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Footballguys Staff Mock Draft 11, 12 team Superflex, PPR

On August 13th, the Footballguys staff got together for their 11th draft of 2016. A 20-round Superflex PPR mock draft where there are three flex options, one of which can be quarterback. Our Chad Parsons provides an unbiased summary of each team's draft.

On August 13th, the Footballguys staff completed a 12-team Superflex PPR mock draft. Below are the league's scoring and bylaws. 

League Parameters

  • 12 teams
  • 20 roster spots
  • Starting Lineup
    • 1 quarterback
    • 2 running backs
    • 3 wide receivers
    • 1 tight end
    • 3 flex (two can be running back, wide receiver or tight end. One can be a quarterback)
    • 1 team defense

League Scoring

  • Offensive Players
    • 4 points - passing touchdown
    • 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
    • 0.05 points - passing yard
    • 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
  • Team Defense
    • 6 points - defensive or return touchdown
    • 2 points - turnover forced
    • 2 points - safety
    • 1 point - sack
    • 10 points - 0 points allowed
    • 7 points - 1-6 points allowed
    • 3 points - 7-14 points allowed
    • 0 points - 15-99 points allowed

The Draft Order

The draft order was randomly generated. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft, pick by pick or Grid Format

1. Jeff Tefertiller
2. Scott Biscoff
3. Alex Miglio
4. Dan Hindery
5. John Norton
6. Matt Bitonti
7. Jeff Haseley
8. Stephen Holloway
9. Justin Howe
10. Devin Knotts
11. BJ Vanderwoude
12. John Mamula

Starting with Jeff Tefertiller from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.

Jeff Tefertiller - Slot 1

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.01 1 WR Antonio Brown PIT
2.12 24 WR Jordy Nelson GBP
3.01 25 QB Tom Brady NEP
4.12 48 WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR
5.01 49 QB Tyrod Taylor BUF
6.12 72 WR Eric Decker NYJ
7.01 73 RB Duke Johnson CLE
8.12 96 WR Stefon Diggs MIN
9.01 97 WR Allen Hurns JAC
10.12 120 RB T.J. Yeldon JAC
11.01 121 RB Theo Riddick DET
12.12 144 RB DeAndre Washington OAK
13.01 145 QB Jimmy Garoppolo NEP
14.12 168 TE Clive Walford OAK
15.01 169 TE Jesse James PIT
16.12 192 TE Ladarius Green PIT
17.01 193 QB Paxton Lynch DEN
18.12 216 Def Los Angeles Rams RAM
19.01 217 RB Spencer Ware KCC
20.12 240 RB Kenyan Drake MIA

Overall Strategy

Late-Round Running Back

Best Pick

Jesse James, 15.01, TE21. After waiting on tight end until beyond the top-150, Tefertiller formed a quality commit of both Pittsburgh options and Clive Walford. James has boom-bust low-TE1 upside based on red zone usage alone if Ladarius Green misses time or retires as recent reports suggest.

Worst Pick

Jordy Nelson, 2.12, WR11. Tefertiller went the late-round running back route. Considering the wide receiver depth still available at 24 overall and getting Kelvin Benjamin at the next turn, Nelson was a luxury selection with attached risk of a receiver in his 30s returning from injury and lingering issues this preseason.

Evaluation

Tefertiller is a quality job covering his bases between getting both Steelers tight ends late and drafting Jimmy Garoppolo at QB30 after Tom Brady at QB7 to lock down the Patriots position. With two running back starting spots mandatory, Tefertiller’s results will hinge on all of his committee backs piecing together a season worth of production.

Scott Bischoff - Slot 2

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.02 2 WR Odell Beckham NYG
2.11 23 WR Brandin Cooks NOS
3.02 26 QB Carson Palmer ARI
4.11 47 RB Thomas Rawls SEA
5.02 50 QB Matthew Stafford DET
6.11 71 RB Dion Lewis NEP
7.02 74 WR John Brown ARI
8.11 95 RB DeAngelo Williams PIT
9.02 98 RB Frank Gore IND
10.11 119 WR Phillip Dorsett IND
11.02 122 TE Eric Ebron DET
12.11 143 TE Jimmy Graham SEA
13.02 146 TE Jared Cook GBP
14.11 167 WR Terrelle Pryor CLE
15.02 170 RB Terrance West BAL
16.11 191 RB Christine Michael SEA
17.02 194 WR Brandon LaFell CIN
18.11 215 Def New England Patriots NEP
19.02 218 Def Green Bay Packers GBP
20.11 239 QB Carson Wentz PHI

Overall Strategy

High-Risk, High-Reward

Best Pick

Carson Wentz, 20.11, QB38. In quarterback-premium Wentz outside the top-30 offers plenty of upside later in the season. Bischoff has two NFL starters, but Wentz could be a third option. In the final rounds of a draft, shooting for a weekly starter at a valuable position maximizes draft capital.

