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On August 13th, the Footballguys staff completed a 12-team Superflex PPR mock draft. Below are the league's scoring and bylaws.
League Parameters
- 12 teams
- 20 roster spots
- Starting Lineup
- 1 quarterback
- 2 running backs
- 3 wide receivers
- 1 tight end
- 3 flex (two can be running back, wide receiver or tight end. One can be a quarterback)
- 1 team defense
League Scoring
- Offensive Players
- 4 points - passing touchdown
- 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
- 0.05 points - passing yard
- 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
- Team Defense
- 6 points - defensive or return touchdown
- 2 points - turnover forced
- 2 points - safety
- 1 point - sack
- 10 points - 0 points allowed
- 7 points - 1-6 points allowed
- 3 points - 7-14 points allowed
- 0 points - 15-99 points allowed
The Draft Order
The draft order was randomly generated. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft, pick by pick or Grid Format
1. Jeff Tefertiller
2. Scott Biscoff
3. Alex Miglio
4. Dan Hindery
5. John Norton
6. Matt Bitonti
7. Jeff Haseley
8. Stephen Holloway
9. Justin Howe
10. Devin Knotts
11. BJ Vanderwoude
12. John Mamula
Starting with Jeff Tefertiller from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.
Jeff Tefertiller - Slot 1
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.01 | 1 | WR | Antonio Brown | PIT |
2.12 | 24 | WR | Jordy Nelson | GBP |
3.01 | 25 | QB | Tom Brady | NEP |
4.12 | 48 | WR | Kelvin Benjamin | CAR |
5.01 | 49 | QB | Tyrod Taylor | BUF |
6.12 | 72 | WR | Eric Decker | NYJ |
7.01 | 73 | RB | Duke Johnson | CLE |
8.12 | 96 | WR | Stefon Diggs | MIN |
9.01 | 97 | WR | Allen Hurns | JAC |
10.12 | 120 | RB | T.J. Yeldon | JAC |
11.01 | 121 | RB | Theo Riddick | DET |
12.12 | 144 | RB | DeAndre Washington | OAK |
13.01 | 145 | QB | Jimmy Garoppolo | NEP |
14.12 | 168 | TE | Clive Walford | OAK |
15.01 | 169 | TE | Jesse James | PIT |
16.12 | 192 | TE | Ladarius Green | PIT |
17.01 | 193 | QB | Paxton Lynch | DEN |
18.12 | 216 | Def | Los Angeles Rams | RAM |
19.01 | 217 | RB | Spencer Ware | KCC |
20.12 | 240 | RB | Kenyan Drake | MIA |
Overall Strategy
Late-Round Running Back
Best Pick
Jesse James, 15.01, TE21. After waiting on tight end until beyond the top-150, Tefertiller formed a quality commit of both Pittsburgh options and Clive Walford. James has boom-bust low-TE1 upside based on red zone usage alone if Ladarius Green misses time or retires as recent reports suggest.
Worst Pick
Jordy Nelson, 2.12, WR11. Tefertiller went the late-round running back route. Considering the wide receiver depth still available at 24 overall and getting Kelvin Benjamin at the next turn, Nelson was a luxury selection with attached risk of a receiver in his 30s returning from injury and lingering issues this preseason.
Evaluation
Tefertiller is a quality job covering his bases between getting both Steelers tight ends late and drafting Jimmy Garoppolo at QB30 after Tom Brady at QB7 to lock down the Patriots position. With two running back starting spots mandatory, Tefertiller’s results will hinge on all of his committee backs piecing together a season worth of production.
