- 12 teams
- 20 roster spots
- Starting Lineup
- 1 quarterback
- 2 running backs
- 2 wide receivers
- 1 tight end
- 2 flex (either a running back, wide receiver, or tight end)
- 1 place kicker
- 1 team defense
- Offensive Players
- 4 points - passing touchdown
- -1 points - interception thrown
- 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
- 0.05 points - passing yard
- 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
- 1 point - receptions (QB/RB/WR)
- 1.5 points - receptions (TE)
- Place Kickers
- 3 points - field goal up to 30 yards
- 0.1 points - each additional yard beyond 30
- 1 point - each extra point
- Team Defense
- 6 points - touchdown
- 2 points - turnover forced
- 5 points - safety
- 1 point - sack
- 12 points - shutout
- 8 points - 1-6 points allowed
- 5 points - 7-10 points allowed
THE DRAFT ORDER
The draft order was randomly generated. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft, pick by pick.
1. BJ Vanderwoude
2. Dan Hindery
3. Danny Tuccitto
4. Justin Howe
5. Will Grant
6. Clayton Gray
7. Andrew Katz
8. John Mamula
9. Chris Feery
10. Cian Fahey
11. Chris Kuczynski
12. John Lee
Starting with BJ Vanderwoude from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.
BJ Vanderwoude - Slot 1
|1.01||1||Brown, Antonio PIT WR|
|2.12||24||Olsen, Greg CAR TE|
|3.01||25||Ingram, Mark NOS RB|
|4.12||48||Lewis, Dion NEP RB|
|5.01||49||Baldwin, Doug SEA WR|
|6.12||72||Wilson, Russell SEA QB|
|7.01||73||Floyd, Michael ARI WR|
|8.12||96||Sims, Charles TBB RB|
|9.01||97||Allen, Dwayne IND TE|
|10.12||120||Crowell, Isaiah CLE RB|
|11.01||121||Thomas, Michael NOS WR (R)|
|12.12||144||Carr, Derek OAK QB|
|13.01||145||Boyd, Tyler CIN WR (R)|
|14.12||168||Agholor, Nelson PHI WR|
|15.01||169||Adams, Davante GBP WR|
|16.12||192||Texans, Houston HOU Def|
|17.01||193||McDonald, Vance SFO TE|
|18.12||216||Janis, Jeff GBP WR|
|19.01||217||Tucker, Justin BAL PK|
|20.12||240||Marshall, Keith WAS RB (R)|
Greg Olsen, 2.12, TE3. Maybe the rest of the draft was asleep at the wheel, but the FFPC rules put a premium on tight ends. That is especially true for high-volume guys like Greg Olsen. The big Panthers tight end has averaged 115 targets per year with a 65.6 percent catch rate since joining the Panthers in 2012, and his target count has gone up each season. Olsen finished as the fifth-best tight end in this format last season, but only because three of the four ahead of him scored more touchdowns.
Mark Ingram, 3.01, RB9. Following Olsen up with Mark Ingram seemed like a huge letdown. Drafting at the turn means having to make tough positional decisions early in the draft. Running backs are even less valuable in FFPC scoring, and Ingram is a risky proposition given his injury history and a crowded Saints backfield. Drafting another receiver would have meant dipping into a lower tier of running backs, to be sure, but Vanderwoude could have had an elite pass-catching start to his draft. That and Doug Martin was still available.
It seems Vanderwoude is stuck on the first pick of these mock drafts. This is one of the trickiest spots to draft because forecasting what other drafters might do takes a crystal ball. Vanderwoude drafted a solid squad headlined by Greg Olsen and Russell Wilson, who was a fantastic pick at the 6/7 turn. Depth at tight end could be a concern, especially considering fantasy owners can start two in this format. Dwayne Allen isn’t going to blow anyone away as a weekly option, and Vance McDonald dropped the phone when Vanderwoude called to say he was drafted.
1. What was your strategy going into this draft with FPC rules and scoring? What one piece of advice would you give to someone drafting in an FPC league?
A.) The FPC scoring made me think long and hard about taking Rob Gronkowski with the first overall pick, but even with the 1.5 ppr for tight ends, I still felt Antonio Brown was the correct pick. I was targeting a tight end-- either Greg Olsen or Jordan Reed--at the second and third round swing picks, so I was happy to get Olsen. With the ability to play up to three tight ends in your starting lineup, it is very important to make sure you have at least two starting caliber options at the position, as it then gives you the flexibility to target the best player available in the second half of your drafts.
2. What players are you targeting in nearly all of your drafts this year? Explain why you're high on these players.
I have been drafting Doug Baldwin as my WR2/3 in most drafts and while it is surprising that he is consistently available to me, I am not in any way complaining. Baldwin broke out in a big way in 2015, finishing the season with 78 receptions for 1,069 yards and 14 touchdowns. This included an epic four game run where Baldwin scored 10 receiving touchdowns. Seattle's identity in the Pete Carroll era has been that of a run first team who depended on their defense to set them up with advantageous field position, but that was when they had Marshawn Lynch beast-modeing his way through the NFC West. With Lynch now retired, Seattle will lean on Russell Wilson much more in the passing game, and Baldwin will be the direct beneficiary as his #1 target. Baldwin saw six or more targets in 11 games last year, so with a much more open offensive game plan, he should have no problem duplicating his success of last season and finishing as one of the better values at the wide receiver position.
3. What's the most important factor when deciding who to draft as your starting quarterback for your team? What about your backup quarterback?
