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The 2020 season is almost here. As we find ourselves just over a week from kick-off, now is the time to put the finishing touches on our rosters as we try to go win our leagues. With trading action heating up, we will look at the biggest dynasty winners and losers from training camp. Moving quickly to take advantage of these changes in value can help you make winning trades if others are slower to adjust their preconceived notions of player values.
The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.
Quarterback
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Superflex
|
Single-QB
|
|
1
|
64
|
30
|
|
|
2
|
58
|
28
|
|
|
3
|
45
|
18
|
|
|
4
|
42
|
17
|
|
|
5
|
40
|
16
|
|
|
6
|
36
|
11
|
|
|
7
|
32
|
10
|
|
|
8
|
28
|
9
|
|
|
9
|
28
|
9
|
|
|
10
|
26
|
7
|
|
|
11
|
25
|
7
|
|
|
12
|
21
|
7
|
|
|
13
|
20
|
6
|
|
|
14
|
19
|
6
|
|
|
15
|
18
|
5
|
|
|
16
|
18
|
4
|
|
|
17
|
18
|
4
|
|
|
18
|
17
|
4
|
|
|
19
|
17
|
4
|
|
|
20
|
17
|
4
|
|
|
21
|
16
|
4
|
|
|
22
|
16
|
4
|
|
|
23
|
15
|
4
|
|
|
24
|
14
|
4
|
|
|
25
|
13
|
3
|
|
|
26
|
12
|
3
|
|
|
27
|
12
|
3
|
|
|
28
|
12
|
3
|
|
|
29
|
10
|
1
|
|
|
30
|
7
|
2
|
|
|
31
|
7
|
2
|
|
|
32
|
7
|
1
|
|
|
33
|
6
|
1
|
|
|
34
|
Mitchell Trubisky
|
5
|
1
|
|
35
|
5
|
1
|
|
|
36
|
5
|
1
|
|
|
37
|
4
|
1
|
|
|
38
|
3
|
2
|
|
|
39
|
3
|
1
|
|
|
40
|
3
|
1
|
Winners
Joe Burrow
The way Burrow has won over his veteran teammates in less than a month on the field together has been pretty incredible. There is an “it” factor when it comes to Burrow that actually matters when it comes to the quarterback position. We have more evidence that Burrow is probably going to be a 15-year starter in the NFL. How many guys can you say that about with any confidence right now? Maybe five or six? Considering the value of having a locked-in long-term starter in Superflex leagues, Burrow should be viewed as a premium asset in that format. If you buy into reviews from teammates at all, it is easy to get excited about Burrow.
C.J. Uzomah on rookie QB Joe Burrow: "He's a beast. He's an absolute beast. He's an animal out there."
— Ben Baby (@Ben_Baby) August 24, 2020
Tom Brady
The early returns on Brady in Tampa Bay have been extremely positive. There is clear QB1 upside in 2020 and Brady’s goal of playing into his mid-40s looks more realistic now than it did in the spring.
Losers
Tua Tagovailoa
Rookie quarterbacks struggle in camp all the time. It is not a major red flag that Tagovailoa is having problems. Still, the fact that he has not been able to separate from Josh Rosen in the battle for the backup spot is not encouraging. Nor are reports that Ryan Fitzpatrick looks significantly better.
Marcus Mariota
The contract Mariota received from the Raiders set up an expectation that he would push Derek Carr for the starting job this year and be well-positioned to take over in 2021. Instead, Carr has been infinitely better than Mariota in camp and Mariota is again nursing various injuries.
