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The Decade's Most Consistent Fantasy Wide Receivers

A list of the most consistently high-performing fantasy wide receivers since 2007 and its 2017 implications.

What makes a wide receiver a consistent fantasy producer? Is it his hands? His height? His speed? His route running? HIs skill after the catch? This article is a list of the most consistent, high-performing fantasy wide receivers since 2007.

Consistency can be measured a number of ways. Some use standard deviation. I prefer creating tiers based on the average value of fantasy production (fantasy points per game). Tiers don't punish players for production well above their average the way that standard deviation can.

My consistency tiers based on the span of seasons measured in a 12-team league:

  • Elite: Weekly performances that meet or exceed the average fantasy points per game of the top two overall RBs.
  • No. 1 WR: Weekly performances that meet the average fantasy points per game of top 12 wide receivers.
  • No. 2 WR: Same as above for 13th-24th receivers.
  • No. 3 WR: Same as above for 25th-36th receivers.
  • No. 4 WR: Same as above for 37th-48th receivers (non-starters in 3-WR lineups, but useful bye-week options).
  • No.5 WR: Sames as above for 49th-60th receivers (non-starters in 3-WR lineups, but useful bye-week options).
  • Sub Par: Weekly performances that are below the average baseline of the lowest-ranked starter spot in a league.

In this article, I'm measuring wide receivers in 12-team PPR leagues that field three starters. It means the No.1 WR tier spans the averages of the top-12 receivers, the No. 2 WR tier spans receivers in the range of 13-24, and the No. 3 WR tier includes options ranked 25th-36th. The Sub-Par tier begins with performances below the 36th-ranked starter's average.

For those of you willing to do the extra work to customize consistency data for your league format that starts additional option, I'm including average tiers for WR4 and WR5. When I focus on consistency specifically for this season (later this summer), I will adjust the Sub Par Tier to the average production of the 49th ranked WR because many leagues that readers tell me about (and I participate in) start four receivers.   

The averages at the bottom of the table below are the fantasy points that define each tier.

 Baseline PPR Fantasy Point Averages By Wide Receiver Tier Type (2007-2016)

YearElite#1#2#3#4#5Subpar
2007 19.13 15.31 12.25 10 8.69 7.19 10
2008 17.69 14.63 12.31 9.63 8.06 6.81 9.63
2009 17.81 15 11.75 9.44 8.13 7.38 9.44
2010 17.69 15 11.88 10.25 8.56 7.13 10.25
2011 18.13 14.5 12.19 10 9 7.19 10
2012 18.88 16.19 12.25 10.44 9.25 8 10.44
2013 19.31 16.81 12.63 10.5 9 7.25 10.5
2014 20.50 16 13.06 11.19 10.06 8.06 11.19
2015 21.44 16.06 13.19 10.81 9.25 7.06 10.81
2016 18.75 14.81 12.38 11.25 9.63 7.94 11.25
Average 18.93 15.43 12.39 10.35 8.96 7.40 10.35
 


With the process explained, here's the quickest way to think of this information:

  • The Elite tier measures the percentage of a wide receiver's games between 2007-16 where he scored at least 18.93 fantasy points.
  • The #1WR Tier measures the percentage of a wide receiver's games between 2007-16 where he scored between 15.43-18.92 fantasy points.
  • The #2WR Tier range is between 12.39-15.42 fantasy points.
  • The #3WR Tier range is between. 10.35-12.38 fantasy points.
  • The #4WR Tier range is between 8.96-10.34 fantasy points.
  • The Sub-Par tier measures the percentage of a wide receiver's games between 2007-16 where he scored less than 10.35 fantasy points.

The players below are sorted by the following priority:

  • The lowest percentage of Sub Par games. 
  • The highest percentage of No.1 games. 
  • The highest percentage of Elite games. 

 "Max" and "Min" are the highest and lowest fantasy performances during their decade of play. 

top 36 High-Performing fantasy wide receivers (2007-2016, PPR, no minimum game requirement)

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