In one word, consistency. That goes for both your primary and secondary options. I look at quarterback as the one spot you do not want to be losing ground to each week, and that is due in main part to the myriad of valuable options available at the position. Consistency can be found in several different ways, whether it be by padding points through rushing yards and touchdowns (Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Tyrod Taylor), wide open spread offenses (Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck) or by focusing on teams that play from behind (Drew Brees, Blake Bortles, Matthew Stafford). In H2H formats, I factor in weekly consistency first, then upside second, as a way to differentiate between players who have similar projections.
Dan Hindery - Slot 2
|1.02||2||Jones, Julio ATL WR|
|2.11||23||Reed, Jordan WAS TE|
|3.02||26||Marshall, Brandon NYJ WR|
|4.11||47||Hyde, Carlos SFO RB|
|5.02||50||Benjamin, Kelvin CAR WR|
|6.11||71||Lockett, Tyler SEA WR|
|7.02||74||Jones, Matt WAS RB|
|8.11||95||Jones, Marvin DET WR|
|9.02||98||Austin, Tavon RAM WR|
|10.11||119||Ivory, Chris JAC RB|
|11.02||122||Bennett, Martellus NEP TE|
|12.11||143||Cousins, Kirk WAS QB|
|13.02||146||Stafford, Matthew DET QB|
|14.11||167||Ferguson, Josh IND RB (R)|
|15.02||170||Booker, Devontae DEN RB (R)|
|16.11||191||Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def|
|17.02||194||Wallace, Mike BAL WR|
|18.11||215||Hightower, Tim NOS RB|
|19.02||218||Collins, Alex SEA RB (R)|
|20.11||239||Walsh, Blair MIN PK|
ZeroQB, light on early running backs.
Chris Ivory, 10.11, RB40. We are digging deeper here with this pick, but it was one of the best values in the draft. When employing a draft strategy that involves foregoing running backs early, making savvy mid-to-late-round picks is paramount. Ivory is such a pick for Hindery. Why is Ivory going so late? Yes, he has an injury history, and he has to contend with T.J. Yeldon in the Jaguars backfield. When he is on the field, though, Ivory has proven time and again to be a valuable fantasy asset.
Carlos Hyde, 4.11, RB16. Footballguys rankers are all over the map on Carlos Hyde. Hindery just happened to catch an evaluator who is pretty far south on the 49ers running back. The San Francisco offense is simply not to be trusted, even under Chip Kelly. Is it possible Hyde breaks out in a new offense? Certainly. But taking him as the 16th running back off the board seems a bit hopeful at this point.
He didn’t quite go ZeroRB, but Hindery obviously went away from the position early in favor of receivers and tight end. Jordan Reed near the end of the second round was a fabulous pickup, nearly the best pick of Hindery’s draft. He may have waited a bit long to take a quarterback--Kirk Cousins isn’t exactly inspiring as a fantasy starter--but Hindery’s team is well stocked everywhere else.
1. Which would you rather have on your roster, a WR2 on a strong offense or a WR1 on a weak offense? Explain your answer.
It depends upon the specifics, but I generally get more excited about the upside of a WR1 on a weak offense (like my selection at 9.02 - Tavon Austin) than most WR2s. However, the situation I am really looking for after the first five rounds is a WR2 on a strong offense with a real opportunity to emerge as the WR1. Two of my favorite players who fit that description this year are Tyler Lockett (6.11) and Marvin Jones (8.11). Lockett is being drafted approximately two rounds after his teammate Doug Baldwin. But Lockett is more explosive and has built major buzz this offseason and could easily end up out producing Baldwin. Similarly, in Detroit, most assume Golden Tate will be the top target and he is going off the board three or four rounds earlier than Jones. However, Jones is a similar talent to Tate and is arguably a more well-rounded receiver due to his size and speed. Lions beat writers are already speculating that Jones will be the top receiver and his $40M contract indicates that he will be a big part of the Detroit passing offense that exploded over the second half of the 2015 season.
2. Six of your seven wide receivers were selected before the 10th round. Explain this strategy and why you chose to use it.
With the pass-heavy nature of today’s NFL, it is nearly impossible to win a PPR league without being stacked at wide receiver. Thus, it makes sense to load up on high-upside receivers in the first half of the draft. In this format, most weeks the best play will be to have four receivers in the starting lineup. With a pair of every week starters (Julio Jones and Brandon Marshall) and four other strong options for the final two spots (Kelvin Benjamin, Tyler Lockett, Marvin Jones and Tavon Austin), it would be easy to fill out a strong lineup every week.
Drafting WR-heavy in the first half of the draft also allows you to take more fliers on talented backup running backs in the second half of the draft. With the amount of injuries that occur at running back, chances are good that at least one of the late-round backs will make an impact.
It is also worth noting that draft position dictates much of your early-round strategy this year. Drafting second overall, it’s a no-brainer to take either Antonio Brown or Julio Jones. Then by 2.11/3.02, the top couple tiers of running backs are usually already off the board. Thus, you are left looking at pass catchers at the 2/3 turn unless you want to reach for a running back.
