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Footballguys Staff Mock Draft 1: PPR, 12 team with Flex, MFL10 format (Best Ball)

The Footballguys staff got together for their first mock draft of 2016. A 12 team PPR, Best Ball draft with a format equivalent to MFL10s. Justin Howe provides an in-depth summary of each team's draft. 

On July 9th, twelve members of the Footballguys staff got together for the site's first mock draft of 2016. Below is the league scoring format and bylaws. 

League Parameters

  • 12 teams
  • 20 roster spots
  • Starting Lineup
    • 1 quarterback
    • 2 running backs
    • 3 wide receivers
    • 1 tight end
    • 1 flex (either a running back, wide receiver, or tight end)
    • 1 team defense

League Scoring

  • Offensive Players
    • 4 points - passing touchdown
    • 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
    • 0.05 points - passing yard
    • 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
    • 1 point - reception
  • Team Defense
    • 6 points - touchdown
    • 2 points - turnover recovered
    • 2 points - safety
    • 1 point - sack
    • 10 points - Offensive points against: 0-0
    • 7 points - Offensive points against: 1-6
    • 4 points - Offensive points against: 7-20
    • 1 point - Offensive points against: 21-29
    • -3 points - Offensive points against: 30-99
    • 6 points each - Number of Defensive and Special Teams Touchdowns

THE DRAFT ORDER

The draft order was created randomly. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft pick by pick

  1. Steve Holloway
  2. Jeff Tefertiller
  3. Chris Feery
  4. Jeff Haseley
  5. Daniel Simpkins
  6. Alex Miglio
  7. John Norton
  8. Ryan Hester
  9. Matt Harmon
  10. Andrew Katz
  11. Chad Parsons
  12. Cian Fahey

Starting with Steve Holloway from the 1.01 spot, Justin Howe provides an unbiased evaluation of each team's draft performance.

Steve Holloway Slot 1

Pick Ovr Selection
1.01 1 Brown, Antonio PIT WR
2.12 24 Charles, Jamaal KCC RB
3.01 25 Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR
4.12 48 Newton, Cam CAR QB
5.01 49 Bernard, Giovani CIN RB
6.12 72 Crabtree, Michael OAK WR
7.01 73 Ertz, Zach PHI TE
8.12 96 Abdullah, Ameer DET RB
9.01 97 Palmer, Carson ARI QB
10.12 120 Ebron, Eric DET TE
11.01 121 Jackson, Vincent TBB WR
12.12 144 Vereen, Shane NYG RB
13.01 145 Williams, Terrance DAL WR
14.12 168 Woods, Robert BUF WR
15.01 169 Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK
16.12 192 Starks, James GBP RB
17.01 193 Perriman, Breshad BAL WR
18.12 216 Jaguars, Jacksonville JAC Def
19.01 217 Giants, New York NYG Def
20.12 240 Higbee, Tyler RAM TE (R)

Overall Strategy

Balanced overall, with a slight running back lean and heavy quarterback investment

Best Pick

James Starks, 16.12, RB60. It’s absurd that Holloway was able to scoop James Starks as the RB60. Handcuff backs are always hard to project, but Starks is one of the few with a real stake in the offense and no real competition as his team’s No. 2. And he always carries a strong shot at lead back duties – Eddie Lacy is remarkably banged-up and at a career crossroads – in a powerful offense. This is far, far too late for Starks to be available.

Worst Pick

Carson Palmer, 9.01, QB7. Regardless of where you stand on early quarterback investment, one of its benefits of is that you’re not required to invest much down the line in your No. 2. With Cam Newton on board, Round 9 was a bit early to dip back into the QB market, especially with so many similar options available. I don’t see much difference between Palmer and the next 3-5 guys taken.

Evaluation

I’m not a huge fan of early-round quarterbacks, especially in best-ball formats, but I certainly see Newton’s appeal. He did post five top-three QB weeks last year. Elsewhere, Holloway built a fine RB corps, thanks in large part to the value of the nearly-free Starks. I also like the late upside he found in Breshad Perriman (17.01) and Robert Woods (14.12), who would see more work with Sammy Watkins hobbled than many think.

Jeff Tefertiller Slot 2

Pick Ovr Selection
1.02 2 Beckham, Odell NYG WR
2.11 23 Marshall, Brandon NYJ WR
3.02 26 Cooks, Brandin NOS WR
4.11 47 Olsen, Greg CAR TE
5.02 50 Woodhead, Danny SDC RB
6.11 71 Jones, Marvin DET WR
7.02 74 Foster, Arian FA* RB
8.11 95 Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB
9.02 98 Yeldon, T.J. JAC RB
10.11 119 Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB
11.02 122 Gates, Antonio SDC TE
12.11 143 Washington, DeAndre OAK RB (R)
13.02 146 Stafford, Matthew DET QB
14.11 167 Sproles, Darren PHI RB
15.02 170 Hauschka, Steven SEA PK
16.11 191 Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def
17.02 194 Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def
18.11 215 Garcon, Pierre WAS WR
19.02 218 Agholor, Nelson PHI WR
20.11 239 Smallwood, Wendell PHI RB (R)

Overall Strategy

Zero-RB principles, with heavy receiver investment early and mid-to-late-round RB upside

Best Pick

Brandin Cooks, 3.02, WR17. Early in Round 3, a critical spot for drafters prioritizing one position over another, Tefertiller stayed true to his strategy and selected Cooks. It was the right play; not only is Cooks an ascending target hog in a dynamic offense, but the RB1 pool saw a real dip in quality at this point.

Worst Pick

Arian Foster, 7.02, RB26. I see the appeal in rostering Foster, a proven, versatile presence who could claim a solid workload this August. But Round 7 is early for my taste; he’s a walking red flag who probably fits best two rounds later. He remains jobless as in July and is no guarantee to produce even if he latches on. He’ll be 30 in August, has lost 24 of his last 49 games to injury, and looked anemic in 2015.