Scott Bischoff - Slot 2
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.02 | 2 | WR | Odell Beckham | NYG |
2.11 | 23 | WR | Brandin Cooks | NOS |
3.02 | 26 | QB | Carson Palmer | ARI |
4.11 | 47 | RB | Thomas Rawls | SEA |
5.02 | 50 | QB | Matthew Stafford | DET |
6.11 | 71 | RB | Dion Lewis | NEP |
7.02 | 74 | WR | John Brown | ARI |
8.11 | 95 | RB | DeAngelo Williams | PIT |
9.02 | 98 | RB | Frank Gore | IND |
10.11 | 119 | WR | Phillip Dorsett | IND |
11.02 | 122 | TE | Eric Ebron | DET |
12.11 | 143 | TE | Jimmy Graham | SEA |
13.02 | 146 | TE | Jared Cook | GBP |
14.11 | 167 | WR | Terrelle Pryor | CLE |
15.02 | 170 | RB | Terrance West | BAL |
16.11 | 191 | RB | Christine Michael | SEA |
17.02 | 194 | WR | Brandon LaFell | CIN |
18.11 | 215 | Def | New England Patriots | NEP |
19.02 | 218 | Def | Green Bay Packers | GBP |
20.11 | 239 | QB | Carson Wentz | PHI |
Overall Strategy
High-Risk, High-Reward
Best Pick
Carson Wentz, 20.11, QB38. In quarterback-premium Wentz outside the top-30 offers plenty of upside later in the season. Bischoff has two NFL starters, but Wentz could be a third option. In the final rounds of a draft, shooting for a weekly starter at a valuable position maximizes draft capital.
Worst Pick
Thomas Rawls, 4.11, RB14. Passing on Jameis Winston for Rawls returning from injury with a crowded depth chart in superflex is a loss of value. With his later picks at running back, Rawls was a risky luxury near the top of the draft.
Evaluation
Bischoff’s roster is filled with dominant potential if health and opportunity merge. With only two starting NFL quarterbacks (Carson Wentz could be an in-season addition), Bischoff will at least two weeks without a quarterback to flex and potentially more with Carson Palmer and Matthew Stafford no picture of an ironman. Dion Lewis returned from injury and his lone stretch of notable production in 2015. Thomas Rawls and Christine Michael could produce a potent weekly starter – or a frustrating committee. John Brown and Phillip Dorsett are potential impact players are receiver. Bischoff’s tight end group has three sizeable question marks with Jared Cook, Eric Ebron, and Jimmy Graham. Bischoff could be a title contender or a basement dweller with binary storylines this season.
Alex Miglio - Slot 3
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.03 | 3 | WR | Julio Jones | ATL |
2.10 | 22 | WR | Amari Cooper | OAK |
3.03 | 27 | RB | Devonta Freeman | ATL |
4.10 | 46 | RB | C.J. Anderson | DEN |
5.03 | 51 | TE | Jordan Reed | WAS |
6.10 | 70 | RB | Matt Forte | NYJ |
7.03 | 75 | QB | Brock Osweiler | HOU |
8.10 | 94 | RB | DeMarco Murray | TEN |
9.03 | 99 | QB | Alex Smith | KCC |
10.10 | 118 | WR | Sammie Coates | PIT |
11.03 | 123 | WR | Travis Benjamin | SDC |
12.10 | 142 | QB | Mark Sanchez | DEN |
13.03 | 147 | WR | Jaelen Strong | HOU |
14.10 | 166 | TE | Will Tye | NYG |
15.03 | 171 | Def | Kansas City Chiefs | KCC |
16.10 | 190 | QB | Colin Kaepernick | SFO |
17.03 | 195 | TE | Jordan Cameron | MIA |
18.10 | 214 | QB | Trevor Siemian | DEN |
19.03 | 219 | RB | Javorius Allen | BAL |
20.10 | 238 | WR | Davante Adams | GBP |
Overall Strategy
Late-Round Quarterback
Best Pick
Alex Smith, 9.03, QB24. Mobile quarterbacks have a sturdy fantasy floor. While the Kansas City offense is not a dynamic downfield attack, Smith is an entrenched starter and Miglio bought Smith below his fantasy production downside.
Worst Pick
Matt Forte, 6.10, RB17. With a balanced core, Forte was the luxury selection of the early rounds for Miglio without a quarterback yet. There were plenty of running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends with a better blend of floor and ceiling outcomes at a better spot in their career arc like John Brown, Michael Floyd, Coby Fleener, and Giovani Bernard.
Evaluation
Miglio took a scattershot approach to quarterback in this superflex format – a strategy which can pay big dividends if hitting on the right quarterback or two. Doubling up on Denver options offers some insulation for a viable top-20 play, while Brock Osweiler offers similar production. Alex Smith is the best blend of ceiling and floor, while Colin Kaepernick may be the highest upside option of the entire bunch. With viable top-end starters and depth at the other positions, Miglio needs viability and predictability out of his quarterback stable to push for the championship.