Worst Pick

Thomas Rawls, 4.11, RB14. Passing on Jameis Winston for Rawls returning from injury with a crowded depth chart in superflex is a loss of value. With his later picks at running back, Rawls was a risky luxury near the top of the draft.

Evaluation

Bischoff’s roster is filled with dominant potential if health and opportunity merge. With only two starting NFL quarterbacks (Carson Wentz could be an in-season addition), Bischoff will at least two weeks without a quarterback to flex and potentially more with Carson Palmer and Matthew Stafford no picture of an ironman. Dion Lewis returned from injury and his lone stretch of notable production in 2015. Thomas Rawls and Christine Michael could produce a potent weekly starter – or a frustrating committee. John Brown and Phillip Dorsett are potential impact players are receiver. Bischoff’s tight end group has three sizeable question marks with Jared Cook, Eric Ebron, and Jimmy Graham. Bischoff could be a title contender or a basement dweller with binary storylines this season.

Alex Miglio - Slot 3

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.03 3 WR Julio Jones ATL
2.10 22 WR Amari Cooper OAK
3.03 27 RB Devonta Freeman ATL
4.10 46 RB C.J. Anderson DEN
5.03 51 TE Jordan Reed WAS
6.10 70 RB Matt Forte NYJ
7.03 75 QB Brock Osweiler HOU
8.10 94 RB DeMarco Murray TEN
9.03 99 QB Alex Smith KCC
10.10 118 WR Sammie Coates PIT
11.03 123 WR Travis Benjamin SDC
12.10 142 QB Mark Sanchez DEN
13.03 147 WR Jaelen Strong HOU
14.10 166 TE Will Tye NYG
15.03 171 Def Kansas City Chiefs KCC
16.10 190 QB Colin Kaepernick SFO
17.03 195 TE Jordan Cameron MIA
18.10 214 QB Trevor Siemian DEN
19.03 219 RB Javorius Allen BAL
20.10 238 WR Davante Adams GBP

Overall Strategy

Late-Round Quarterback

Best Pick

Alex Smith, 9.03, QB24. Mobile quarterbacks have a sturdy fantasy floor. While the Kansas City offense is not a dynamic downfield attack, Smith is an entrenched starter and Miglio bought Smith below his fantasy production downside.

Worst Pick

Matt Forte, 6.10, RB17. With a balanced core, Forte was the luxury selection of the early rounds for Miglio without a quarterback yet. There were plenty of running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends with a better blend of floor and ceiling outcomes at a better spot in their career arc like John Brown, Michael Floyd, Coby Fleener, and Giovani Bernard.

Evaluation

Miglio took a scattershot approach to quarterback in this superflex format – a strategy which can pay big dividends if hitting on the right quarterback or two. Doubling up on Denver options offers some insulation for a viable top-20 play, while Brock Osweiler offers similar production. Alex Smith is the best blend of ceiling and floor, while Colin Kaepernick may be the highest upside option of the entire bunch. With viable top-end starters and depth at the other positions, Miglio needs viability and predictability out of his quarterback stable to push for the championship.

Dan Hindery - Slot 4

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.04 4 QB Cam Newton CAR
2.09 21 WR Keenan Allen SDC
3.04 28 WR Mike Evans TBB
4.09 45 QB Jameis Winston TBB
5.04 52 WR Randall Cobb GBP
6.09 69 RB Carlos Hyde SFO
7.04 76 WR Tyler Lockett SEA
8.09 93 RB Arian Foster MIA
9.04 100 TE Zach Ertz PHI
10.09 117 WR Devin Funchess CAR
11.04 124 QB Joe Flacco BAL
12.09 141 RB Bilal Powell NYJ
13.04 148 RB Darren Sproles PHI
14.09 165 RB Jerick McKinnon MIN
15.04 172 WR Dorial Green-Beckham TEN
16.09 189 RB Chris Johnson ARI
17.04 196 Def Seattle Seahawks SEA
18.09 213 TE Tyler Higbee RAM
19.04 220 WR Terrance Williams DAL
20.09 237 QB Case Keenum RAM

Overall Strategy

High-Upside, Quality Depth

Best Pick

Jameis Winston, 4.09, QB14. Winston is one of the big uptick candidates at quarterback in 2016. After nabbing Cam Newton in Round 1, Hindery locked out a potential lethal weekly combination with Winston as his superflex option.