Evaluation

Altogether, this a near-ideal zero-RB draft, which is a joy to see done well. Tefertiller built a stable of backs rooted in upside, with some intriguing handcuffs and redraft-ready rookies. With strong WR firepower from atop of the draft, and great value coming from a pair of NFL starters in Rounds 18 and 19, he’s set up for some big weeks from his flex spot. And he didn’t overpay for a single quarterback or tight end, all of whom carry solid projections.

Chris Feery Slot 3

Pick Ovr Selection
1.03 3 Jones, Julio ATL WR
2.10 22 Hilton, T.Y. IND WR
3.03 27 Martin, Doug TBB RB
4.10 46 Matthews, Jordan PHI WR
5.03 51 Rawls, Thomas SEA RB
6.10 70 Coleman, Corey CLE WR (R)
7.03 75 Ajayi, Jay MIA RB
8.10 94 Green, Ladarius PIT TE
9.03 99 Manning, Eli NYG QB
10.10 118 Henry, Derrick TEN RB (R)
11.03 123 Sanu, Mohamed ATL WR
12.10 142 Witten, Jason DAL TE
13.03 147 Taylor, Tyrod BUF QB
14.10 166 Perkins, Paul NYG RB (R)
15.03 171 Broncos, Denver DEN Def
16.10 190 McDonald, Vance SFO TE
17.03 195 Raiders, Oakland OAK Def
18.10 214 Conley, Chris KCC WR
19.03 219 Crosby, Mason GBP PK
20.10 238 Sanchez, Mark DEN QB

Overall Strategy

Attacking the flex spot, stocking WR first while waiting on QBs and TEs

Best Pick

Jay Ajayi, 7.03, RB27. If you’re looking to stock your wideouts first and foremost – as you generally should – then Ajayi is the type of back you should be chasing down the line. Projected to start in an up-tempo offense, Ajayi boasts a dynamic, versatile college resume and a strong athletic profile. Provided the Dolphins don’t add competition in camp, he doesn’t face much competition for touches, either. It’s astounding he was available beyond the likes of Ryan Mathews and Arian Foster.

Worst Pick

Ladarius Green, 8.10, TE9. It’s hard to find a weakness in Feery’s draft, and I never thought I’d call Green anyone’s “worst pick.” But I just don’t like Rounds 7-10 or so for tight ends, especially this year. Green carries all sorts of red flags – low usage in San Diego, several recent concussions – and the Steelers haven’t thrown enough to the position to warrant a lot of optimism. Green is a drool-worthy athlete, though, so even this “worst” pick carries marked upside.

Evaluation

Best-ball leagues often revolve around the flex spot, and Feery’s approach aligned with that. By opening with seven RB/WR picks, Feery is set up to score well at the higher-variance positions. That means quantity over quality at quarterback and tight end, and Feery mined real stability in the late rounds. With a fine duo of low-end QB1s and two starting NFL TEs, he’s easily covered week-to-week at the peripheral positions. This roster is strategic, balanced, and heavy in all the right places.

Jeff Haseley Slot 4

Pick Ovr Selection
1.04 4 Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR
2.09 21 Landry, Jarvis MIA WR
3.04 28 Ingram, Mark NOS RB
4.09 45 Johnson, Duke CLE RB
5.04 52 Wilson, Russell SEA QB
6.09 69 Hill, Jeremy CIN RB
7.04 76 Shepard, Sterling NYG WR (R)
8.09 93 Aiken, Kamar BAL WR
9.04 100 Crowell, Isaiah CLE RB
10.09 117 Bennett, Martellus NEP TE
11.04 124 Allen, Dwayne IND TE
12.09 141 Cousins, Kirk WAS QB
13.04 148 Blount, LeGarrette NEP RB
14.09 165 Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def
15.04 172 Crowder, Jamison WAS WR
16.09 189 Thompson, Chris WAS RB
17.04 196 Kearse, Jermaine SEA WR
18.09 213 Tucker, Justin BAL PK
19.04 220 Santos, Cairo KCC PK
20.09 237 Colts, Indianapolis IND Def

Overall Strategy

Balanced throughout, with a clear WR lean and an early QB

Best Picks

Duke Johnson, 4.09, RB17 and Isaiah Crowell, 9.04, RB36. Since Haseley chased wideouts with his first two picks, he was wise to scoop up stable, high-volume guys like these in the middle rounds. Owning an entire Hue Jackson backfield in a best-ball format is fantasy dynamite; his backs consistently take very heavy volume in both facets of the offense. Crowell hasn’t shown much through two years, but a mid-level Jeremy Hill season is well within reach. And Johnson, an upper-level athlete with a great two-way resume, is likely to ascend in efficiency alongside his volume increase.

Worst Pick

Sterling Shepard, 7.04, WR40. It’s not that I hate Shepard’s short-term appeal. In fact, I expect him to see heavy rookie snaps as the Giants’ No. 2A option. But his upside is definitely capped as a slot-only type in an aggressive offense that’s unlikely to create a 70-catch slot man. I see him as a steadying WR4/5 presence on an MFL10 roster, but Round 7 is a bit early for me. I would’ve preferred Willie Snead, DeSean Jackson, or Tavon Austin here – similar floors with stronger upside.

Evaluation

Haseley clearly took a value-based strategy, relying on solid studs with solid projections to anchor his weekly lineup. That can always backfire, as it’s a method based heavily upon the accuracy of one’s own projections, but Haseley subsidized his core with plenty of quality depth. He’s set up beautifully for MFL’s PPR format, with volume wideouts from all levels of the draft and a handful of quality receiving backs. It’s a reminder that we can still draft shrewdly and successfully even without employing a position-heavy approach.