Running Back
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Value
|
|
1
|
64
|
|
|
2
|
60
|
|
|
3
|
54
|
|
|
4
|
48
|
|
|
5
|
46
|
|
|
6
|
42
|
|
|
7
|
40
|
|
|
8
|
40
|
|
|
9
|
38
|
|
|
10
|
38
|
|
|
11
|
36
|
|
|
12
|
32
|
|
|
13
|
30
|
|
|
14
|
DAndre Swift
|
30
|
|
15
|
28
|
|
|
16
|
27
|
|
|
17
|
23
|
|
|
18
|
21
|
|
|
19
|
17
|
|
|
20
|
16
|
|
|
21
|
15
|
|
|
22
|
15
|
|
|
23
|
Melvin Gordon
|
14
|
|
24
|
14
|
|
|
25
|
13
|
|
|
26
|
13
|
|
|
27
|
13
|
|
|
28
|
A.J. Dillon
|
12
|
|
29
|
11
|
|
|
30
|
10
|
|
|
31
|
LeVeon Bell
|
10
|
|
32
|
10
|
|
|
33
|
9
|
|
|
34
|
9
|
|
|
35
|
9
|
|
|
36
|
KeShawn Vaughn
|
8
|
|
37
|
8
|
|
|
38
|
8
|
|
|
39
|
Mark Ingram
|
8
|
|
40
|
8
|
|
|
41
|
7
|
|
|
42
|
7
|
|
|
43
|
6
|
|
|
44
|
6
|
|
|
45
|
6
|
|
|
46
|
6
|
|
|
47
|
6
|
|
|
48
|
Benny Snell
|
6
|
|
49
|
6
|
|
|
50
|
Darrell Henderson
|
5
|
|
51
|
5
|
|
|
52
|
5
|
|
|
53
|
5
|
|
|
54
|
5
|
|
|
55
|
5
|
|
|
56
|
5
|
|
|
57
|
4
|
|
|
58
|
4
|
|
|
59
|
4
|
|
|
60
|
4
|
|
|
61
|
4
|
|
|
62
|
4
|
|
|
63
|
4
|
|
|
64
|
Lamical Perine
|
3
|
|
65
|
3
|
|
|
66
|
2
|
|
|
67
|
2
|
|
|
68
|
1
|
|
|
69
|
1
|
Winners
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Good luck trying to trade for Edwards-Helaire if you did not draft him. His dynasty value before even taking an NFL snap is on the same level as that of Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott at the same point in their careers. Unlike those two, Edwards-Helaire does not come with an elite draft pedigree, which is an argument against getting this far out over our skis with him.
On the other hand, maybe the dynasty community has grown smarter since the days where you could steal elite rookies like Barkley and Elliott in the late 1st round of startups. NFL running backs enter their prime almost instantaneously, and that prime window usually only lasts five to seven years. Drafting a “proven” back who is already halfway through his prime over a rookie can end up being a disaster.
Here is a flashback to first-round ADPs at this time in 2017 with the rookie highlighted:
- David Johnson (1.03)
- LeVeon Bell (1.04)
- Antonio Brown (1.06)
- Ezekiel Elliott (1.08)
Here is a flashback to first-round ADPs at this time in 2018 with the rookie highlighted:
- Todd Gurley (1.01)
- Odell Beckham (1.02)
- David Johnson (1.03)
- LeVeon Bell (1.06)
- Saquon Barkley (1.07)
Life comes at you fast. So do swings in dynasty value. Try to get out ahead of things when you can.
Antonio Gibson
Gibson is the type of player who is easy to dream on given his size, speed, and receiving ability. Every time a Washington coach mentions Gibson in the same sentence as Christian McCaffrey, Gibson’s dynasty value increases a fraction. Remember that Gibson is far from a sure thing and could have minimal value in a year or two but it is okay to get excited about his upside. He is yet another player who was going in the second round of rookie drafts a few months ago who now carries first-round dynasty trade value.
How and where should Washington use Antonio Gibson? There's some debate among @Coach_Norvell @gregcosell @kjfbcoach @drobalwayzopen, Adrian Peterson and others, but a broad concluson: Get @AntonioGibson14 the damn ball.
— Ben Standig (@BenStandig) August 31, 2020
Deep dive for @TheAthleticDC: https://t.co/ksJXYMrMPZ
Zack Moss
There were two competing viewpoints after the Bills drafted Moss in the third round. The first viewed him as a true backup to last year’s third-rounder Devin Singletary. The second viewpoint was that Moss would at least force his way into something like a 50/50 committee right away. Based on early reports, it looks like the second viewpoint was more accurate.
Damien Harris
Sony Michel’s absence through the first few weeks opened the door for Harris. He took full advantage and looks poised to at least force a timeshare in 2020. With Michel’s injury history, Harris has both short-term and long-term upside.
James Conner
There are fewer backs who are viewed as true workhorses in 2020 now than there were a month ago (see below). That makes Conner a more rare commodity. There are still plenty of questions beyond this season (Conner is set to hit free agency) but sometimes it is smarter to view running back through a short-term lens and take your production where you can find it.
