, which makes him a prime candidate for high exposure. In a great matchup like he has this week, I can see pushing those exposure boundaries to the 20% marker.
Tight End
Dennis Pitta ($3,400)
Ravens @ Jaguars
Projected Team Total: 24 points
Footballguys IVC Projection: 11.6 points (3.4x salary multiple)
With a projected score of 11.6 points, Dennis Pitta owns of the highest projected salary multiples this week at 3.4x. His story is of the feel good nature, a guy who before playing in week 1 of this season, had not played in an NFL game for nearly two years. Pitta had two separate hip injuries that threatened to end his career and the Ravens were so concerned for his safety, that they made him sit out all of last year as a precaution. The NFL is a win now business, and players are rarely given the opportunity to heal in such a long winded capacity without fear of losing their job, so both Pitta and the Ravens should be applauded for their patience. Pitta has rewarded the Ravens for that patience, most notably in their week 2 matchup against the Browns, where he spearheaded a 25 point 2nd half comeback that moved them to 2-0, and in a tie with the Steelers atop the AFC North standings. Pitta’s role in that comeback cannot be understated. He caught 9 of 12 targets for 102 yards, but even more importantly, he was their main chain mover at time when the running game was struggling, gaining only 80 yards on 26 carries (3.07 ypc). Without Pitta commanding attention in the middle of the field, wide receiver Mike Wallace does not find himself wide open on the left side of the end zone for what turned out to be the tying touchdown. The safety who should have been covering Wallace was shading towards the middle of the field to help on Pitta, and had no chance to stop Wallace once the play was executed. The Ravens travel to Jacksonville this week to take on the Jaguars in a game that has the third highest projected total of the week (47 points). Since the start of the 2015 season, the Jaguars have had difficulty slowing down opposing tight ends, especially those who command a high target volume. Delaine Walker put up 16 catches for 203 yards and a touchdown in two meetings with the Jags last season. Baltimore tight ends Maxx Williams and Crockett Gilmore combined for eight catches for 82 yards and two touchdowns in a week 10 loss to the Jags, paving the way for a big game from Pitta this weekend. Now that he is back and fully healthy, Pitta is operating as the Ravens #1 tight end, and it is clear how much Joe Flacco trusts him in critical situations. Not only does Pitta have a great matchup, but his $3400 salary is unbelievably soft to the point that it is worth pushing exposure boundaries in upwards of 20%. Pitta can essentially hit value with a long touchdown catch, let alone what he can produce if given a steady volume of targets in a back and forth game.