Daniel Simpkins Slot 5

Pick Ovr Selection
1.05 5 Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB
2.08 20 Cooper, Amari OAK WR
3.05 29 Cobb, Randall GBP WR
4.08 44 Lewis, Dion NEP RB
5.05 53 Floyd, Michael ARI WR
6.08 68 Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
7.05 77 Eifert, Tyler CIN TE
8.08 92 Treadwell, Laquon MIN WR (R)
9.05 101 Gordon, Melvin SDC RB
10.08 116 Coates, Sammie PIT WR
11.05 125 Winston, Jameis TBB QB
12.08 140 Cameron, Jordan MIA TE
13.05 149 McKinnon, Jerick MIN RB
14.08 164 Seferian-Jenkins, Austin TBB TE
15.05 173 Ferguson, Josh IND RB (R)
16.08 188 Zenner, Zach DET RB
17.05 197 Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def
18.08 212 Roberts, Seth OAK WR
19.05 221 Hooper, Austin ATL TE (R)
20.08 236 Forbath, Kai NOS PK

Overall strategy

WR-heavy, with a first-round anchor running back and a crew of late-round upside plays

Best Picks

Jerick McKinnon, 13.05, RB51; Josh Ferguson, 15.05, RB55; Zach Zenner, 16.08, RB58. This trio of high-upside running back stabs looks golden. Handcuffs are especially valuable in best-ball leagues, especially when they carry the freakish gifts of McKinnon and Zenner. McKinnon nosed his way into a very noticeable passing down and No. 2 role behind Adrian Peterson, a niche that should grow exponentially as Peterson hits age 32. Zenner was absurdly productive at South Dakota State and, like McKinnon, carries a SPARQ profile among the stars. Ferguson is a productive pass-catching back with only a handful of castoffs to compete with for strong usage. If the ghost of Frank Gore sputters or goes down, Ferguson help could win leagues in a likely resurgent Colts offense.

Worst Pick

Laquon Treadwell, 8.08, WR46. I’m not an overwhelming fan of Treadwell, at least in relation to most of the fantasy world. He’s a steady pick with true Anquan Boldin upside, but I’m not sure how much upside he carries, especially as a rookie and in such a run-heavy offense. Treadwell will need to vanquish Stefon Diggs, a solid prospect in his own right, to find any real fantasy relevance. I would’ve invested elsewhere in Round 8.

Evaluation

I may disagree with a handful of Simpkins’ early picks, but I love the depth he accumulated. He chased upside with athletic prospects and two intriguing late-round rookies, drawing excellent value from each pick. And I love that he scooped Aaron Rodgers two rounds after Cam Newton went. All told, this roster turned out balanced while featuring gobs of upside, which isn’t an easy accomplishment.

Alex Miglio Slot 6

Pick Ovr Selection
1.06 6 Green, A.J. CIN WR
2.07 19 Freeman, Devonta ATL RB
3.06 30 Benjamin, Kelvin CAR WR
4.07 43 Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR
5.06 54 Luck, Andrew IND QB
6.07 67 Murray, DeMarco TEN RB
7.06 78 Walker, Delanie TEN TE
8.07 91 Ivory, Chris JAC RB
9.06 102 Doctson, Josh WAS WR (R)
10.07 115 Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (R)
11.06 126 Hogan, Chris NEP WR
12.07 139 Rivers, Philip SDC QB
13.06 150 Cook, Jared GBP TE
14.07 163 LaFell, Brandon CIN WR
15.06 174 Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE
16.07 187 Texans, Houston HOU Def
17.06 198 Nelson, J.J. ARI WR
18.07 211 Ellington, Andre ARI RB
19.06 222 Dolphins, Miami MIA Def
20.07 235 Myers, Jason JAC PK

Overall Strategy

WR-heavy, with an early-round anchor RB and a crew of late-round upside plays

Best Pick

Devonta Freeman, 2.07, RB7. In a zero-RB or otherwise WR-heavy draft, it’s generally fair to grab an anchor back in the first two rounds – provided he’s a volume king with receptions and TD opportunity on tap. Freeman projects squarely into the top tier of the league in terms of volume and red zone usage; he’s a second-round steal as paired with a first-round wideout.

Worst Pick

Kelvin Benjamin, 3.06, WR19. I like Benjamin’s ceiling a lot, but I don’t love his chances of approaching it. His dominant rookie role is likely to scale back a bit; Carolina has assembled far more competing talent than it had in 2014, and Benjamin won’t have the garbage time volume to create that same magic. There’s potential for 10+ touchdowns, but he looks fairly hit-or-miss as a third-rounder, even in an MFL10.

Evaluation

Miglio clearly chased consistent production; he loaded up early on NFL teams’ No. 1 wideouts and backs with potential to dominate their respective backfields. Creating that kind of floor gives more latitude to pick up intriguing upside picks down the line, which Miglio took advantage of. He also extracted strong value from his quarterbacks and cobbled together a solid best-ball tight end trio.

John Norton Slot 7

Pick Ovr Selection
1.07 7 Johnson, David ARI RB
2.06 18 Nelson, Jordy GBP WR
3.07 31 Anderson, C.J. DEN RB
4.06 42 Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR
5.07 55 Baldwin, Doug SEA WR
6.06 66 Kelce, Travis KCC TE
7.07 79 Snead, Willie NOS WR
8.06 90 Langford, Jeremy CHI RB
9.07 103 Carr, Derek OAK QB
10.06 114 Jennings, Rashad NYG RB
11.07 127 Wheaton, Markus PIT WR
12.06 138 Booker, Devontae DEN RB (R)
13.07 151 Dalton, Andy CIN QB
14.06 162 Walford, Clive OAK TE
15.07 175 Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R)
16.06 186 Panthers, Carolina CAR Def
17.07 199 Buccaneers, Tampa Bay TBB Def
18.06 210 Gano, Graham CAR PK
19.07 223 Hightower, Tim NOS RB
20.06 234 Walsh, Blair MIN PK

Overall Strategy

Balanced, with an early RB lean and heavy WR focus in the middle rounds; waiting for a quarterback

Best Pick

Markus Wheaton, 11.07, WR56. In a draft full of value, Wheaton stood out. Round 11 is too late for the clear-cut No. 2 in a high-octane offense to be available. Wheaton’s efficiency has always waned, but his volume opportunity is high – top competitor Sammie Coates is exceptionally raw. Judging by Martavis Bryant’s typical share, it’s safe to call Wheaton a lock to approach 100 targets.

Worst Pick

Emmanuel Sanders, 4.06, WR25. Sanders has certainly overachieved in Denver, even without Peyton Manning’s aid. But this year’s Broncos offense will be insanely run-based, with either Mark Sanchez or a youngster who’s never thrown a pass under center. It’s hard to imagine it supporting two WR2s, so either Sanders or Demaryius Thomas is likely to see a noticeable plunge.