Dan Hindery - Slot 4
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.04 | 4 | QB | Cam Newton | CAR |
2.09 | 21 | WR | Keenan Allen | SDC |
3.04 | 28 | WR | Mike Evans | TBB |
4.09 | 45 | QB | Jameis Winston | TBB |
5.04 | 52 | WR | Randall Cobb | GBP |
6.09 | 69 | RB | Carlos Hyde | SFO |
7.04 | 76 | WR | Tyler Lockett | SEA |
8.09 | 93 | RB | Arian Foster | MIA |
9.04 | 100 | TE | Zach Ertz | PHI |
10.09 | 117 | WR | Devin Funchess | CAR |
11.04 | 124 | QB | Joe Flacco | BAL |
12.09 | 141 | RB | Bilal Powell | NYJ |
13.04 | 148 | RB | Darren Sproles | PHI |
14.09 | 165 | RB | Jerick McKinnon | MIN |
15.04 | 172 | WR | Dorial Green-Beckham | TEN |
16.09 | 189 | RB | Chris Johnson | ARI |
17.04 | 196 | Def | Seattle Seahawks | SEA |
18.09 | 213 | TE | Tyler Higbee | RAM |
19.04 | 220 | WR | Terrance Williams | DAL |
20.09 | 237 | QB | Case Keenum | RAM |
Overall Strategy
High-Upside, Quality Depth
Best Pick
Jameis Winston, 4.09, QB14. Winston is one of the big uptick candidates at quarterback in 2016. After nabbing Cam Newton in Round 1, Hindery locked out a potential lethal weekly combination with Winston as his superflex option.
Worst Pick
Chris Johnson, 16.09, RB59. Hindery had a very solid draft with few selections with which to quibble. Late, however, Johnson was a non-optimal selection. Johnson sees little receiving action and even if David Johnson were to miss time, Andre Ellington would sap the minimal pass-catching production Chris Johnson could expect. Colin Kaepernick, Christine Michael, and Ben Watson were other attractive alternatives.
Evaluation
Hindery found value throughout the draft, while building a balanced roster. In addition to a very sturdy QB3 in Joe Flacco, Hindery has two projected Week 1 starting running backs, a strong corps of wide receivers and Zach Ertz. At worst, Hindery is a fringe playoff squad.
John Norton - Slot 5
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.05 | 5 | RB | David Johnson | ARI |
2.08 | 20 | QB | Ben Roethlisberger | PIT |
3.05 | 29 | WR | Brandon Marshall | NYJ |
4.08 | 44 | QB | Kirk Cousins | WAS |
5.05 | 53 | TE | Greg Olsen | CAR |
6.08 | 68 | WR | Marvin Jones | DET |
7.05 | 77 | RB | Jeremy Hill | CIN |
8.08 | 92 | RB | Rashad Jennings | NYG |
9.05 | 101 | TE | Martellus Bennett | NEP |
10.08 | 116 | WR | Markus Wheaton | PIT |
11.05 | 125 | WR | Willie Snead | NOS |
12.08 | 140 | RB | Tim Hightower | NOS |
13.05 | 149 | RB | Josh Ferguson | IND |
14.08 | 164 | WR | Nelson Agholor | PHI |
15.05 | 173 | TE | Hunter Henry | SDC |
16.08 | 188 | WR | Leonte Carroo | MIA |
17.05 | 197 | Def | Philadelphia Eagles | PHI |
18.08 | 212 | Def | Cincinnati Bengals | CIN |
19.05 | 221 | RB | Jordan Howard | CHI |
20.08 | 236 | Def | Oakland Raiders | OAK |
Overall Strategy
Betting on 2015 Expansion
Best Pick
Jordan Howard, 19.05, RB65. Howard is a quintessential late-round selection. The Chicago running back depth chart is undefined with Howard the big-bodied option capable of hogging the early-down and goal line work at some point during the season.
Worst Pick
Greg Olsen, 5.05, TE3. Last year was the perfect storm for Olsen to have a career year. Cam Newton blossomed as a pocket passer, Kelvin Benjamin missed the entire season, and no wide receiver was a consistent target. Now, Benjamin returns, Devin Funchess is primed for an uptick, and Olsen at TE3 is buying his upside and then some instead of a blend of his 2016 outcomes.