Worst Pick

Chris Johnson, 16.09, RB59. Hindery had a very solid draft with few selections with which to quibble. Late, however, Johnson was a non-optimal selection. Johnson sees little receiving action and even if David Johnson were to miss time, Andre Ellington would sap the minimal pass-catching production Chris Johnson could expect. Colin Kaepernick, Christine Michael, and Ben Watson were other attractive alternatives.

Evaluation

Hindery found value throughout the draft, while building a balanced roster. In addition to a very sturdy QB3 in Joe Flacco, Hindery has two projected Week 1 starting running backs, a strong corps of wide receivers and Zach Ertz. At worst, Hindery is a fringe playoff squad.

John Norton - Slot 5

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.05 5 RB David Johnson ARI
2.08 20 QB Ben Roethlisberger PIT
3.05 29 WR Brandon Marshall NYJ
4.08 44 QB Kirk Cousins WAS
5.05 53 TE Greg Olsen CAR
6.08 68 WR Marvin Jones DET
7.05 77 RB Jeremy Hill CIN
8.08 92 RB Rashad Jennings NYG
9.05 101 TE Martellus Bennett NEP
10.08 116 WR Markus Wheaton PIT
11.05 125 WR Willie Snead NOS
12.08 140 RB Tim Hightower NOS
13.05 149 RB Josh Ferguson IND
14.08 164 WR Nelson Agholor PHI
15.05 173 TE Hunter Henry SDC
16.08 188 WR Leonte Carroo MIA
17.05 197 Def Philadelphia Eagles PHI
18.08 212 Def Cincinnati Bengals CIN
19.05 221 RB Jordan Howard CHI
20.08 236 Def Oakland Raiders OAK

Overall Strategy

Betting on 2015 Expansion

Best Pick

Jordan Howard, 19.05, RB65. Howard is a quintessential late-round selection. The Chicago running back depth chart is undefined with Howard the big-bodied option capable of hogging the early-down and goal line work at some point during the season.

Worst Pick

Greg Olsen, 5.05, TE3. Last year was the perfect storm for Olsen to have a career year. Cam Newton blossomed as a pocket passer, Kelvin Benjamin missed the entire season, and no wide receiver was a consistent target. Now, Benjamin returns, Devin Funchess is primed for an uptick, and Olsen at TE3 is buying his upside and then some instead of a blend of his 2016 outcomes.

Evaluation

Norton has plenty of options looking for maintaining their 2015 role or production. Kirk Cousins was one of the hot quarterbacks in the second half of the season. Can he rebound while on a one-year contract? Jeremy Hill, Rashad Jennings, and Tim Hightower were a blend of underperforming and spot-starting. Can they combine for viable RB2 efforts? Outside of Brandon Marshall, Norton’s wide receiver group is full of role and usage questions. This is a high-risk roster with last place potential if these bets go sideways.

Matt Bitonti - Slot 6

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.06 6 WR A.J. Green CIN
2.07 19 RB Le\'Veon Bell PIT
3.06 30 QB Blake Bortles JAC
4.07 43 QB Philip Rivers SDC
5.06 54 WR Jeremy Maclin KCC
6.07 67 RB Latavius Murray OAK
7.06 78 RB Melvin Gordon SDC
8.07 91 RB Matt Jones WAS
9.06 102 RB Derrick Henry TEN
10.07 115 WR Torrey Smith SFO
11.06 126 TE Antonio Gates SDC
12.07 139 WR Laquon Treadwell MIN
13.06 150 WR Will Fuller HOU
14.07 163 RB Paul Perkins NYG
15.06 174 TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins TBB
16.07 187 WR Mike Wallace BAL
17.06 198 WR Quincy Enunwa NYJ
18.07 211 Def New York Jets NYJ
19.06 222 WR Jeff Janis GBP
20.07 235 TE Richard Rodgers GBP

Overall Strategy

Running Back Domination

Best Pick

Antonio Gates, 11.06, TE13. Despite waiting on tight end, Bitonti secured a sturdy option in Gates who still possesses double-digit touchdown potential. The Chargers have moving pieces in the passing game, but Gates remains Philip Rivers’ security blanket over the middle.