Evaluation

Norton’s decision to sit tight at quarterback until Round 9 was one I like. I’m not a huge fan of Carr, but the sentiment is awesome – with so many similarly projected QBs mushed together in that range, there’s just no rush. As a result, Norton walked away with well-rounded RB and WR depth charts, with some great value picks from up and down the draft. He compiled peripheral pieces of the Saints, Steelers, and Giants offenses – three units who project among the league’s best – and did it in the middle and late rounds. That’s an impressive accomplishment, and shrewd way to add ceiling to an MFL10 roster.

Ryan Hester Slot 8

Pick Ovr Selection
1.08 8 Bryant, Dez DAL WR
2.05 17 Jeffery, Alshon CHI WR
3.08 32 McCoy, LeSean BUF RB
4.05 41 Maclin, Jeremy KCC WR
5.08 56 Edelman, Julian NEP WR
6.05 65 Mathews, Ryan PHI RB
7.08 80 Jackson, DeSean WAS WR
8.05 89 Gore, Frank IND RB
9.08 104 Thomas, Julius JAC TE
10.05 113 Forsett, Justin BAL RB
11.08 128 Brady, Tom NEP QB
12.05 137 Smith, Steve BAL WR
13.08 152 Matthews, Rishard TEN WR
14.05 161 Ryan, Matt ATL QB
15.08 176 Tye, Will NYG TE
16.05 185 Steelers, Pittsburgh PIT Def
17.08 200 West, Charcandrick KCC RB
18.05 209 Bills, Buffalo BUF Def
19.08 224 Bailey, Dan DAL PK
20.05 233 Brown, Josh NYG PK

Overall Strategy

WR-heavy, with a RB base of volume candidates from the middle rounds; waiting at quarterback

Best Pick

Frank Gore, 8.08, RB31. Hester clearly aimed to build a full, dynamic stable of receivers (and he snagged some strong ones) as his core. To make it work, a drafter needs to identify the right mid-round running backs, and Hester did a fine job in adding Gore so late. He’s not sexy or buzzworthy, but he stands atop the depth chart in a high-octane Colts offense – with no rushing competition to speak of. Even if his receiving role falls off with rookie Josh Ferguson in tow, Gore has a great volume outlook in both facets, and that’s what a WR-heavy drafter needs to be seeking,

Worst Pick

Ryan Mathews, 6.08, RB23. It’s hard to quibble with Hester’s methodology or his results here, but I’m not a Mathews fan. An injury case who’ll share time in a slow-paced, Sam Bradford-led offense that will often trail in its games, I see a walking red flag. I would have opted for Jay Ajayi or DeMarco Murray here – though Hester covered well by landing Gore two rounds later. No sweat.

Evaluation

This was an exceptionally smart draft, with a host of WR1/2 types cobbled together and high-usage anchor RBs. Hester is invested in late upside for sure, but he’s built his core around proven producers at high-volume levels: unquestioned NFL No. 1 wideouts and three-down running backs with little competition. Waiting at QB (and landing two proven guys with moderate upside) really paid off here.

Matt Harmon Slot 9

Pick Ovr Selection
1.09 9 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB (R)
2.04 16 Allen, Keenan SDC WR
3.09 33 Watkins, Sammy BUF WR
4.04 40 Moncrief, Donte IND WR
5.09 57 Brown, John ARI WR
6.04 64 Murray, Latavius OAK RB
7.09 81 Brees, Drew NOS QB
8.04 88 Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB
9.09 105 Benjamin, Travis SDC WR
10.04 112 Prosise, C.J. SEA RB (R)
11.09 129 Miller, Zach CHI TE
12.04 136 Wallace, Mike BAL WR
13.09 153 Ellington, Bruce SFO WR
14.04 160 Clay, Charles BUF TE
15.09 177 Smith, Alex KCC QB
16.04 184 Williams, Karlos BUF RB
17.09 201 Patriots, New England NEP Def
18.04 208 Packers, Green Bay GBP Def
19.09 225 Boswell, Chris PIT PK
20.04 232 Redskins, Washington WAS Def

Overall Strategy

Build around a strong (league-best?) core of wide receivers; go with the devils you know at running back; punt tight end

Best Pick

John Brown, 5.09, WR31. Clearly valuing his wideouts above all else, Harmon picked up several WR1/2 types throughout the early rounds to anchor his roster. But Brown stands out in terms of value; Harmon scooped him right between WR tiers, behind question marks like Devante Parker and Michael Floyd. Brown, already one of the NFL’s most explosive downfield threats, has seen steady usage increases over his two seasons, and his fantasy value stands at the forefront of Larry Fitzgerald’s decline. A Jeremy Maclin-type of line is well within reach, and Harmon invested shrewdly.

Worst Pick

Ezekiel Elliott, 1.09, RB3. I’m sure Elliott will be a fine NFL runner, and it’s hard not to project him well as a rookie. But in order to return value on a first-round pick, he’ll likely need a perfect storm of circumstances. That means an immediate three-down role as a rookie, despite a deep RB group in Dallas, as well as upper-tier efficiency and receiving volume. It could certainly happen, but this is too rich for me to expect that; Harmon passed on likely volume dominators Devonta Freeman and Lamar Miller for Elliott. My projections place Elliott a solid tier below, in line with Mark Ingram and Doug Martin.

Evaluation

Admittedly, I carry a bias: I’m incapable of disliking a fantasy roster that includes Donte Moncrief, John Brown, and Bruce Ellington. But I love this team as assembled. In building a WR-supreme roster, a drafter has to be creative in filling the other lineup slots, and Harmon was just that. He put together a group of value RBs that was ignored early in the draft and, frankly, shouldn’t have been around as late as he snagged them. And by punting at tight end – a perfectly viable best-ball strategy – he was able to build a strong flex-position core, replete with high-upside wideouts and receiving backs.