3. Pick one of the three rookie running backs you drafted and share why you like that player this year.
Colts rookie Josh Ferguson is one of my favorite late-round targets this year for a number of reasons. First, the Indianapolis running back depth chart is nearly devoid of talent behind Frank Gore. Ferguson has very little competition and should win the backup job fairly easily. Second, Ferguson is exactly the type of player who can make a major impact in PPR leagues even in a part-time role. The Indianapolis coaches have compared him to Darren Sproles. He also plays similarly to Dion Lewis and Theo Riddick. Ferguson could be a solid RB2/Flex option and bye week fill-in as the second back in what should be a prolific Colts offense. Lastly, Frank Gore is 33-years old. We have strong evidence that advancing age increases injury risk. The odds are good that at some point in 2016, Gore is going to miss some games. Ferguson, as the top back in Indianapolis, would be a must-start if that occurs.
Danny Tuccitto - Slot 3
|1.03||3||Beckham, Odell NYG WR|
|2.10||22||Charles, Jamaal KCC RB|
|3.03||27||McCoy, LeSean BUF RB|
|4.10||46||Forte, Matt NYJ RB|
|5.03||51||Tate, Golden DET WR|
|6.10||70||Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR|
|7.03||75||Gates, Antonio SDC TE|
|8.10||94||Seferian-Jenkins, Austin TBB TE|
|9.03||99||Rivers, Philip SDC QB|
|10.10||118||Aiken, Kamar BAL WR|
|11.03||123||Cameron, Jordan MIA TE|
|12.10||142||Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (R)|
|13.03||147||Howard, Jordan CHI RB (R)|
|14.10||166||Britt, Kenny RAM WR|
|15.03||171||Smallwood, Wendell PHI RB (R)|
|16.10||190||Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK|
|17.03||195||Bridgewater, Teddy MIN QB|
|18.10||214||Patton, Quinton SFO WR|
|19.03||219||Packers, Green Bay GBP Def|
|20.10||238||Mitchell, Malcolm NEP WR (R)|
The opposite of ZeroRB.
Philip Rivers, 9.03, QB7. While Carson Palmer might have been a better choice here, picking up a starting quarterback with top-five potential in the ninth round was a coup for Tuccitto. Rivers was on fire last season before Keenan Allen went down with injury. Allen is back, and he is now flanked by speedster Travis Benjamin and rookie Hunter Henry backing up Antonio Gates. If the team can stay relatively healthy, Rivers is in for a big year.
Matt Forte, 4.10, RB15. Taking Forte as the 15th running back off the board isn’t terrible at face value. Even if Bilal Powell is going to seriously cut into Forte’s fantasy production, the former Bear has been a consistent producer. What makes this Tuccitto’s worst pick is that Forte is his third running back in the first four rounds.
Bucking the ZeroRB trend could be forward thinking on Tuccitto’s part. After all, zagging when everyone else is zigging has won many a fantasy football championship. The trio he grabbed at the top could be special, or it could be an abject disaster. Jamaal Charles is coming off his second torn ACL, LeSean McCoy may never recapture his magic, and Matt Forte is a 30-year-old likely stuck in a timeshare. Outside all that risk, though, Tuccitto built a solid squad.
Justin Howe - Slot 4
|1.04||4||Green, A.J. CIN WR|
|2.09||21||Freeman, Devonta ATL RB|
|3.04||28||Landry, Jarvis MIA WR|
|4.09||45||Ertz, Zach PHI TE|
|5.04||52||Moncrief, Donte IND WR|
|6.09||69||Decker, Eric NYJ WR|
|7.04||76||Ebron, Eric DET TE|
|8.09||93||Gore, Frank IND RB|
|9.04||100||Riddick, Theo DET RB|
|10.09||117||Manning, Eli NYG QB|
|11.04||124||Graham, Jimmy SEA TE|
|12.09||141||Prosise, C.J. SEA RB (R)|
|13.04||148||Dalton, Andy CIN QB|
|14.09||165||Starks, James GBP RB|
|15.04||172||Taylor, Tyrod BUF QB|
|16.09||189||Garcon, Pierre WAS WR|
|17.04||196||Crowder, Jamison WAS WR|
|18.09||213||Johnson, Stevie SDC WR|
|19.04||220||Hauschka, Steven SEA PK|
|20.09||237||Jets, New York NYJ Def|
Winning the draft.
Eric Decker, 6.09, WR32. Eric Decker is getting no love this offseason, including from yours truly. In spite of outperforming his ADP pretty much his entire career, Decker is barely being drafted as a WR3 this offseason. Granted, New York’s quarterback situation is problematic, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see Ryan Fitzpatrick sign soon. Decker is a great fourth receiver for Howe’s team.
Zach Ertz, 4.09, TE8. Howe’s draft was solid all around, so it was tough to choose a “worst” pick. But we must, and so Zach Ertz it is. There isn’t a lot to hate with the pick in this format, but Ertz felt like a consolation pick after Coby Fleener got swiped out from under Howe. His fantasy production is a bit hazy in a new offense with a potentially unsettled quarterback situation.
If only Howe had picked a quarterback one round sooner. Had he gone with, say, Carson Palmer, Howe’s draft would have been a home run. Alas, he will have to settle for a triple. Eli Manning isn’t so bad, I suppose. Taking A.J. Green and Devonta Freeman was an ideal start--particularly with Freeman, who continues to be undervalued in PPR formats. Howe has great depth at receiver and huge upside at tight end. This team is well-built for a hot start.
1. What strategy would you recommend for attacking this draft with a dual flex and 1.5 PPR for tight ends?
You want tight ends, of course; their reception advantage is huge. Rob Gronkowski, for example, surpasses the likes of A.J. Green and DeAndre Hopkins in this format and is worthy of a top-5 pick. But it's important to target the right TEs. That is, you'll only see big benefits from high-volume guys. Low-usage TD-makers like Dwayne Allen and Austin Seferian-Jenkins don't get the same bump and luster as someone like Zach Ertz, who carries a real 75-catch outlook.
