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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
Updated Sunday, November 15th @ 7 AM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Green Bay | Jacksonville | -13 | 47.5 | 30.25 | ««« | ««« | « |
New Orleans | San Francisco | -9.5 | 49.5 | 29.5 | «« | ««« | |
Arizona | Buffalo | -2.5 | 56 | 29.25 | «« | «« | |
LA Rams | Seattle | -2.5 | 54.5 | 28.5 | «« | «« | |
Tampa Bay | Carolina | -6 | 51 | 28.5 | «« | «« | |
Las Vegas | Denver | -4 | 50.5 | 27.25 | « | « | |
Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | -7.5 | 46 | 26.75 | « | «« | |
Buffalo | Arizona | 2.5 | 56 | 26.75 | « | « | |
Seattle | LA Rams | 2.5 | 54.5 | 26 | « | « | |
Baltimore | New England | -7 | 43.5 | 25.25 | « | ||
Miami | LA Chargers | -2 | 48.5 | 25.25 | |||
Tennessee | Indianapolis | -1 | 48.5 | 24.75 | |||
Detroit | Washington | -3 | 46 | 24.5 | |||
Cleveland | Houston | -3 | 45.5 | 24.25 | |||
Philadelphia | NY Giants | -4 | 44.5 | 24.25 | |||
Indianapolis | Tennessee | 1 | 48.5 | 23.75 | |||
LA Chargers | Miami | 2 | 48.5 | 23.25 | |||
Denver | Las Vegas | 4 | 50.5 | 23.25 | |||
Minnesota | Chicago | -3 | 43 | 23 | |||
Carolina | Tampa Bay | 6 | 51 | 22.5 | |||
Washington | Detroit | 3 | 46 | 21.5 | |||
Houston | Cleveland | 3 | 45.5 | 21.25 | |||
NY Giants | Philadelphia | 4 | 44.5 | 20.25 | |||
Chicago | Minnesota | 3 | 43 | 20 | |||
San Francisco | New Orleans | 9.5 | 49.5 | 20 | |||
Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | 7.5 | 46 | 19.25 | |||
New England | Baltimore | 7 | 43.5 | 18.25 | |||
Jacksonville | Green Bay | 13 | 47 | 17 | |||
Atlanta | |||||||
Dallas | |||||||
Kansas City | |||||||
NY Jets |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)
- Running Back: Aaron Jones (Packers), Alvin Kamara/Latavius Murray (Saints)
- Receivers: Davante Adams/Marquez Valdes-Scantling/Allen Lazard/Robert Tonyan Jr (Packers)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Kyler Murray (Cardinals), Drew Brees (Saints), Jared Goff (Rams), Tom Brady (Buccaneers)
- Running Back: Chase Edmonds/Kenyan Drake (Cardinals), Darrell Henderson/Malcolm Brown (Rams), Ronald Jones II/Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers), James Conner (Steelers)
- Receivers: DeAndre Hopkins/Christian Kirk/Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals), Michael Thomas/Emmanuel Sanders/Jared Cook (Saints), Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp/Tyler Higbee (Rams), Mike Evans/Tyler Johnson/Scotty Miller/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers)
- Defense: None
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers), Josh Allen (Bills), Derek Carr (Raiders), Russell Wilson (Seahawks), Baker Mayfield (Browns)
- Running Back: Devin Singletary/Zach Moss (Bills), Josh Jacobs (Raiders), Chris Carson (Seahawks), Nick Chubb/Kareem Hunt (Browns)
- Receivers: JuJu Smith-Schuster/Diontae Johnson/Chase Claypool/Eric Ebron (Steelers), Stefon Diggs/John Brown/Cole Beasley (Bills), Henry Ruggs/Nelson Agholor/Darren Waller (Raiders), DK Metcalf/Tyler Lockett/David Moore (Seahawks), Jarvis Landry/Rashard Higgins/Austin Hooper (Browns)
- Defense: Packers, Steelers