Andrew Katz Slot 10

Pick Ovr Selection
1.10 10 Gurley, Todd RAM RB
2.03 15 Evans, Mike TBB WR
3.10 34 Reed, Jordan WAS TE
4.03 39 Lacy, Eddie GBP RB
5.10 58 Lockett, Tyler SEA WR
6.03 63 Diggs, Stefon MIN WR
7.10 82 Smith, Torrey SFO WR
8.03 87 Green-Beckham, Dorial TEN WR
9.10 106 Powell, Bilal NYJ RB
10.03 111 Graham, Jimmy SEA TE
11.10 130 Bortles, Blake JAC QB
12.03 135 Gordon, Josh CLE WR
13.10 154 Mariota, Marcus TEN QB
14.03 159 Allen, Javorius BAL RB
15.10 178 Fitzpatrick, Ryan NYJ QB
16.03 183 Rams, Los Angeles RAM Def
17.10 202 Janis, Jeff GBP WR
18.03 207 Jets, New York NYJ Def
19.10 226 Aguayo, Roberto TBB PK (R)
20.03 231 Vinatieri, Adam IND PK

Overall Strategy

RB-heavy; investing in mid-round upside at wideout; waiting at quarterback; praying to the tight end gods

Best Pick

Blake Bortles, 11.10, QB12; Marcus Mariota, 13.10, QB18; Ryan Fitzpatrick, 15.10, QB24. Katz is clearly on board with waiting for his QBs, and his final depth chart is a masterstroke. Bortles may or may not regress from his lofty 2015 totals, but with nearly all of Jacksonville’s talent playing in the pass game, any drop-off should be minimal – he’s an easy QB1, poached near the end of Round 11. Fitzpatrick is almost certain to regress, but should easily outproduce almost everyone taken in this range. And Mariota’s an exciting wild card, one who’ll throw more than some realize on a bad Titans team and finally add some dynamism on the ground. This is truly an awesome 3-QB grouping for any format, but especially an MFL10.

Worst Pick

Jordan Reed, 3.10, TE2. I’m off the Reed bandwagon for 2016, frightened by a lengthy concussion history and the general shakiness of the Kirk Cousins Era. His fourth-round ADP makes plenty of sense, given the target and red zone dominance we saw last year, but it’s quite a leap of faith. Reed has missed 14 of 49 pro games, several due to repeated brain injuries that will always red-flag a fourth-round guy for me. Reed’s full of upside – even at his high draft slot – but there were several difference-making WRs on the board I’d rather roll the dice on.

Evaluation

Katz certainly took some swings; Reed is a walking injury report unto himself, while Jimmy Graham is in a race to return for Week 1. But his few big risks were managed nicely by some smart, under-the-radar value picks in the middle rounds. I love the later investments in Bilal Powell and Javorius Allen, both three-down backs who could make starts for their team at any point. And I deeply love his QBs and WRs. All told, it’s hard to find any warts here.

Chad Parsons Slot 11

Pick Ovr Selection
1.11 11 Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
2.02 14 Robinson, Allen JAC WR
3.11 35 Tate, Golden DET WR
4.02 38 Hyde, Carlos SFO RB
5.11 59 White, Kevin CHI WR
6.02 62 Sims, Charles TBB RB
7.11 83 Jones, Matt WAS RB
8.02 86 Austin, Tavon RAM WR
9.11 107 Funchess, Devin CAR WR
10.02 110 Coleman, Tevin ATL RB
11.11 131 Howard, Jordan CHI RB (R)
12.02 134 Boyd, Tyler CIN WR (R)
13.11 155 Tannehill, Ryan MIA QB
14.02 158 Flacco, Joe BAL QB
15.11 179 Osweiler, Brock HOU QB
16.02 182 Seahawks, Seattle SEA Def
17.11 203 Draughn, Shaun SFO RB
18.02 206 Catanzaro, Chandler ARI PK
19.11 227 McManus, Brandon DEN PK
20.02 230 Watson, Ben BAL TE

Overall Strategy

Principles of zero-RB, betting on Rob Gronkowski and young, ascending wideouts; punt the QB

Best Pick

Ryan Tannehill, 13.11, QB19; Joe Flacco, 14.02, QB21; Brock Osweiler, 15.11, QB25. Again we see a drafter shrewdly waiting for his best-ball quarterbacks in favor stocking everywhere else. With this trio, Parsons shouldn’t have a hard time posting strong QB weeks throughout the season. None of these guys are enticing on their own, but this is best ball, so Parsons won’t have to decide amongst his mediocre stable QBs from week to week. He’ll just benefit from whichever has the strongest day.

Worst Pick

Carlos Hyde, 4.02, RB14. It’s not that I hate Hyde, who’s gotten a bad rap through two seasons and is set up to break out. But he’s not a great fit with that fourth-round pick. In a zero-RB type of draft approach, I prefer to either ignore the position through 5-6 rounds or spend a first-round pick on a rock-solid anchor. Dipping in for a question mark at RB limits the early-round value gain; I don’t see him as a demonstrably better fantasy prospect than a few guys available later.

Evaluation

This was really a well-set draft plan. By waiting to assemble a QB committee, Parsons gave himself a ton of early- and mid-round flexibility and dynamism. And he used that advantage well in this draft, overloading his flex options with upside wideouts and pass-catching backs. This is a WR-heavy draft carried out almost flawlessly.