The nice thing about Conner is that you can secure his backup Benny Snell for very little cost to protect against injury and give you some long-term upside if Conner is not brought back in 2021.
Losers
Leonard Fournette
The downfall of Fournette was both predictable and shocking to see actually play out. From 4th overall pick and a starring role in a deep playoff run in 2017 to street free agent a week before the 2020 season starts is a crazy fall. The going rate from what I have seen in my leagues right now is a 2021 2nd plus a small piece. It is hard to decide which side of these deals to like better.
KeShawn Vaughn
Ironically, Vaughn’s first camp is reminiscent of Ronald Jones II’ two years ago. Both saw their dynasty trade value drop before ever hitting the field. If Jones’ recent rise is any indication, perhaps patience is warranted for Vaughn. However, he is definitely worth less now than he was when he was in rookie drafts a few months ago.
Wide Receiver
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Value
|
|
1
|
46
|
|
|
2
|
40
|
|
|
3
|
40
|
|
|
4
|
38
|
|
|
5
|
D.J. Moore
|
38
|
|
6
|
35
|
|
|
7
|
33
|
|
|
8
|
32
|
|
|
9
|
30
|
|
|
10
|
28
|
|
|
11
|
27
|
|
|
12
|
27
|
|
|
13
|
26
|
|
|
14
|
26
|
|
|
15
|
Odell Beckham
|
25
|
|
16
|
Allen Robinson
|
25
|
|
17
|
24
|
|
|
18
|
23
|
|
|
19
|
23
|
|
|
20
|
D.J. Chark
|
23
|
|
21
|
22
|
|
|
22
|
21
|
|
|
23
|
20
|
|
|
24
|
19
|
|
|
25
|
Henry Ruggs
|
19
|
|
26
|
18
|
|
|
27
|
18
|
|
|
28
|
17
|
|
|
29
|
16
|
|
|
30
|
16
|
|
|
31
|
16
|
|
|
32
|
15
|
|
|
33
|
14
|
|
|
34
|
14
|
|
|
35
|
14
|
|
|
36
|
14
|
|
|
37
|
14
|
|
|
38
|
14
|
|
|
39
|
13
|
|
|
40
|
Will Fuller
|
13
|
|
41
|
13
|
|
|
42
|
Laviska Shenault
|
13
|
|
43
|
13
|
|
|
44
|
12
|
|
|
45
|
Michael Pittman
|
12
|
|
46
|
Mecole Hardman
|
11
|
|
47
|
11
|
|
|
48
|
10
|
|
|
49
|
10
|
|
|
50
|
9
|
|
|
51
|
Darius Slayton
|
8
|
|
52
|
8
|
|
|
53
|
8
|
|
|
54
|
Marvin Jones
|
8
|
|
55
|
8
|
|
|
56
|
NKeal Harry
|
7
|
|
57
|
7
|
|
|
58
|
7
|
|
|
59
|
7
|
|
|
60
|
7
|
|
|
61
|
6
|
|
|
62
|
Robby Anderson
|
5
|
|
63
|
5
|
|
|
64
|
5
|
|
|
65
|
5
|
|
|
66
|
5
|
|
|
67
|
5
|
|
|
68
|
4
|
|
|
69
|
4
|
|
|
70
|
4
|
|
|
71
|
4
|
|
|
72
|
3
|
|
|
73
|
3
|
|
|
74
|
K.J. Hamler
|
3
|
|
75
|
3
|
|
|
76
|
2
|
|
|
77
|
2
|
|
|
78
|
2
|
|
|
79
|
2
|
|
|
80
|
2
|
|
|
81
|
2
|
|
|
82
|
2
|
|
|
83
|
2
|
|
|
84
|
2
|
Winners: Changing of the guard coming soon?
Can we just save time and say all of the rookie wide receivers were winners over the last month? Almost. Justin Jefferson, Tee Higgins, K.J. Hamler, and Denzel Mims have all missed time in camp and are off to relatively slow starts. But everyone else…
The top performers from the 2019 rookie class also continue to see their values rise, especially those who have been shining in camp. Over the last two years, we have had a major injection of young talent at the wide receiver position after what had been a few relatively lean years.
For a long time, the dynasty wide receiver ranks were dominated largely by the 2014 rookie class (Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, Davante Adams, Allen Robinson, Jarvis Landry, Brandin Cooks, etc.). Those players are now nearing the tail end of their prime years.