It's also nice to target versatile, athletic receiving TEs later on, guys who line up on the line AND in the slot. They find themselves on the field more than usual, and they're typically woven a little deeper into the passing game. If you can land someone like Ladarius Green, who spends gobs of time in the slot and is therefore utilized downfield more, you'll wind up extracting value.
2. It's popular to select players on high scoring offenses. Who are some players that you would target on average or even low scoring offenses? Explain why drafting such a player or players can be beneficial.
I'm fine chasing a guy whose offense carries an iffy outlook - provided he's a dominator of that offense. Often, a bad offense is bad because it lacks a cadre of talented skill position guys - but no NFL team carries literally zero weapons. There's value to be mined in the middle rounds, while your leaguemates are clamoring and bidding on the No. 3 and 4 wideouts in New Orleans and Pittsburgh. Torrey Smith, for example, is the 49ers' only proven WR; he should absolutely gobble up targets in Chip Kelly's offense and make a run at 80 catches. Yet he's typically available later than the likes of.Sterling Shepard, DeSean Jackson, and even Kevin White.
On this roster, Ertz is one of those discounts I took advantage of. No, the Eagles passing game won't be good, and no, their pace and scoring outlooks are fairly poor. But between the 20s, Ertz should hog a ton of attention. There's not much proven talent at wideout - even Jordan Matthews has warts and fails to leap off the page - and Ertz could excel on underneath and intermediate routes. Yet he's tossed aside over and over for high-octane question marks like Coby Fleener and Ladarius Green.
3. What one player do you covet in nearly every draft? Why are you high on this player this year?
Based solely on value, I'm all over a couple of serious veterans - Frank Gore and Steve Smith - and I landed them both in this draft. But Gore is the one I'm targeting all over the place. There's little chance that, barring injury, he's not at least a RB2 at season's end. He's the only proven viable back in a typically powerful offense. He was given 297 touches last year - that's great volume for any RB, let alone one on a bad team quarterbacked largely by Matt Hasselbeck. With Andrew Luck healthy and Rob Chudzinski running the offensive show, Gore should see a spike in his efficiency and red zone usage. He may be old, but his situation dictates he won't need to be particularly explosive, or dynamic, or even good - the volume and touchdown opportunities should pour in. There's little chance that, barring injury, he's not at least a RB2 at season's end. I got him way, way too late.
Will Grant - Slot 5
|1.05||5||Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE|
|2.08||20||Cooper, Amari OAK WR|
|3.05||29||Johnson, Duke CLE RB|
|4.08||44||Fleener, Coby NOS TE|
|5.05||53||Rawls, Thomas SEA RB|
|6.08||68||Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB|
|7.05||77||Snead, Willie NOS WR|
|8.08||92||Gordon, Melvin SDC RB|
|9.05||101||Treadwell, Laquon MIN WR (R)|
|10.08||116||Matthews, Rishard TEN WR|
|11.05||125||Vereen, Shane NYG RB|
|12.08||140||Dorsett, Phillip IND WR|
|13.05||149||Panthers, Carolina CAR Def|
|14.08||164||McFadden, Darren DAL RB|
|15.05||173||Williams, Terrance DAL WR|
|16.08||188||Thompson, Chris WAS RB|
|17.05||197||Smith, Alex KCC QB|
|18.08||212||Boswell, Chris PIT PK|
|19.05||221||Kearse, Jermaine SEA WR|
|20.08||236||Cruz, Victor NYG WR|
Dominating tight ends and taking BPA.
Coby Fleener, 4.08, TE7. True, Grant already had Rob Gronkowski on the books. But why not eat his cake, too? If history is any indication, Coby Fleener is going to be a huge asset in FFPC formats. That’s because Drew Brees and the Saints have targeted their top tight ends a whopping 132 times a year over the past five seasons. Ben Watson trailed off with 110 targets last season, but he was a 34-year-old journeyman. Younger, more talented Fleener figures to at least match that barring injury. If he and Gronkowski can stay upright all year long, they are going to score a ton of points for Grant’s squad.
Duke Johnson, 3.05, RB11. Duke Johnson is a great option in PPR formats. But is he a top-12 guy? More importantly, is he being drafted in the third round? Picking a running back there wasn’t a bad idea, but Grant probably could have waited to snag Johnson. Considering the fact tight ends crash the ADP party in FFPC formats, it’s feasible Johnson could have gone in the fifth round or later.
The two-tight-end strategy is boom-or-bust, but it has massive potential. It comes at the expense of wide receivers in this case--Grant has a high-risk group that will require plenty of in-season maintenance to maximize production. Incidentally, Aaron Rodgers in the sixth round was a steal.
Clayton Gray - Slot 6
|1.06||6||Gurley, Todd RAM RB|
|2.07||19||Jeffery, Alshon CHI WR|
|3.06||30||Kelce, Travis KCC TE|
|4.07||43||Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR|
|5.06||54||Crabtree, Michael OAK WR|
|6.07||67||Woodhead, Danny SDC RB|
|7.06||78||Brees, Drew NOS QB|
|8.07||91||Hill, Jeremy CIN RB|
|9.06||102||Yeldon, T.J. JAC RB|
|10.07||115||Brady, Tom NEP QB|
|11.06||126||Coleman, Tevin ATL RB|
|12.07||139||Funchess, Devin CAR WR|
|13.06||150||Wright, Kendall TEN WR|
|14.07||163||Heuerman, Jeff DEN TE|
|15.06||174||Coates, Sammie PIT WR|
|16.07||187||Cook, Jared GBP TE|
|17.06||198||Spiller, C.J. NOS RB|
|18.07||211||Tamme, Jacob ATL TE|
|19.06||222||Catanzaro, Chandler ARI PK|
|20.07||235||Eagles, Philadelphia PHI Def|
As balanced as possible.