Worst Pick

Latavius Murray, 6.07, RB15. Murray was a volume-based producer last year and one of the least inspiring fantasy options. Fortunately, Murray avoided top-shelf competition in terms of draft position, but DeAndre Washington has interior skills in addition to a high-level receiving profile. At RB15, Bitonti bought Murray close to his ceiling when higher upside options like Carlos Hyde, Dion Lewis, John Brown, and Eric Decker were available.

Evaluation

Bitonti collected three projected Week 1 starters at running back, along with LeVeon Bell and Derrick Henry in reserve within the opening nine rounds. Still, Bitonti managed to draft A.J. Green and Jeremy Maclin as his main receivers and two solid quarterbacks. Staying afloat in the early weeks is the biggest stumbling block with LeVeon Bell coming back in October.

Jeff Haseley - Slot 7

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.07 7 RB Ezekiel Elliott DAL
2.06 18 WR Allen Robinson JAC
3.07 31 QB Eli Manning NYG
4.06 42 RB Eddie Lacy GBP
5.07 55 WR Donte Moncrief IND
6.06 66 QB Ryan Fitzpatrick NYJ
7.07 79 RB Giovani Bernard CIN
8.06 90 RB Danny Woodhead SDC
9.07 103 WR DeSean Jackson WAS
10.06 114 WR DeVante Parker MIA
11.07 127 TE Dwayne Allen IND
12.06 138 RB Kenneth Dixon BAL
13.07 151 WR Bruce Ellington SFO
14.06 162 TE Zach Miller CHI
15.07 175 Def Arizona Cardinals ARI
16.06 186 WR Cole Beasley DAL
17.07 199 WR Chris Conley KCC
18.06 210 TE Jeff Heuerman DEN
19.07 223 RB Zach Zenner DET
20.06 234 RB James White NEP

Overall Strategy

Blending Old and New

Best Pick

Ryan Fitzpatrick, 6.06, QB22. With quarterbacks flying off the board, Haseley took Fitzpatrick at QB22. The Jets starter was a fringe QB1 last season with his main weapons unchanged outside of adding Matt Forte out of the backfield. Fitzpatrick is an ideal QB2 for Haseley after another solid choice of Eli Manning in Round 3.

Worst Pick

Eddie Lacy, 4.06, RB12. Haseley snagged quality mid-round running back value in Giovani Bernard and Danny Woodhead after Lacy, detracting from Lacy’s status in Round 4. Lacy is situationally-valued more than an overt talent and yet to take advantage of an enviable Green Bay offense up until 2015’s power outage. Kelvin Benjamin or Jordan Reed in place of Lacy would have generated a better overall squad in retrospect.

Evaluation

Haseley did not take many mid-career options, siding with a blend of older veterans and young upswing players. Getting a breakout from DeVante Parker or Donte Moncrief will be key, along with finding passable production from his trio of tight ends.

Stephen Holloway - Slot 8

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.08 8 RB Todd Gurley RAM
2.05 17 RB Lamar Miller HOU
3.08 32 QB Derek Carr OAK
4.05 41 WR Sammy Watkins BUF
5.08 56 WR Larry Fitzgerald ARI
6.05 65 QB Marcus Mariota TEN
7.08 80 TE Travis Kelce KCC
8.05 89 WR Emmanuel Sanders DEN
9.08 104 WR Michael Crabtree OAK
10.05 113 TE Julius Thomas JAC
11.08 128 WR Tavon Austin RAM
12.05 137 RB Devontae Booker DEN
13.08 152 RB Shane Vereen NYG
14.05 161 RB James Starks GBP
15.08 176 WR Rishard Matthews TEN
16.05 185 QB Jared Goff RAM
17.08 200 Def Carolina Panthers CAR
18.05 209 TE Ben Watson BAL
19.08 224 WR Breshad Perriman BAL
20.05 233 WR Tyrell Williams SDC

Overall Strategy

Balanced, Starting Lineup Focus

Best Pick

Tavon Austin, 11.08, WR51. Austin was a fringe WR2 a year ago and enters a contract year. The Rams are still looking for consistent threats at wide receiver and Jared Goff projects as an upgrade from previous quarterback installments of late. Austin saw a career-high of offensive touches in 2015 and outside of Todd Gurley remains the Rams best offense weapon.