Cian Fahey Slot 12

Pick Ovr Selection
1.12 12 Peterson, Adrian MIN RB
2.01 13 Miller, Lamar HOU RB
3.12 36 Forte, Matt NYJ RB
4.01 37 Parker, DeVante MIA WR
5.12 60 Hurns, Allen JAC WR
6.01 61 Decker, Eric NYJ WR
7.12 84 Fleener, Coby NOS TE
8.01 85 Riddick, Theo DET RB
9.12 108 Thomas, Michael NOS WR (R)
10.01 109 Barnidge, Gary CLE TE
11.12 132 Dorsett, Phillip IND WR
12.01 133 Fuller, Will HOU WR (R)
13.12 156 Carroo, Leonte MIA WR (R)
14.01 157 Romo, Tony DAL QB
15.12 180 Cutler, Jay CHI QB
16.01 181 Spiller, C.J. NOS RB
17.12 204 Eagles, Philadelphia PHI Def
18.01 205 Morris, Alfred DAL RB
19.12 228 Brate, Cameron TBB TE
20.01 229 Dawson, Phil SFO PK

Particularly RB-robust, using the middle rounds to assemble pass catchers; punt the QB

Best Pick

Eric Decker, 6.01, WR35. When drafting heavily at one specific position, it’s important to throw both quality and quantity at the others. Chasing upside is smart, of course, and Fahey also loaded up mightily on young, undervalued wideouts. But he needed a stabilizing presence there, one who can be expected to produce consistently week-to-week, on the chances Fahey’s upside pursuits fail to pan out. Landing Decker this late was ideal – he’s likely to regress a bit with Ryan Fitzpatrick, but WR35 is just insulting to the man’s ability. This is a guy who’s been able to consistently create touchdowns when paired with the likes of Fitzpatrick, Tim Tebow, and Geno Smith.

Worst Pick

Matt Forte, 3.12, RB13. I get the positional scarcity at running back, and I’ll never knock a drafter for chasing a high-reception guy. But Forte just doesn’t have my interest, especially as the RB13, with Dion Lewis and Eddie Lacy still on the board. Forte is old, with tons of tread on the tires and as poor of a red zone outlook as always. He may not even be the best receiving back on the Jets at this point.

Evaluation

While WR-heavy drafting is the new hotness, there’s plenty to be said for aiming to lock down 3-4 of 2016’s top backs. And since mid-round and sleeper RBs pan out so rarely, the only real way to do that is with early-round focus, and Fahey did a fantastic job extracting RB value. Anchored by two workhorses from atop the draft and filled out with pass catchers from the middle rounds, this RB corps is among the league’s best. And while his WR crew is composed mostly of mostly dice rolls, I’m on board with the gambles he chose to take there, including three promising rookies.