Jared Cook, 16.07, TE28. Calling a late-round tight end the best pick of Gray’s draft isn’t an indictment. It just so happens to be a fantastic pick. True, Cook has baited us all in the past on the promise of his raw athleticism. He has apparently burned everyone enough to let him fall to the 16th round in a tight end-friendly format. Yes, he technically has to win the job over Richard Rodgers--not to mention overcome the foot surgery that has him on the PUP list--but Cook has the potential to be a top-10 tight end now that he has an actual quarterback throwing him the ball.
Tom Brady, 10.07, QB10. Tom Brady in the 10th round was a head-scratcher for multiple reasons. Not only had Gray already drafted Brees--thus making him the first to take two quarterbacks, taking a second before Howe even took his first--but Brady’s suspension makes this an odd pick. Granted, Brees will be the starter while Brady sits, but why take a player like Brady so early when the position was clearly depressed in value? What good is having two quarterbacks so early if it means hamstringing yourself at other positions?
Gray had a solid draft, and his two-quarterback gambit could work out in the end. Travis Kelce was a nice pick in the third round of this format, and Brees was a great value. The team doesn’t scream “championship” at first blush, but some solid pickups could have Gray eyeing the grand prize at the end of the season.
Andrew Katz - Slot 7
|1.07||7||Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB (R)|
|2.06||18||Evans, Mike TBB WR|
|3.07||31||Cooks, Brandin NOS WR|
|4.06||42||Edelman, Julian NEP WR|
|5.07||55||Mathews, Ryan PHI RB|
|6.06||66||Murray, DeMarco TEN RB|
|7.07||79||Smith, Torrey SFO WR|
|8.06||90||Gordon, Josh CLE WR|
|9.07||103||Witten, Jason DAL TE|
|10.06||114||Bortles, Blake JAC QB|
|11.07||127||Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE|
|12.06||138||Hogan, Chris NEP WR|
|13.07||151||Allen, Javorius BAL RB|
|14.06||162||Mariota, Marcus TEN QB|
|15.07||175||Ware, Spencer KCC RB|
|16.06||186||Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def|
|17.07||199||Woods, Robert BUF WR|
|18.06||210||Nelson, J.J. ARI WR|
|19.07||223||Higbee, Tyler RAM TE (R)|
|20.06||234||Aguayo, Roberto TBB PK (R)|
Receivers and running backs early, wait at tight end.
Josh Gordon, 8.06, WR41. We should all be so lucky to have the Warg powers Andrew Katz seems to possess. Josh Gordon has been a popular sleeper pick, but it seemed insane to take him in the eighth round. News of Gordon’s reinstatement was still days away when Katz made this pick, a prescient work of genius. True, Gordon is one misstep away from banishment, and the Browns may not have a place for him right now. But there is little risk in taking Gordon as the 41st receiver off the board right now, an excellent value in hindsight.
Jason Witten, 9.07, TE16. There wasn’t a ton to dislike about Katz’s draft, but his tight end corps left plenty to be desired. Even with Tony Romo coming back, Jason Witten is just too far beyond his prime to be counted on as a consistent fantasy option. Pickings were slim by that point, so Katz made the most of a bad situation. He waited a bit too long to grab his first tight end, and the pick was uninspiring.
In spite of his tight end situation, Katz could well dominate the league with his start. Zeke Elliott, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, and Julian Edelman is a fantastic first four. Katz took advantage of DeMarco Murray being completely undervalued, too.
John Mamula - Slot 8
|1.08||8||Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR|
|2.05||17||Peterson, Adrian MIN RB|
|3.08||32||Watkins, Sammy BUF WR|
|4.05||41||Newton, Cam CAR QB|
|5.08||56||Eifert, Tyler CIN TE|
|6.05||65||Hurns, Allen JAC WR|
|7.08||80||Ajayi, Jay MIA RB|
|8.05||89||Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB|
|9.08||104||Jackson, DeSean WAS WR|
|10.05||113||Jackson, Vincent TBB WR|
|11.08||128||Sproles, Darren PHI RB|
|12.05||137||McKinnon, Jerick MIN RB|
|13.08||152||Smith, Steve BAL WR|
|14.05||161||Rodgers, Richard GBP TE|
|15.08||176||Rams, Los Angeles RAM Def|
|16.05||185||Ginn Jr., Ted CAR WR|
|17.08||200||Osweiler, Brock HOU QB|
|18.05||209||Hillman, Ronnie DEN RB|
|19.08||224||Crosby, Mason GBP PK|
|20.05||233||Carey, Ka'Deem CHI RB|
Tyler Eifert, 5.08, TE9. It was tempting to put DeAngelo Williams here, a great value at RB30. But Tyler Eifert is a championship difference-maker. Indeed, Tyler Eifert may not be ready for the start of the season after having ankle surgery stemming from a Pro Bowl injury. But he will be back soon after the season begins, and he brings some huge upside when he’s on the field. Eifert may not score at the clip he did last season--13 touchdowns in 13 games is simply unsustainable--but he will be Andy Dalton’s second-best target. Mamula was able to snag him so late in this format because the injury risk was baked into his ADP.