Worst Pick

Travis Kelce, 7.08, TE4. With tight end deep this year when looking for mid-TE1 upside, Kelce cost his ceiling and Kansas City remains a low-upside passing attack. Zach Ertz was available two rounds later, Julius Thomas three rounds, and Antonio Gates four rounds beyond Kelce.

Evaluation

Holloway spent the opening nine rounds building a well-rounded starting lineup. Without major question marks on the top half of his roster, there is less pressure on later depth picks to turn into weekly starters, like Shane Vereen, Devontae Booker, Rishard Matthews, and Jared Goff. Veterans like Michael Crabtree, Larry Fitzgerald, and Emmanuel Sanders performing near their previous levels will be key to Holloway’s squad finishing near the top of the standings.

Justin Howe - Slot 9

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.09 9 WR DeAndre Hopkins HOU
2.04 16 QB Drew Brees NOS
3.09 33 WR Alshon Jeffery CHI
4.04 40 WR T.Y. Hilton IND
5.09 57 QB Andy Dalton CIN
6.04 64 WR Jordan Matthews PHI
7.09 81 RB Jeremy Langford CHI
8.04 88 TE Tyler Eifert CIN
9.09 105 RB Ameer Abdullah DET
10.04 112 RB Charles Sims TBB
11.09 129 QB Robert Griffin CLE
12.04 136 RB Jay Ajayi MIA
13.09 153 WR Vincent Jackson TBB
14.04 160 TE Jason Witten DAL
15.09 177 RB LeGarrette Blount NEP
16.04 184 WR Pierre Garcon WAS
17.09 201 RB Shaun Draughn SFO
18.04 208 TE Austin Hooper ATL
19.09 225 RB Chris Thompson WAS
20.04 232 Def Buffalo Bills BUF

Overall Strategy

Zero Running Back

Best Pick

Charles Sims, 10.04, RB36. Sims was an RB2 last year, despite having a rookie quarterback and Doug Martin posting a career year. Sims as top-10 upside if Martin were to miss games this season. Even with a healthy Martin sharing the backfield, Sims is a high-floor receiving option and perfect for owners waiting on running back like Howe in this draft.

Worst Pick

Jeremy Langford, 7.09, RB23. The Bears have a muddy committee looming in their backfield with Langford the most expensive option. Ryan Mathews, Matt Jones, and Danny Woodhead were all available in Round 7/8 for Howe to secure higher upside and more defined roles to open the season.

Evaluation

Howe waited on running back, but took strategic shots at upside in undefined backfields. Projecting early-season starters will be tough, but his foundation of quarterbacks and wide receivers can weather the storm until he finds running back clarity.

Devin Knotts - Slot 10

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.10 10 QB Aaron Rodgers GBP
2.03 15 RB Adrian Peterson MIN
3.10 34 RB Jamaal Charles KCC
4.03 39 WR Demaryius Thomas DEN
5.10 58 QB Tony Romo DAL
6.03 63 WR Golden Tate DET
7.10 82 WR Kevin White CHI
8.03 87 WR Josh Gordon CLE
9.10 106 TE Gary Barnidge CLE
10.03 111 WR Michael Thomas NOS
11.10 130 QB Teddy Bridgewater MIN
12.03 135 RB Justin Forsett BAL
13.10 154 WR Mohamed Sanu ATL
14.03 159 QB Blaine Gabbert SFO
15.10 178 RB Wendell Smallwood PHI
16.03 183 WR Ted Ginn CAR
17.10 202 Def Houston Texans HOU
18.03 207 TE Vance McDonald SFO
19.10 226 WR Kendall Wright TEN
20.03 231 RB C.J. Prosise SEA

Overall Strategy

Corner the Quarterback Market

Best Pick

Tony Romo, 5.10, QB18. While an injury question mark for the rest of his career with back issues, Romo presents value as a superflex QB2. Dallas’ defense projects as a liability and Ezekiel Elliott, Dez Bryant, and Jason Witten form a quality trio of weapons for Romo.

Worst Pick

Josh Gordon, 8.03, WR34. The Browns are a complete question mark on offense. In addition to situational uncertainty, Gordon himself was not a high-level performer the last time he played and is out for at least four games to open the season. Corey Coleman was a Round 1 pick poised to be part of the Browns passing game as well.