Full Draft

Link to draft

Pick Ovr Franchise Selection
1.01 1 Steve Holloway Brown, Antonio PIT WR
1.02 2 Jeff Tefertiller Beckham, Odell NYG WR
1.03 3 Chris Feery Jones, Julio ATL WR
1.04 4 Jeff Haseley Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR
1.05 5 Daniel Simpkins Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB
1.06 6 Alex Miglio Green, A.J. CIN WR
1.07 7 John Norton Johnson, David ARI RB
1.08 8 Ryan Hester Bryant, Dez DAL WR
1.09 9 Matt Harmon Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB (R)
1.10 10 Andrew Katz Gurley, Todd RAM RB
1.11 11 Chad Parsons Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
1.12 12 Cian Fahey Peterson, Adrian MIN RB
2.01 13 Cian Fahey Miller, Lamar HOU RB
2.02 14 Chad Parsons Robinson, Allen JAC WR
2.03 15 Andrew Katz Evans, Mike TBB WR
2.04 16 Matt Harmon Allen, Keenan SDC WR
2.05 17 Ryan Hester Jeffery, Alshon CHI WR
2.06 18 John Norton Nelson, Jordy GBP WR
2.07 19 Alex Miglio Freeman, Devonta ATL RB
2.08 20 Daniel Simpkins Cooper, Amari OAK WR
2.09 21 Jeff Haseley Landry, Jarvis MIA WR
2.10 22 Chris Feery Hilton, T.Y. IND WR
2.11 23 Jeff Tefertiller Marshall, Brandon NYJ WR
2.12 24 Steve Holloway Charles, Jamaal KCC RB
3.01 25 Steve Holloway Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR
3.02 26 Jeff Tefertiller Cooks, Brandin NOS WR
3.03 27 Chris Feery Martin, Doug TBB RB
3.04 28 Jeff Haseley Ingram, Mark NOS RB
3.05 29 Daniel Simpkins Cobb, Randall GBP WR
3.06 30 Alex Miglio Benjamin, Kelvin CAR WR
3.07 31 John Norton Anderson, C.J. DEN RB
3.08 32 Ryan Hester McCoy, LeSean BUF RB
3.09 33 Matt Harmon Watkins, Sammy BUF WR
3.10 34 Andrew Katz Reed, Jordan WAS TE
3.11 35 Chad Parsons Tate, Golden DET WR
3.12 36 Cian Fahey Forte, Matt NYJ RB
4.01 37 Cian Fahey Parker, DeVante MIA WR
4.02 38 Chad Parsons Hyde, Carlos SFO RB
4.03 39 Andrew Katz Lacy, Eddie GBP RB
4.04 40 Matt Harmon Moncrief, Donte IND WR
4.05 41 Ryan Hester Maclin, Jeremy KCC WR
4.06 42 John Norton Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR
4.07 43 Alex Miglio Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR
4.08 44 Daniel Simpkins Lewis, Dion NEP RB
4.09 45 Jeff Haseley Johnson, Duke CLE RB
4.10 46 Chris Feery Matthews, Jordan PHI WR
4.11 47 Jeff Tefertiller Olsen, Greg CAR TE
4.12 48 Steve Holloway Newton, Cam CAR QB
5.01 49 Steve Holloway Bernard, Giovani CIN RB
5.02 50 Jeff Tefertiller Woodhead, Danny SDC RB
5.03 51 Chris Feery Rawls, Thomas SEA RB
5.04 52 Jeff Haseley Wilson, Russell SEA QB
5.05 53 Daniel Simpkins Floyd, Michael ARI WR
5.06 54 Alex Miglio Luck, Andrew IND QB
5.07 55 John Norton Baldwin, Doug SEA WR
5.08 56 Ryan Hester Edelman, Julian NEP WR
5.09 57 Matt Harmon Brown, John ARI WR
5.10 58 Andrew Katz Lockett, Tyler SEA WR
5.11 59 Chad Parsons White, Kevin CHI WR
5.12 60 Cian Fahey Hurns, Allen JAC WR
6.01 61 Cian Fahey Decker, Eric NYJ WR
6.02 62 Chad Parsons Sims, Charles TBB RB
6.03 63 Andrew Katz Diggs, Stefon MIN WR
6.04 64 Matt Harmon Murray, Latavius OAK RB
6.05 65 Ryan Hester Mathews, Ryan PHI RB
6.06 66 John Norton Kelce, Travis KCC TE
6.07 67 Alex Miglio Murray, DeMarco TEN RB
6.08 68 Daniel Simpkins Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
6.09 69 Jeff Haseley Hill, Jeremy CIN RB
6.10 70 Chris Feery Coleman, Corey CLE WR (R)
6.11 71 Jeff Tefertiller Jones, Marvin DET WR
6.12 72 Steve Holloway Crabtree, Michael OAK WR
7.01 73 Steve Holloway Ertz, Zach PHI TE
7.02 74 Jeff Tefertiller Foster, Arian FA* RB
7.03 75 Chris Feery Ajayi, Jay MIA RB
7.04 76 Jeff Haseley Shepard, Sterling NYG WR(R)
7.05 77 Daniel Simpkins Eifert, Tyler CIN TE
7.06 78 Alex Miglio Walker, Delanie TEN TE
7.07 79 John Norton Snead, Willie NOS WR
7.08 80 Ryan Hester Jackson, DeSean WAS WR
7.09 81 Matt Harmon Brees, Drew NOS QB
7.10 82 Andrew Katz Smith, Torrey SFO WR
7.11 83 Chad Parsons Jones, Matt WAS RB
7.12 84 Cian Fahey Fleener, Coby NOS TE
8.01 85 Cian Fahey Riddick, Theo DET RB
8.02 86 Chad Parsons Austin, Tavon RAM WR
8.03 87 Andrew Katz Green-Beckham, Dorial TEN WR
8.04 88 Matt Harmon Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB
8.05 89 Ryan Hester Gore, Frank IND RB
8.06 90 John Norton Langford, Jeremy CHI RB
8.07 91 Alex Miglio Ivory, Chris JAC RB
8.08 92 Daniel Simpkins Treadwell, Laquon MIN WR(R)
8.09 93 Jeff Haseley Aiken, Kamar BAL WR
8.10 94 Chris Feery Green, Ladarius PIT TE
8.11 95 Jeff Tefertiller Roethlisberger, Ben PIT QB
8.12 96 Steve Holloway Abdullah, Ameer DET RB
9.01 97 Steve Holloway Palmer, Carson ARI QB
9.02 98 Jeff Tefertiller Yeldon, T.J. JAC RB
9.03 99 Chris Feery Manning, Eli NYG QB
9.04 100 Jeff Haseley Crowell, Isaiah CLE RB
9.05 101 Daniel Simpkins Gordon, Melvin SDC RB
9.06 102 Alex Miglio Doctson, Josh WAS WR (R)
9.07 103 John Norton Carr, Derek OAK QB
9.08 104 Ryan Hester Thomas, Julius JAC TE
9.09 105 Matt Harmon Benjamin, Travis SDC WR
9.10 106 Andrew Katz Powell, Bilal NYJ RB
9.11 107 Chad Parsons Funchess, Devin CAR WR
9.12 108 Cian Fahey Thomas, Michael NOS WR(R)
10.01 109 Cian Fahey Barnidge, Gary CLE TE
10.02 110 Chad Parsons Coleman, Tevin ATL RB
10.03 111 Andrew Katz Graham, Jimmy SEA TE
10.04 112 Matt Harmon Prosise, C.J. SEA RB (R)
10.05 113 Ryan Hester Forsett, Justin BAL RB
10.06 114 John Norton Jennings, Rashad NYG RB
10.07 115 Alex Miglio Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (R)
10.08 116 Daniel Simpkins Coates, Sammie PIT WR
10.09 117 Jeff Haseley Bennett, Martellus NEP TE
10.10 118 Chris Feery Henry, Derrick TEN RB (R)
10.11 119 Jeff Tefertiller Williams, DeAngelo PIT RB
10.12 120 Steve Holloway Ebron, Eric DET TE
11.01 121 Steve Holloway Jackson, Vincent TBB WR
11.02 122 Jeff Tefertiller Gates, Antonio SDC TE