Cam Newton, 4.05, QB1. It isn’t that Cam Newton is a bad pick in a vacuum. He is the reigning fantasy champ at his position, after all. But it had to sting Mamula to see nearly two full rounds of drafting before the next quarterback came off the board. With so many quarterback values in this draft, taking one in the fourth round turned out to be a luxurious mistake.
Mamula’s team has a high ceiling. It also has a basement.
DeAndre Hopkins is amazing, but how will he fare with newcomer Brock Osweiler at the helm? Adrian Peterson is legendary, but even he can’t run over Father Time. Sammy Watkins and Tyler Eifert have huge upside, but are they ticking time bombs?
1. Your selection of Cam Newton in the fourth round is excellent value. Explain how using the Draft Dominator App can be a beneficial tool for your draft.
Using the Draft Dominator has many advantages over an opponent who is using a different system for drafting. I always make sure to change the league scoring system and roster construction prior to the draft as this makes a difference with the players that you should be targeting. Adjusting the Dominator to your own projections also helps the process. During the draft, when it is approaching my pick, I am looking for tiers of players at each position in the Dominator. Can I hold off selecting a RB this round because there are 4-5 similar ranked RBs? If you are drafting out of the 2-5 or 8-11 spots, the Dominator "Team Stats" window helps by showing the needs of the teams that draft behind you. If you are between a QB1 or a WR and you see that all of the teams behind you have already drafted a QB1, then you can select the WR and hold off drafting the QB that you are targeting until the next round.
2. Would you rather have strength in your starting running backs or starting wide receivers? Explain.
It depends on your league scoring system. In PPR leagues and 1.5 TE PPR leagues, there is a massive advantage having the strength on your roster at the WR and TE positions. If you hold off at the WR and TE position, it puts your team significantly behind the rest of your league from the start. A solid plan is to load up at WR or TE, target one reliable RB, and then try to land a break out RB off the waiver wire.
3. What players are you targeting in nearly all of your drafts this year? Explain why you're high on these players.
I agree that Cam Newton was excellent value in this draft. I am targeting Newton anytime after the mid 3rd round this season. He gives you such an edge at the QB position due to his rushing TD upside. If I miss out on Newton or Aaron Rodgers, I am content to wait for a QB. Philip Rivers, Blake Bortles, Eli Manning and Ryan Tannehill are some of the late QBs that I prefer this season.
Ezekiel Elliott is the main RB that I am targeting mid-late 1st round in my drafts. He has the perfect opportunity in Dallas and it would not surprise me if he finished as the Top RB at the end of this season.
It's all about Jordan Reed at the TE position. I was hoping that he would drop to me in the 3rd round, but with 1.5 PPR for TE, I can see why Dan drafted him at the end of the 2nd round. If he stays healthy, he will post huge numbers again in the Redskins offense.
Chris Feery - Slot 9
|1.09||9||Johnson, David ARI RB|
|2.04||16||Hilton, T.Y. IND WR|
|3.09||33||Martin, Doug TBB RB|
|4.04||40||Maclin, Jeremy KCC WR|
|5.09||57||Thomas, Julius JAC TE|
|6.04||64||Luck, Andrew IND QB|
|7.09||81||Coleman, Corey CLE WR (R)|
|8.04||88||Abdullah, Ameer DET RB|
|9.09||105||Wheaton, Markus PIT WR|
|10.04||112||Miller, Zach CHI TE|
|11.09||129||Sanu, Mohamed ATL WR|
|12.04||136||Powell, Bilal NYJ RB|
|13.09||153||Tye, Will NYG TE|
|14.04||160||Flacco, Joe BAL QB|
|15.09||177||Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def|
|16.04||184||Gillislee, Mike BUF RB|
|17.09||201||Carroo, Leonte MIA WR (R)|
|18.04||208||Bills, Buffalo BUF Def|
|19.09||225||Gano, Graham CAR PK|
|20.04||232||Griffin III, Robert CLE QB|
Running backs early, balanced overall.
Andrew Luck, 6.04, QB2. Andrew Luck may not be at the top of the list for many fantasy footballers this offseason, but he should be. As disastrous as his 2015 campaign was, Luck was among the top in per-game fantasy scoring last season. He will be back with a better-on-paper offensive line and an explosive offense around him. The quarterback liable to finish atop the leaderboard in fantasy scoring is a steal in the sixth round, especially considering Cam Newton was taken two rounds earlier.
T.Y. Hilton, 2.04, WR10. Stacking Hilton with Luck was fortuitous, but that cannot have been the initial goal. Hilton certainly has a high ceiling, but his output can wildly fluctuate from game-to-game. Meanwhile, guys like Alshon Jeffery, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper were still on the board when Mamula grabbed Hilton.
What is happening to Doug Martin’s draft stock? No matter--he was Feery’s second-best pick, a great anchor at running back alongside David Johnson. Unfortunately, taking two running backs in the first three rounds created a bit of a vacuum at receiver for Feery.
1. Pick a player that you drafted in the 11th round or later and explain why you are high on that player this year.
This draft actually seemed to break pretty well for me in terms of the later rounds, and I never felt like I was in the position of scrambling to find a valid selection. I was able to snag several players that I’m pretty high on in the later rounds, but if I had to pick just one, I would go with Mohamed Sanu, my 11th round selection.