Evaluation

Knotts has an enviable collection of quarterbacks with four likely Week 1 starters. Despite the quarterback depth, Knotts was able build out running back and wide receiver well in the mid-rounds. Even if Jamaal Charles, Golden Tate, or Josh Gordon should underwhelm, Knotts can cash in a quarterback to round out his lineup for the late-season push.

BJ Vanderwoude - Slot 11

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.11 11 TE Rob Gronkowski NEP
2.02 14 QB Russell Wilson SEA
3.11 35 RB Mark Ingram NOS
4.02 38 RB Doug Martin TBB
5.11 59 WR Doug Baldwin SEA
6.02 62 QB Matt Ryan ATL
7.11 83 WR Michael Floyd ARI
8.02 86 TE Delanie Walker TEN
9.11 107 WR Sterling Shepard NYG
10.02 110 RB Chris Ivory JAC
11.11 131 QB Jay Cutler CHI
12.02 134 RB Isaiah Crowell CLE
13.11 155 WR Steve Smith BAL
14.02 158 WR Anquan Boldin DET
15.11 179 RB Keith Marshall WAS
16.02 182 WR Chris Hogan NEP
17.11 203 Def Minnesota Vikings MIN
18.02 206 TE Cameron Brate TBB
19.11 227 RB Alex Collins SEA
20.02 230 WR Malcolm Mitchell NEP

Overall Strategy

Wide Receiver by Committee

Best Pick

Jay Cutler, 11.11, QB28. Cutler’s stock has been beaten to a pulp over the past year. Kevin White added to the lineup alongside a healthy Alshon Jeffery marks mid-QB2 or better upside for Cutler. Few offered this level of value in superflex as Vanderwoude nabbing Cutler outside the top-125.

Worst Pick

Doug Martin, 4.02, RB11. This price is buying Martin at his 2015 upside where he played all 16 games and dominated carries and red zone opportunities compared to talented running mate Charles Sims. Vincent Jackson returns to the lineup, Jameis Winston enters Year 2, and Mike Evans offers another red zone target. Martin is a low-probability bet to repeat his performance from 2015 without a strong touchdown uptick.

Evaluation

The key for Vanderwoude to compete will be his wide receiver group. Without a clear-cut top option, Michael Floyd needs to build upon his upswing in 2015, Doug Baldwin needs to avoid a stark regression from his historical run, and Steve Smith or Anquan Boldin need one more season in the fantasy sun.

John Mamula - Slot 12

PICK OVERALL POS PLAYER TEAM
1.12 12 QB Andrew Luck IND
2.01 13 WR Dez Bryant DAL
3.12 36 RB LeSean McCoy BUF
4.01 37 WR Jarvis Landry MIA
5.12 60 QB Ryan Tannehill MIA
6.01 61 WR Julian Edelman NEP
7.12 84 RB Ryan Mathews PHI
8.01 85 TE Coby Fleener NOS
9.12 108 WR Corey Coleman CLE
10.01 109 RB Jonathan Stewart CAR
11.12 132 WR Kamar Aiken BAL
12.01 133 RB Tevin Coleman ATL
13.12 156 QB Sam Bradford PHI
14.01 157 Def Denver Broncos DEN
15.12 180 RB Cameron Artis-Payne CAR
16.01 181 WR Tyler Boyd CIN
17.12 204 TE Charles Clay BUF
18.01 205 RB Ka\'Deem Carey CHI
19.12 228 TE Kyle Rudolph MIN
20.01 229 WR Justin Hardy ATL

Overall Strategy

High-Risk Running Backs

Best Pick

Charles Clay, 17.12, TE26. Clay, even in a down year in 2015, was a top-20 tight end. The Bills have little beyond Sammy Watkins in the passing game and Tyrod Taylor was a pleasant surprise as a passer last season. Clay offers quality depth behind Coby Fleener at minimal cost.

Worst Pick

LeSean McCoy, 3.12, RB10. The past two seasons have been a significant drop for McCoy since his mid-20s peak production window. The receptions have declined and McCoy has 10 total touchdowns in his last 28 games. Buffalo has a deep reservoir of running backs beyond McCoy including flashing rookie from 2015 in Karlos Williams and talented incoming rookie Jonathan Williams. At RB10, McCoy offers minimal upside and mostly downside for Mamula.

Evaluation

Mamula may emerge successful, but his running backs present a high-risk bet on health. Jonathan Stewart, LeSean McCoy, and Ryan Mathews are three of the most worrisome backs to miss time. Creating a sturdy environment around those running backs on his roster will be key to a winning season.



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