Over the past few years, there have been two very popular articles written by our very own Chase Stuart that look at an interesting approach to building a fantasy team with late value picks. Based on the theory of using both Strength of Schedule ("SOS") and taking two players as a combination to build one very good player, he has discussed both Team Defense by Committee ("TDBC") and Quarterback by Committee ("QBBC") as a general fantasy league strategy. In general, I think that this is a wise move because very early on in fantasy drafts there are a ton of running back and wide receiver prospects to go after to build a great team. While there are a few studs at quarterback and also a few choice defenses, I do not see a huge need in leagues to pursue either too hard in the beginning stages of a fantasy draft.
Well, this year Chase asked me to help him out with the Quarterback by Committee Article, since I am so familiar with the concept. Our methods sometimes differ, but the end result is usually close to the same. So with this in mind, I decided to apply my normal method for the other positions (RB, WR and TE) to the quarterback position. Let's take a look at how I went about building this committee and then we can digest and discuss the results.
So how to begin? Defenses and quarterbacks are relatively easy to "committee" together. There's usually only one quarterback and certainly only one team defense per NFL club, so the approach is pretty simple as far as picking out which players / teams to try and pair up. However, I cannot expect to have every quarterback available to me for this process. After all, the goal here is to wait at the position and pick up two value picks later in the draft to form our combo and serve as a solid committee. I decided that I would use the following criteria to decide which players to start with for evaluating:
CRITERIA #1 - QB13 AND BEYOND
This seems pretty simple. If we want to have a duo that puts up QB1 numbers, that means we want QB12 or better production - else we would just draft QB12 or higher and forget the whole idea. So here is the list of players with which I started, based on their Average Draft Position (ADP):
|QB13||Dak Prescott||QB21||Blake Bortles|
|QB14||Philip Rivers||QB22||Joe Flacco|
|QB15||Matthew Stafford||QB23||Sam Bradford|
|QB16||Eli Manning||QB24||Alex Smith|
|QB17||Andy Dalton||QB25||Deshaun Watson|
|QB18||Carson Wentz||QB26||Jared Goff|
|QB19||Tyrod Taylor||QB27||Brian Hoyer|
|QB20||Carson Palmer||QB34||Jay Cutler|
Table 1: Quarterbacks QB13-QB27+ Based on ADP