There is a considerable drop off in the ranks of Falcons pass catchers once you get past Julio Jones, which led the team to sign Sanu this offseason to fill the WR2 slot. He was relatively productive in a limited role with the Bengals in recent years, but the Falcons are banking on a leap forward in productivity - and I’m sold on that possibility as well.
The Falcons attempted 621 passes in 2015, of which an eye-popping 204 headed in the direction of Jones. That still leaves a plethora of targets for the rest of the Falcons pass catchers, and the majority of them should find their way towards Sanu. He’s a player I view as a breakout candidate for 2016, and I was happy to take him off the board in the 11th round.
2. Who would you start at your two flex options for Week 1 - explain why these players deserve a spot in your starting lineup.
At this early juncture, I’m leaning heavily towards starting Corey Coleman and Will Tye as my flex options. For a full PPR league that bumps it up to 1.5 points for tight ends, my initial inclination each week will be to start a WR and TE at the flex. Matchups will ultimately dictate the week’s final lineup of course, but that will be my starting point each week and I’ll allow my research to point me to the best course of action from that point.
For these two players specifically, I’m high on both of their prospects for 2016 as a whole, and the matchups shape up pretty well for Week 1. Coleman should quickly establish himself as a focal point of the Browns offense, and there’s no better place to start that than against an Eagles team that is employing the services of a new head coach, and by extension a completely different defensive scheme than they ran in 2015.
For Tye, he did a solid job in 2015 when he was thrust into the starting role, and he appears to have the inside track on the job for this season. He developed some decent chemistry with Eli Manning, and that should continue to evolve with a full camp and preseason together. Week 1’s matchup with the Cowboys could very well turn into a back-and-forth type of affair. When there’s a Manning behind center, they tend to lean on the TE heavily in the passing game. That bodes well for Tye’s prospects in 2016 as a whole, and leaves me optimistic for a productive Week 1 in a potential shootout.
3. Corey Coleman was the first rookie wide receiver selected in this draft, explain why you drafted him over other rookie wide receivers (Treadwell, Shepard, etc).
I’m pretty high on this year’s crop of rookie receivers as a whole, but Corey Coleman stands out to me as the one that will have the most immediate impact. The Browns had an absolute dearth of talent at the wide receiver position in 2015, an issue that they addressed by selecting multiple receivers in this year’s draft. Coleman leaps to the top of the depth chart immediately, and he should have all the targets he can handle in his rookie campaign.
All signs point to his skill set transitioning well to the pro game, and he was a highly productive receiver during his college career at Baylor. The Browns are installing a new offense courtesy of new head coach Hue Jackson, and it’s one that will be more pass-friendly in general. If the transition to the pro game goes as smoothly as anticipated, Coleman will find himself with a huge role for his rookie season.
One caveat that is worth mentioning: This draft was held prior to the reinstatement of Josh Gordon. He’ll still be on the shelf for the first four games of the regular season, but the Browns will give him the opportunity to prove himself in training camp. While there is no denying his considerable talent, he’ll have to prove that his demons are fully at bay to secure his role with the club.
Regardless of how things play out with Gordon, Coleman is in a position to succeed. If Gordon is out of the picture, Coleman should quickly establish himself as the unquestioned top target in the Browns passing attack. If things work out well with Gordon, two receivers of their caliber can form one of the more feared duos in the league. The timing of Gordon’s return could work out perfectly as well. If Coleman hits the ground running and starts receiving extra attention from the secondary in the early part of the season, Gordon will be returning for the Browns fifth game to provide some relief.
Cian Fahey - Slot 10
|1.10||10||Miller, Lamar HOU RB|
|2.03||15||Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB|
|3.10||34||Walker, Delanie TEN TE|
|4.03||39||Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR|
|5.10||58||Murray, Latavius OAK RB|
|6.03||63||Green, Ladarius PIT TE|
|7.10||82||Forsett, Justin BAL RB|
|8.03||87||Shepard, Sterling NYG WR (R)|
|9.10||106||Diggs, Stefon MIN WR|
|10.03||111||Benjamin, Travis SDC WR|
|11.10||130||Tannehill, Ryan MIA QB|
|12.03||135||Blount, LeGarrette NEP RB|
|13.10||154||Broncos, Denver DEN Def|
|14.03||159||Romo, Tony DAL QB|
|15.10||178||Watson, Ben BAL TE|
|16.03||183||Ellington, Bruce SFO WR|
|17.10||202||Montgomery, Ty GBP WR|
|18.03||207||Johnson, Chris ARI RB|
|19.10||226||Bailey, Dan DAL PK|
|20.03||231||Amaro, Jace NYJ TE|
Late Round QB.
Travis Benjamin, 10.03, WR48. Predicting performance from players who change teams can be tricky business. Travis Benjamin may be trickier to predict than most. The former Brown never got a chance to play with a quality quarterback, yet he had some huge games in his breakout 2015 campaign. But injuries and inconsistency have plagued him throughout his career. Still, as the 48th receiver off the board, Fahey may have gotten a huge steal now that Benjamin is catching passes from Philip Rivers.
Justin Forsett, 7.10, RB26. Do we know what’s going to happen in the Ravens backfield this season? Justin Forsett could bounce back from injury and have another big year. The 30-year-old could also lose his job to Lorenzo Taliaferro, Javorious Allen, or even rookie Kenneth Dixon. It just seems like too much risk to take him--or any other Ravens back--this early.