11.03 123 Chris Feery Sanu, Mohamed ATL WR
11.04 124 Jeff Haseley Allen, Dwayne IND TE
11.05 125 Daniel Simpkins Winston, Jameis TBB QB
11.06 126 Alex Miglio Hogan, Chris NEP WR
11.07 127 John Norton Wheaton, Markus PIT WR
11.08 128 Ryan Hester Brady, Tom NEP QB
11.09 129 Matt Harmon Miller, Zach CHI TE
11.10 130 Andrew Katz Bortles, Blake JAC QB
11.11 131 Chad Parsons Howard, Jordan CHI RB (R)
11.12 132 Cian Fahey Dorsett, Phillip IND WR
12.01 133 Cian Fahey Fuller, Will HOU WR (R)
12.02 134 Chad Parsons Boyd, Tyler CIN WR (R)
12.03 135 Andrew Katz Gordon, Josh CLE WR
12.04 136 Matt Harmon Wallace, Mike BAL WR
12.05 137 Ryan Hester Smith, Steve BAL WR
12.06 138 John Norton Booker, Devontae DEN RB(R)
12.07 139 Alex Miglio Rivers, Philip SDC QB
12.08 140 Daniel Simpkins Cameron, Jordan MIA TE
12.09 141 Jeff Haseley Cousins, Kirk WAS QB
12.10 142 Chris Feery Witten, Jason DAL TE
12.11 143 Jeff Tefertiller Washington, DeAndre OAK RB (R)
12.12 144 Steve Holloway Vereen, Shane NYG RB
13.01 145 Steve Holloway Williams, Terrance DAL WR
13.02 146 Jeff Tefertiller Stafford, Matthew DET QB
13.03 147 Chris Feery Taylor, Tyrod BUF QB
13.04 148 Jeff Haseley Blount, LeGarrette NEP RB
13.05 149 Daniel Simpkins McKinnon, Jerick MIN RB
13.06 150 Alex Miglio Cook, Jared GBP TE
13.07 151 John Norton Dalton, Andy CIN QB
13.08 152 Ryan Hester Matthews, Rishard TEN WR
13.09 153 Matt Harmon Ellington, Bruce SFO WR
13.10 154 Andrew Katz Mariota, Marcus TEN QB
13.11 155 Chad Parsons Tannehill, Ryan MIA QB
13.12 156 Cian Fahey Carroo, Leonte MIA WR (R)
14.01 157 Cian Fahey Romo, Tony DAL QB
14.02 158 Chad Parsons Flacco, Joe BAL QB
14.03 159 Andrew Katz Allen, Javorius BAL RB
14.04 160 Matt Harmon Clay, Charles BUF TE
14.05 161 Ryan Hester Ryan, Matt ATL QB
14.06 162 John Norton Walford, Clive OAK TE
14.07 163 Alex Miglio LaFell, Brandon CIN WR
14.08 164 Daniel Simpkins Seferian-Jenkins, Austin TBB TE
14.09 165 Jeff Haseley Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def
14.10 166 Chris Feery Perkins, Paul NYG RB (R)
14.11 167 Jeff Tefertiller Sproles, Darren PHI RB
14.12 168 Steve Holloway Woods, Robert BUF WR
15.01 169 Steve Holloway Gostkowski, Stephen NEP PK
15.02 170 Jeff Tefertiller Hauschka, Steven SEA PK
15.03 171 Chris Feery Broncos, Denver DEN Def
15.04 172 Jeff Haseley Crowder, Jamison WAS WR
15.05 173 Daniel Simpkins Ferguson, Josh IND RB (R)
15.06 174 Alex Miglio Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE
15.07 175 John Norton Henry, Hunter SDC TE (R)
15.08 176 Ryan Hester Tye, Will NYG TE
15.09 177 Matt Harmon Smith, Alex KCC QB
15.10 178 Andrew Katz Fitzpatrick, Ryan NYJ QB
15.11 179 Chad Parsons Osweiler, Brock HOU QB
15.12 180 Cian Fahey Cutler, Jay CHI QB
16.01 181 Cian Fahey Spiller, C.J. NOS RB
16.02 182 Chad Parsons Seahawks, Seattle SEA Def
16.03 183 Andrew Katz Rams, Los Angeles RAM Def
16.04 184 Matt Harmon Williams, Karlos BUF RB
16.05 185 Ryan Hester Steelers, Pittsburgh PIT Def
16.06 186 John Norton Panthers, Carolina CAR Def
16.07 187 Alex Miglio Texans, Houston HOU Def
16.08 188 Daniel Simpkins Zenner, Zach DET RB
16.09 189 Jeff Haseley Thompson, Chris WAS RB
16.10 190 Chris Feery McDonald, Vance SFO TE
16.11 191 Jeff Tefertiller Chiefs, Kansas City KCC Def
16.12 192 Steve Holloway Starks, James GBP RB
17.01 193 Steve Holloway Perriman, Breshad BAL WR
17.02 194 Jeff Tefertiller Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def
17.03 195 Chris Feery Raiders, Oakland OAK Def
17.04 196 Jeff Haseley Kearse, Jermaine SEA WR
17.05 197 Daniel Simpkins Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def
17.06 198 Alex Miglio Nelson, J.J. ARI WR
17.07 199 John Norton Buccaneers, Tampa Bay TBB Def
17.08 200 Ryan Hester West, Charcandrick KCC RB
17.09 201 Matt Harmon Patriots, New England NEP Def
17.10 202 Andrew Katz Janis, Jeff GBP WR
17.11 203 Chad Parsons Draughn, Shaun SFO RB
17.12 204 Cian Fahey Eagles, Philadelphia PHI Def
18.01 205 Cian Fahey Morris, Alfred DAL RB
18.02 206 Chad Parsons Catanzaro, Chandler ARI PK
18.03 207 Andrew Katz Jets, New York NYJ Def
18.04 208 Matt Harmon Packers, Green Bay GBP Def
18.05 209 Ryan Hester Bills, Buffalo BUF Def
18.06 210 John Norton Gano, Graham CAR PK
18.07 211 Alex Miglio Ellington, Andre ARI RB
18.08 212 Daniel Simpkins Roberts, Seth OAK WR
18.09 213 Jeff Haseley Tucker, Justin BAL PK
18.10 214 Chris Feery Conley, Chris KCC WR
18.11 215 Jeff Tefertiller Garcon, Pierre WAS WR
18.12 216 Steve Holloway Jaguars, Jacksonville JAC Def
19.01 217 Steve Holloway Giants, New York NYG Def
19.02 218 Jeff Tefertiller Agholor, Nelson PHI WR
19.03 219 Chris Feery Crosby, Mason GBP PK
19.04 220 Jeff Haseley Santos, Cairo KCC PK
19.05 221 Daniel Simpkins Hooper, Austin ATL TE (R)
19.06 222 Alex Miglio Dolphins, Miami MIA Def
19.07 223 John Norton Hightower, Tim NOS RB
19.08 224 Ryan Hester Bailey, Dan DAL PK
19.09 225 Matt Harmon Boswell, Chris PIT PK
19.10 226 Andrew Katz Aguayo, Roberto TBB PK (R)
19.11 227 Chad Parsons McManus, Brandon DEN PK
19.12 228 Cian Fahey Brate, Cameron TBB TE
20.01 229 Cian Fahey Dawson, Phil SFO PK
20.02 230 Chad Parsons Watson, Ben BAL TE
20.03 231 Andrew Katz Vinatieri, Adam IND PK
20.04 232 Matt Harmon Redskins, Washington WAS Def
20.05 233 Ryan Hester Brown, Josh NYG PK
20.06 234 John Norton Walsh, Blair MIN PK
20.07 235 Alex Miglio Myers, Jason JAC PK
20.08 236 Daniel Simpkins Forbath, Kai NOS PK
20.09 237 Jeff Haseley Colts, Indianapolis IND Def
20.10 238 Chris Feery Sanchez, Mark DEN QB
20.11 239 Jeff Tefertiller Smallwood, Wendell PHI RB(R)
20.12 240 Steve Holloway Higbee, Tyler RAM TE (R)

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com