Evaluation
Norton has plenty of options looking for maintaining their 2015 role or production. Kirk Cousins was one of the hot quarterbacks in the second half of the season. Can he rebound while on a one-year contract? Jeremy Hill, Rashad Jennings, and Tim Hightower were a blend of underperforming and spot-starting. Can they combine for viable RB2 efforts? Outside of Brandon Marshall, Norton’s wide receiver group is full of role and usage questions. This is a high-risk roster with last place potential if these bets go sideways.
Matt Bitonti - Slot 6
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.06 | 6 | WR | A.J. Green | CIN |
2.07 | 19 | RB | Le\'Veon Bell | PIT |
3.06 | 30 | QB | Blake Bortles | JAC |
4.07 | 43 | QB | Philip Rivers | SDC |
5.06 | 54 | WR | Jeremy Maclin | KCC |
6.07 | 67 | RB | Latavius Murray | OAK |
7.06 | 78 | RB | Melvin Gordon | SDC |
8.07 | 91 | RB | Matt Jones | WAS |
9.06 | 102 | RB | Derrick Henry | TEN |
10.07 | 115 | WR | Torrey Smith | SFO |
11.06 | 126 | TE | Antonio Gates | SDC |
12.07 | 139 | WR | Laquon Treadwell | MIN |
13.06 | 150 | WR | Will Fuller | HOU |
14.07 | 163 | RB | Paul Perkins | NYG |
15.06 | 174 | TE | Austin Seferian-Jenkins | TBB |
16.07 | 187 | WR | Mike Wallace | BAL |
17.06 | 198 | WR | Quincy Enunwa | NYJ |
18.07 | 211 | Def | New York Jets | NYJ |
19.06 | 222 | WR | Jeff Janis | GBP |
20.07 | 235 | TE | Richard Rodgers | GBP |
Overall Strategy
Running Back Domination
Best Pick
Antonio Gates, 11.06, TE13. Despite waiting on tight end, Bitonti secured a sturdy option in Gates who still possesses double-digit touchdown potential. The Chargers have moving pieces in the passing game, but Gates remains Philip Rivers’ security blanket over the middle.
Worst Pick
Latavius Murray, 6.07, RB15. Murray was a volume-based producer last year and one of the least inspiring fantasy options. Fortunately, Murray avoided top-shelf competition in terms of draft position, but DeAndre Washington has interior skills in addition to a high-level receiving profile. At RB15, Bitonti bought Murray close to his ceiling when higher upside options like Carlos Hyde, Dion Lewis, John Brown, and Eric Decker were available.
Evaluation
Bitonti collected three projected Week 1 starters at running back, along with LeVeon Bell and Derrick Henry in reserve within the opening nine rounds. Still, Bitonti managed to draft A.J. Green and Jeremy Maclin as his main receivers and two solid quarterbacks. Staying afloat in the early weeks is the biggest stumbling block with LeVeon Bell coming back in October.
Jeff Haseley - Slot 7
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.07 | 7 | RB | Ezekiel Elliott | DAL |
2.06 | 18 | WR | Allen Robinson | JAC |
3.07 | 31 | QB | Eli Manning | NYG |
4.06 | 42 | RB | Eddie Lacy | GBP |
5.07 | 55 | WR | Donte Moncrief | IND |
6.06 | 66 | QB | Ryan Fitzpatrick | NYJ |
7.07 | 79 | RB | Giovani Bernard | CIN |
8.06 | 90 | RB | Danny Woodhead | SDC |
9.07 | 103 | WR | DeSean Jackson | WAS |
10.06 | 114 | WR | DeVante Parker | MIA |
11.07 | 127 | TE | Dwayne Allen | IND |
12.06 | 138 | RB | Kenneth Dixon | BAL |
13.07 | 151 | WR | Bruce Ellington | SFO |
14.06 | 162 | TE | Zach Miller | CHI |
15.07 | 175 | Def | Arizona Cardinals | ARI |
16.06 | 186 | WR | Cole Beasley | DAL |
17.07 | 199 | WR | Chris Conley | KCC |
18.06 | 210 | TE | Jeff Heuerman | DEN |
19.07 | 223 | RB | Zach Zenner | DET |
20.06 | 234 | RB | James White | NEP |
Overall Strategy
Blending Old and New
Best Pick
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 6.06, QB22. With quarterbacks flying off the board, Haseley took Fitzpatrick at QB22. The Jets starter was a fringe QB1 last season with his main weapons unchanged outside of adding Matt Forte out of the backfield. Fitzpatrick is an ideal QB2 for Haseley after another solid choice of Eli Manning in Round 3.