Ryan Tannehill and Tony Romo make for a fantastic quarterback-by-committee. Both are boom-or-bust options that allowed Fahey to focus elsewhere earlier in the draft.
1. You drafted LeVeon Bell at pick 2.03 and then missed out on DeAngelo Williams who was picked at 8.05. Explain why selecting Bell is (or isn't) a risky pick.
Bell is going to miss the first four games so you have to be okay with that when you pick him. He is the most valuable back in the draft when available and it came down to a choice between him and Devonta Freeman. Freeman was the safer, generally more appealing choice but I wanted to be aggressive in this format. DeAngello Williams was taken one round before I was planning to take him so that was just a miscalculation on my part. Regardless I think I still found good value RBs to get me through the first month of the season unscathed.
2. Who is a player that you are avoiding in drafts and explain why you have little interest in them.
There are a few. Julius Thomas, Chris Hogan and pretty much any QB taken before the first 10 rounds. Mostly I like to avoid WRs in the first two rounds because ZeroRB has become so popular now that people are reaching for WRs to let other quality players fall. I've only taken WRs in early rounds when I've been at the very top of the draft or picking later in the second round.
3. Does your drafting strategy change knowing you can make inh-season waiver pick ups? Explain why this could be beneficial.
I tend to avoid picking up a second QB and defense depending on the structure and value I find. I'm also more interested in consistent producers rather than upside options the more the draft progresses.
Chris Kuczynski - Slot 11
|1.11||11||Bryant, Dez DAL WR|
|2.02||14||Allen, Keenan SDC WR|
|3.11||35||Cobb, Randall GBP WR|
|4.02||38||Anderson, C.J. DEN RB|
|5.11||59||Matthews, Jordan PHI WR|
|6.02||62||Bernard, Giovani CIN RB|
|7.11||83||Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB|
|8.02||86||White, Kevin CHI WR|
|9.11||107||Henry, Derrick TEN RB (R)|
|10.02||110||Palmer, Carson ARI QB|
|11.11||131||Green-Beckham, Dorial TEN WR|
|12.02||134||Clay, Charles BUF TE|
|13.11||155||Winston, Jameis TBB QB|
|14.02||158||Washington, DeAndre OAK RB (R)|
|15.11||179||Perkins, Paul NYG RB (R)|
|16.02||182||Fuller, Will HOU WR (R)|
|17.11||203||Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R)|
|18.02||206||Patriots, New England NEP Def|
|19.11||227||Brown, Josh NYG PK|
|20.02||230||Artis-Payne, Cameron CAR RB|
Wide receivers and running backs galore.
Carson Palmer, 10.02, QB8. The Cardinals passing offense was among the best in the league last season. There is little reason to believe that won’t be the case again in 2016.
Kevin White, 8.02, WR39. The great Kevin White hype has fizzled a bit in recent weeks, but he is still being taken rather highly in drafts. We just don’t know what is going to come of him after missing his entire rookie season with a nasty-sounding shin injury. Exacerbating the pick is the fact Kuczynski already had four receivers on his squad.
Kuczynski’s draft was among the favorites, even if he waited far, far too long to draft a tight end. It’s fine to try to find some value at the position to strengthen others, but drafting Charles Clay as your first tight end in this format could be a problem. Kuczynski has plenty of talent at running back and wide receiver as a result, and his quarterback should be among the fantasy elite if he stays healthy. Here’s to wringing production out of a tight end committee this season.
John Lee - Slot 12
|1.12||12||Nelson, Jordy GBP WR|
|2.01||13||Robinson, Allen JAC WR|
|3.12||36||Barnidge, Gary CLE TE|
|4.01||37||Lacy, Eddie GBP RB|
|5.12||60||Parker, DeVante MIA WR|
|6.01||61||Brown, John ARI WR|
|7.12||84||Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB|
|8.01||85||Langford, Jeremy CHI RB|
|9.12||108||Jennings, Rashad NYG RB|
|10.01||109||Foster, Arian MIA RB|
|11.12||132||Walford, Clive OAK TE|
|12.01||133||Doctson, Josh WAS WR (R)|
|13.12||156||Ryan, Matt ATL QB|
|14.01||157||Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def|
|15.12||180||Coleman, Brandon NOS WR|
|16.01||181||Seahawks, Seattle SEA Def|
|17.12||204||White, James NEP RB|
|18.01||205||West, Charcandrick KCC RB|
|19.12||228||Santos, Cairo KCC PK|
|20.01||229||Vinatieri, Adam IND PK|
Eddie Lacy, 4.12, RB13. Lee’s draft was a sea of solid picks, none of which particularly stood out. This isn’t a bad thing, there just seemed to be value everywhere you looked. Eddie Lacy might be the best of those values, even if he isn’t well-liked in the fantasy community these days.
Arian Foster, 10.01, RB39. As the 39th running back off the board, Arian Foster doesn’t carry much risk. He is a fine Zero RB option later in drafts, particularly because he has been a great pass-catching back throughout his career. But he is 30, and he is coming off a ruptured Achilles. Even this late, the 10th round feels too early to legitimately fit Foster into drafts.
Lee came the closest to a ZeroRB strategy among his peers in the draft. Eddie Lacy was a nice pick in the fourth round, then Lee waited until the eighth to take his second back, Jeremy Langford. As risky as that sounds, the strategy is designed to maximize potential at other positions. Lee did just that--he’d just need strong in-season management to ensure production at running back.
Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to firstname.lastname@example.org