If these 21, 22, and 23-year olds from the last two rookie wide receiver classes continue to build on their hype, the Top 10 of the dynasty rankings at the position are going to look a lot different at this time next year.
Hyped rookies looking like the real deal
CeeDee Lamb
According to the writers at DallasCowboys.com, Lamb was voted the best receiver in camp. He “routinely turns out a highlight-reel catch and has the ability of doing it in a variety of ways.”
CeeDee Lamb ranked the best wide receiver in Cowboys camp | From @StarConscience https://t.co/X6ndue7S3N
— TheCowboysWire (@TheCowboysWire) August 29, 2020
Jalen Reagor
The shoulder injury will slow Reagor’s rise temporarily but the camp reports were extremely positive before he got dinged up. Reagor looks like he is going to be Carson Wentz’s top receiver for the foreseeable future.
Henry Ruggs
Ruggs has been everything the Raiders thought he would be when they made him the top receiver drafted. His speed has opened eyes but also his leaping ability and general athleticism. The buzz for fellow rookie Bryan Edwards combined with skepticism over Derek Carr have kept Ruggs’ dynasty value from rising too much. In terms of bang for your buck, he may be the best rookie wide receiver trade target right now.
Jerry Jeudy
Unsurprisingly, Jeudy looks like an instant impact player for the Broncos. It is easy to envision Jeudy blowing away his current 11th round redraft ADP. If he does so, he will likely be a Top 10 dynasty wide receiver next offseason.
Can't guard Jerry Jeudy. Especially difficult when play breaks down. Lock extending the play and JJ knows how to come back to the ball. Easy connection for six. #BroncosCamp @1043TheFan
— Cecil Lammey (@CecilLammey) August 21, 2020
_
Less hyped rookies also looking like the real deal
We were banging the drum for stockpiling 2020 second-round picks for more than a year because of the depth of the wide receiver class. Anyone who planned ahead has to be feeling great about the strategy already given how well so many of these less hyped guys are already performing.
Brandon Aiyuk
Like Reagor, Aiyuk’s emergence has stalled with an injury. Unlike Reagor, Aiyuk’s mild hamstring strain is unlikely to keep him out of any regular-season action. Typically, minor camp injuries can derail entire rookie seasons but Aiyuk may be the exception.
“If Aiyuk didn’t come in the way he did come in, he’d be screwed."
— 49ers on NBCS (@NBCS49ers) August 25, 2020
Kyle Shanahan praised Brandon Aiyuk's work ethic after the rookie was listed as week-to-week with a mild hamstring strain (via @jenniferleechan) https://t.co/bEQ3rof0Wz pic.twitter.com/hJEih5GE5Y
Chase Claypool
Claypool’s monster camp seems to have flown under the radar for many dynasty managers. Perhaps because he did not receive as much hype in the pre-draft process and was a bit of an afterthought in most rookie drafts despite being drafted in the mid-second round by the Steelers. There may not be an easier bet to see a dynasty value increase over the next year. If Smith-Schuster hits free agency as expected, Claypool should be in the mix for the Steelers WR1 spot next summer.
Van Jefferson
The 2020 wide receiver class gets a lot of comparisons to the 2014 class. The comparison could be apt here because Jefferson could be this year’s Jarvis Landry. He has the second-round draft capital and is earning very strong reviews in camp but is not the exciting size-speed specimen many are looking to roster in dynasty. That could be a mistake here, especially if Cooper Kupp leaves as a free agent next spring.
Rams rookie WR Van Jefferson continues to turn heads during training camp: https://t.co/7xrwNUUmYb pic.twitter.com/ccncMeNfnx
— 247Sports (@247Sports) August 29, 2020
Bryan Edwards
Edwards went in the third round of the NFL Draft but was going off the board ahead of many of the second-round receivers in rookie drafts. He is justifying that belief by starring early in camp. The shoulder injury to Tyrell Williams could open the door for Edwards to see more rookie snaps than he would have.
Young veterans standing out
DK Metcalf
Metcalf’s big rookie season looks like it was just the beginning. In terms of dynasty upside, few receivers can match Metcalf and the gushing reports from camp lend credence to the belief that Metcalf could be a Top 5 dynasty wide receiver in a month or two. If you are looking to get a bit younger, it is worth exploring whether you can still get Metcalf plus a good pick for somebody like DeAndre Hopkins or Mike Evans.
