Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Updated Sunday, November 8th at 6 AM (EST)
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Kansas City | Carolina | -10 | 51.5 | 30.75 | ««« | ««« | |
Pittsburgh | Dallas | -14.5 | 44 | 29.25 | «« | «« | ««« |
Seattle | Buffalo | -3 | 55 | 29 | «« | «« | |
Houston | Jacksonville | -7 | 49 | 28 | «« | «« | |
Minnesota | Detroit | -4 | 51.5 | 27.75 | « | « | |
Tampa Bay | New Orleans | -4.5 | 51 | 27.75 | « | « | |
Green Bay | San Francisco | -6 | 49.5 | 27.75 | « | « | |
Arizona | Miami | -5.5 | 49.5 | 27.5 | « | « | |
Atlanta | Denver | -4 | 49.5 | 26.75 | « | « | |
Tennessee | Chicago | -6.5 | 47 | 26.75 | « | « | |
LA Chargers | Las Vegas | 0 | 52.5 | 26.25 | « | « | |
Las Vegas | LA Chargers | 0 | 52.5 | 26.25 | « | « | |
Buffalo | Seattle | 3 | 55 | 26 | « | « | |
New England | NY Jets | -9.5 | 41 | 25.25 | «« | ||
Baltimore | Indianapolis | -1 | 48 | 24.5 | |||
Detroit | Minnesota | 4 | 51.5 | 23.75 | |||
Indianapolis | Baltimore | 1 | 48 | 23.5 | |||
New Orleans | Tampa Bay | 4.5 | 51 | 23.25 | |||
Washington | NY Giants | -2.5 | 43.5 | 23 | « | ||
Denver | Atlanta | 4 | 49.5 | 22.75 | |||
Miami | Arizona | 5.5 | 49.5 | 22 | |||
San Francisco | Green Bay | 6 | 49.5 | 21.75 | |||
Jacksonville | Houston | 7 | 49 | 21 | |||
Carolina | Kansas City | 10 | 51.5 | 20.75 | |||
NY Giants | Washington | 2.5 | 43.5 | 20.5 | |||
Chicago | Tennessee | 6.5 | 47 | 20.25 | |||
NY Jets | New England | 9.5 | 41 | 15.75 | |||
Dallas | Pittsburgh | 14.5 | 44 | 14.75 | |||
Cincinnati | BYE | ||||||
Cleveland | BYE | ||||||
Philadelphia | BYE | ||||||
LA Rams | BYE |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs)
- Running Back: Clyde Edwards-Helaire/LeVeon Bell (Chiefs)
- Receivers: Tyreek Hill/Demarcus Robinson/Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
- Defense: Steelers
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Tom Brady (Buccaneers), Deshaun Watson (Texans), Russell Wilson (Seahawks), Kirk Cousins (Vikings)
- Running Back: Leonard Fournette/Ronald Jones II (Buccaneers), David Johnson (Texans), Chris Carson (Seahawks), Dalvin Cook (Vikings), James Conner (Steelers)
- Receivers: Mike Evans/Tyler Johnson/Scotty Miller/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers), Will Fuller/Brandin Cooks/Randall Cobb (Texans), Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf/Greg Olsen (Seahawks), Adam Thielen/Justin Jefferson (Vikings)
- Defense: Patriots
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Justin Herbert (Chargers), Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers), Aaron Rodgers (Packers), Matt Ryan (Falcons), Derek Carr (Raiders), Ryan Tannehill (Titans), Kyler Murray (Cardinals)
- Running Back: Justin Jackson (Chargers), Tyler Ervin/Dexter Williams (Packers), Todd Gurley (Falcons), Josh Jacobs (Raiders), Derrick Henry (Titans), Chase Edmonds (Cardinals)
- Receivers: Keenan Allen/Mike Williams/Hunter Henry (Chargers), JuJu Smith-Schuster/Diontae Johnson/Chase Claypool/Eric Ebron (Steelers), Davante Adams/Marquez Valdes-Scantling/Robert Tonyan Jr (Packers), Julio Jones/Russell Gage/Hayden Hurst (Falcons), Henry Ruggs/Nelson Agholor/Darren Waller (Raiders), A.J. Brown/Corey Davis/Adam Humphries/Jonnu Smith (Titans), DeAndre Hopkins/Christian Kirk/Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals)
- Defense: Football Team