Win. Your. League.

Receive 3 Free Downloads More Details

Quality Starts: Tight Ends

Quality Starts for 2015 for Tight Ends Using Standard Scoring

There are some fantasy football players that believe that the lineup you pick can lose you a game just as much as it can win a contest. Having a player give you a consistent performance week after week can be considered more valuable than a player who goes off every third week and then takes two weeks off between those fantastic performances. Consistency has a value, and it does not take much of a leap to understand that players that you can rely on for solid games when you need them (such as in your postseason) are a huge advantage.

Baseball has a term called "Quality Starts" for pitchers, which is a statistic that represents how often a starting pitcher will put up a good (not great, just good) performance in a given game. The bar is set neither high nor low (six innings pitched, three earned runs or fewer) so as to gauge a decent performance. The theory behind it is that if your pitcher gives you a Quality Start, your team has a fighting chance to win a given game.

So now we need to translate this to football. What is "quality" for each position? How do we define a "Quality Start" for quarterbacks or running backs or any other position? Looking back at the 2015 season, I decided to take the #12 TE for the year (Jason Witten, 89.3 fantasy points) and take that fantasy total and divide it by 16 for a per game average. Now a case can be made to argue against doing this. I did not account for missed games or a per-start performance metric, but I believe that the numbers will get averaged out by doing this method. Also, taking TE12 seems a bit arbitrary, but if you are looking for a bare minimum of quality, the 12th TE should be the "worst starter" in your fantasy league.

So now we move on to the next question - one of quantifying the quality. At what point do we decide whether or not a tight end has given us a quality performance? Here is where it gets a bit murky, but looking at the distribution of TE performances by starters over the season and it becomes evident that the using the 12th TE average and adding or subtracting a percentage gives us a good range for a TE Quality Start.

Using the TE Quality Start range, we can also define a bad performance or an excellent performance as either falling below or exceeding the Quality Start range. Table 1 gives us the fantasy points that it takes to fall in each of the three areas:

TE Start TypeFantasy Points
Bad Start 0 to 4.1
Quality Start 4.2 to 6.9
Excellent Start 7.0+

Table 1: 2015 TE Quality Start and Fantasy Point Ranges - Standard Scoring

Table 2 shows us the breakdown of all the Top 36 TEs and how many of each type of start resulted for each:

WANT TO SEE THE REST?

The full page you are accessing is FREE but it requires you to be a Footballguys Insider.

All you have to do is enter your email address into the box below and click the "Send Now" button and we'll INSTANTLY send you your login and password. Once you've signed in, you'll get immediate access to the content you were trying to see plus more.

You'll be accessing the content in seconds after entering your email.

Want to learn more about becoming a Footballguys Insider? Click HERE.

If you're already a Footballguys Insider, you're good to go -- just log in at the top of this page. If you're not sure, enter your email below.

Enter Your Email Below To Become An Insider.

WE WILL NEVER SPAM YOU. EVER. UNSUBSCRIBE AT ANY TIME.