DK Metcalf wants to be one of the best receivers of all time. His pursuit of greatness is essential the #Seahawks quest for a championship.
— Dugar, Michael-Shawn (@MikeDugar) August 26, 2020
“The look in his eye, the way he works, has been pretty awesome.” https://t.co/FbsblVQTdP pic.twitter.com/M2WSWokPgv
Williams has made a successful return from December ACL surgery and is starring in camp for the Dolphins. It would not be a surprise if Williams ends up in the same conversation with many of the other much more highly-valued 2019 wide receivers if he has a big season for Miami, especially if Tua Tagovailoa hype gets rolling for 2021.
Losers
Amari Cooper
Cooper is talented, productive, and just 26-years old. He is a good player but hopes for him to emerge as a dominant star seem to be fading. He enters his sixth NFL season still seeking his first ever 1,200-yard receiving season. With the continued emergence of Michael Gallup, breakout predictions coming in for Blake Jarwin, and the arrival of star rookie CeeDee Lamb, the odds of Cooper having that truly dominant fantasy season feel lower than ever. In recent dynasty startup auctions, Cooper has been going for less money than many of the young buzz guys.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
According to Mark Kaboly of The Athletic, “Smith-Schuster had a spectacular camp last year. This year, it’s been hard to even find him. The reps have been limited, but not much has happened during those reps.” Both Diontae Johnson and rookie Chase Claypool have been receiving more buzz. Plus, it is looking more and more likely the Steelers will let Smith-Schuster hit free agency next offseason. Smith-Schuster’s one monster season came in 2018 when Ben Roethlisberger threw for 5,129 yards. Odds of Smith-Schuster landing on a team with a 5,000-yard passer in 2021 and beyond are low.
Tight End
|
Pos Rank
|
Player
|
Value
|
|
1
|
30
|
|
|
2
|
24
|
|
|
3
|
22
|
|
|
4
|
16
|
|
|
5
|
16
|
|
|
6
|
14
|
|
|
7
|
13
|
|
|
8
|
12
|
|
|
9
|
11
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
|
|
11
|
10
|
|
|
12
|
9
|
|
|
13
|
8
|
|
|
14
|
8
|
|
|
15
|
7
|
|
|
16
|
6
|
|
|
17
|
6
|
|
|
18
|
5
|
|
|
19
|
5
|
|
|
20
|
4
|
|
|
21
|
4
|
|
|
22
|
4
|
|
|
23
|
4
|
|
|
24
|
4
|
|
|
25
|
3
|
|
|
26
|
3
|
|
|
27
|
3
|
|
|
28
|
2
|
|
|
29
|
2
|
|
|
30
|
1
|
|
|
31
|
1
|
Winners
Mike Gesicki
He ended the 2019 season on a high note and has picked up where he left off in camp. The Dolphins' lack of depth should concentrate targets heavily on the top three (DeVante Parker, Preston Williams, Gesicki), which could lead to a breakout season for the talented tight end.
Blake Jarwin
The hype for Jarwin out of Cowboys camp has been pervasive. There will be plenty of competition for targets but the Cowboys offense may be powerful enough for all of the top targets to succeed.
Why Blake Jarwin will be the Dallas Cowboys best surprise https://t.co/nKvnqlHTBa
— The Landry Hat (@LandryHat) August 29, 2020
Chris Herndon
After a strong rookie season, Herndon entered the 2019 offseason with some buzz. A suspension and injuries derailed his sophomore season and Herndon became an afterthought. He has re-emerged in 2020 as the offensive star of Jets camp and become a hotter name in dynasty leagues.
2021 Rookie Picks
|
Pick Area
|
Value
|
Superflex
|
|
Early 1st Round
|
24
|
28
|
|
Mid 1st Round
|
16
|
20
|
|
Late 1st Round
|
12
|
14
|
|
2nd Round
|
6
|
7
|
|
3rd Round
|
4
|
4
|
We have had even more top prospects opt out of the 2020 college season. Ja’Marr Chase and Kenny Gainwell were the latest big names to skip the upcoming season and start prepping for the 2021 draft. Does it matter for valuing 2021 rookie picks?
Probably not. This is going to be another loaded rookie class. If anyone is selling rookie picks at a discount, snap them up. We will still be able to identify who can play, even if we have to go back to the 2019 film to do so.