Worst Pick
Eddie Lacy, 4.06, RB12. Haseley snagged quality mid-round running back value in Giovani Bernard and Danny Woodhead after Lacy, detracting from Lacy’s status in Round 4. Lacy is situationally-valued more than an overt talent and yet to take advantage of an enviable Green Bay offense up until 2015’s power outage. Kelvin Benjamin or Jordan Reed in place of Lacy would have generated a better overall squad in retrospect.
Evaluation
Haseley did not take many mid-career options, siding with a blend of older veterans and young upswing players. Getting a breakout from DeVante Parker or Donte Moncrief will be key, along with finding passable production from his trio of tight ends.
Stephen Holloway - Slot 8
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.08 | 8 | RB | Todd Gurley | RAM |
2.05 | 17 | RB | Lamar Miller | HOU |
3.08 | 32 | QB | Derek Carr | OAK |
4.05 | 41 | WR | Sammy Watkins | BUF |
5.08 | 56 | WR | Larry Fitzgerald | ARI |
6.05 | 65 | QB | Marcus Mariota | TEN |
7.08 | 80 | TE | Travis Kelce | KCC |
8.05 | 89 | WR | Emmanuel Sanders | DEN |
9.08 | 104 | WR | Michael Crabtree | OAK |
10.05 | 113 | TE | Julius Thomas | JAC |
11.08 | 128 | WR | Tavon Austin | RAM |
12.05 | 137 | RB | Devontae Booker | DEN |
13.08 | 152 | RB | Shane Vereen | NYG |
14.05 | 161 | RB | James Starks | GBP |
15.08 | 176 | WR | Rishard Matthews | TEN |
16.05 | 185 | QB | Jared Goff | RAM |
17.08 | 200 | Def | Carolina Panthers | CAR |
18.05 | 209 | TE | Ben Watson | BAL |
19.08 | 224 | WR | Breshad Perriman | BAL |
20.05 | 233 | WR | Tyrell Williams | SDC |
Overall Strategy
Balanced, Starting Lineup Focus
Best Pick
Tavon Austin, 11.08, WR51. Austin was a fringe WR2 a year ago and enters a contract year. The Rams are still looking for consistent threats at wide receiver and Jared Goff projects as an upgrade from previous quarterback installments of late. Austin saw a career-high of offensive touches in 2015 and outside of Todd Gurley remains the Rams best offense weapon.
Worst Pick
Travis Kelce, 7.08, TE4. With tight end deep this year when looking for mid-TE1 upside, Kelce cost his ceiling and Kansas City remains a low-upside passing attack. Zach Ertz was available two rounds later, Julius Thomas three rounds, and Antonio Gates four rounds beyond Kelce.
Evaluation
Holloway spent the opening nine rounds building a well-rounded starting lineup. Without major question marks on the top half of his roster, there is less pressure on later depth picks to turn into weekly starters, like Shane Vereen, Devontae Booker, Rishard Matthews, and Jared Goff. Veterans like Michael Crabtree, Larry Fitzgerald, and Emmanuel Sanders performing near their previous levels will be key to Holloway’s squad finishing near the top of the standings.
Justin Howe - Slot 9
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.09 | 9 | WR | DeAndre Hopkins | HOU |
2.04 | 16 | QB | Drew Brees | NOS |
3.09 | 33 | WR | Alshon Jeffery | CHI |
4.04 | 40 | WR | T.Y. Hilton | IND |
5.09 | 57 | QB | Andy Dalton | CIN |
6.04 | 64 | WR | Jordan Matthews | PHI |
7.09 | 81 | RB | Jeremy Langford | CHI |
8.04 | 88 | TE | Tyler Eifert | CIN |
9.09 | 105 | RB | Ameer Abdullah | DET |
10.04 | 112 | RB | Charles Sims | TBB |
11.09 | 129 | QB | Robert Griffin | CLE |
12.04 | 136 | RB | Jay Ajayi | MIA |
13.09 | 153 | WR | Vincent Jackson | TBB |
14.04 | 160 | TE | Jason Witten | DAL |
15.09 | 177 | RB | LeGarrette Blount | NEP |
16.04 | 184 | WR | Pierre Garcon | WAS |
17.09 | 201 | RB | Shaun Draughn | SFO |
18.04 | 208 | TE | Austin Hooper | ATL |
19.09 | 225 | RB | Chris Thompson | WAS |
20.04 | 232 | Def | Buffalo Bills | BUF |
Overall Strategy
Zero Running Back
Best Pick
Charles Sims, 10.04, RB36. Sims was an RB2 last year, despite having a rookie quarterback and Doug Martin posting a career year. Sims as top-10 upside if Martin were to miss games this season. Even with a healthy Martin sharing the backfield, Sims is a high-floor receiving option and perfect for owners waiting on running back like Howe in this draft.
Worst Pick
Jeremy Langford, 7.09, RB23. The Bears have a muddy committee looming in their backfield with Langford the most expensive option. Ryan Mathews, Matt Jones, and Danny Woodhead were all available in Round 7/8 for Howe to secure higher upside and more defined roles to open the season.
Evaluation
Howe waited on running back, but took strategic shots at upside in undefined backfields. Projecting early-season starters will be tough, but his foundation of quarterbacks and wide receivers can weather the storm until he finds running back clarity.
Devin Knotts - Slot 10
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.10 | 10 | QB | Aaron Rodgers | GBP |
2.03 | 15 | RB | Adrian Peterson | MIN |
3.10 | 34 | RB | Jamaal Charles | KCC |
4.03 | 39 | WR | Demaryius Thomas | DEN |
5.10 | 58 | QB | Tony Romo | DAL |
6.03 | 63 | WR | Golden Tate | DET |
7.10 | 82 | WR | Kevin White | CHI |
8.03 | 87 | WR | Josh Gordon | CLE |
9.10 | 106 | TE | Gary Barnidge | CLE |
10.03 | 111 | WR | Michael Thomas | NOS |
11.10 | 130 | QB | Teddy Bridgewater | MIN |
12.03 | 135 | RB | Justin Forsett | BAL |
13.10 | 154 | WR | Mohamed Sanu | ATL |
14.03 | 159 | QB | Blaine Gabbert | SFO |
15.10 | 178 | RB | Wendell Smallwood | PHI |
16.03 | 183 | WR | Ted Ginn | CAR |
17.10 | 202 | Def | Houston Texans | HOU |
18.03 | 207 | TE | Vance McDonald | SFO |
19.10 | 226 | WR | Kendall Wright | TEN |
20.03 | 231 | RB | C.J. Prosise | SEA |
Overall Strategy
Corner the Quarterback Market
Best Pick
Tony Romo, 5.10, QB18. While an injury question mark for the rest of his career with back issues, Romo presents value as a superflex QB2. Dallas’ defense projects as a liability and Ezekiel Elliott, Dez Bryant, and Jason Witten form a quality trio of weapons for Romo.
Worst Pick
Josh Gordon, 8.03, WR34. The Browns are a complete question mark on offense. In addition to situational uncertainty, Gordon himself was not a high-level performer the last time he played and is out for at least four games to open the season. Corey Coleman was a Round 1 pick poised to be part of the Browns passing game as well.
Evaluation
Knotts has an enviable collection of quarterbacks with four likely Week 1 starters. Despite the quarterback depth, Knotts was able build out running back and wide receiver well in the mid-rounds. Even if Jamaal Charles, Golden Tate, or Josh Gordon should underwhelm, Knotts can cash in a quarterback to round out his lineup for the late-season push.
BJ Vanderwoude - Slot 11
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.11 | 11 | TE | Rob Gronkowski | NEP |
2.02 | 14 | QB | Russell Wilson | SEA |
3.11 | 35 | RB | Mark Ingram | NOS |
4.02 | 38 | RB | Doug Martin | TBB |
5.11 | 59 | WR | Doug Baldwin | SEA |
6.02 | 62 | QB | Matt Ryan | ATL |
7.11 | 83 | WR | Michael Floyd | ARI |
8.02 | 86 | TE | Delanie Walker | TEN |
9.11 | 107 | WR | Sterling Shepard | NYG |
10.02 | 110 | RB | Chris Ivory | JAC |
11.11 | 131 | QB | Jay Cutler | CHI |
12.02 | 134 | RB | Isaiah Crowell | CLE |
13.11 | 155 | WR | Steve Smith | BAL |
14.02 | 158 | WR | Anquan Boldin | DET |
15.11 | 179 | RB | Keith Marshall | WAS |
16.02 | 182 | WR | Chris Hogan | NEP |
17.11 | 203 | Def | Minnesota Vikings | MIN |
18.02 | 206 | TE | Cameron Brate | TBB |
19.11 | 227 | RB | Alex Collins | SEA |
20.02 | 230 | WR | Malcolm Mitchell | NEP |
Overall Strategy
Wide Receiver by Committee
Best Pick
Jay Cutler, 11.11, QB28. Cutler’s stock has been beaten to a pulp over the past year. Kevin White added to the lineup alongside a healthy Alshon Jeffery marks mid-QB2 or better upside for Cutler. Few offered this level of value in superflex as Vanderwoude nabbing Cutler outside the top-125.
Worst Pick
Doug Martin, 4.02, RB11. This price is buying Martin at his 2015 upside where he played all 16 games and dominated carries and red zone opportunities compared to talented running mate Charles Sims. Vincent Jackson returns to the lineup, Jameis Winston enters Year 2, and Mike Evans offers another red zone target. Martin is a low-probability bet to repeat his performance from 2015 without a strong touchdown uptick.
Evaluation
The key for Vanderwoude to compete will be his wide receiver group. Without a clear-cut top option, Michael Floyd needs to build upon his upswing in 2015, Doug Baldwin needs to avoid a stark regression from his historical run, and Steve Smith or Anquan Boldin need one more season in the fantasy sun.
John Mamula - Slot 12
PICK | OVERALL | POS | PLAYER | TEAM |
1.12 | 12 | QB | Andrew Luck | IND |
2.01 | 13 | WR | Dez Bryant | DAL |
3.12 | 36 | RB | LeSean McCoy | BUF |
4.01 | 37 | WR | Jarvis Landry | MIA |
5.12 | 60 | QB | Ryan Tannehill | MIA |
6.01 | 61 | WR | Julian Edelman | NEP |
7.12 | 84 | RB | Ryan Mathews | PHI |
8.01 | 85 | TE | Coby Fleener | NOS |
9.12 | 108 | WR | Corey Coleman | CLE |
10.01 | 109 | RB | Jonathan Stewart | CAR |
11.12 | 132 | WR | Kamar Aiken | BAL |
12.01 | 133 | RB | Tevin Coleman | ATL |
13.12 | 156 | QB | Sam Bradford | PHI |
14.01 | 157 | Def | Denver Broncos | DEN |
15.12 | 180 | RB | Cameron Artis-Payne | CAR |
16.01 | 181 | WR | Tyler Boyd | CIN |
17.12 | 204 | TE | Charles Clay | BUF |
18.01 | 205 | RB | Ka\'Deem Carey | CHI |
19.12 | 228 | TE | Kyle Rudolph | MIN |
20.01 | 229 | WR | Justin Hardy | ATL |
Overall Strategy
High-Risk Running Backs
Best Pick
Charles Clay, 17.12, TE26. Clay, even in a down year in 2015, was a top-20 tight end. The Bills have little beyond Sammy Watkins in the passing game and Tyrod Taylor was a pleasant surprise as a passer last season. Clay offers quality depth behind Coby Fleener at minimal cost.
Worst Pick
LeSean McCoy, 3.12, RB10. The past two seasons have been a significant drop for McCoy since his mid-20s peak production window. The receptions have declined and McCoy has 10 total touchdowns in his last 28 games. Buffalo has a deep reservoir of running backs beyond McCoy including flashing rookie from 2015 in Karlos Williams and talented incoming rookie Jonathan Williams. At RB10, McCoy offers minimal upside and mostly downside for Mamula.
Evaluation
Mamula may emerge successful, but his running backs present a high-risk bet on health. Jonathan Stewart, LeSean McCoy, and Ryan Mathews are three of the most worrisome backs to miss time. Creating a sturdy environment around those running backs on his roster will be key to a winning season.
Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com