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Only two games for Week 14 opened with Vegas totals of 50 or more. Since, those two games (Tampa Bay-Indianapolis, Kansas City-New England) have both sagged back into the 40s. Who is your favorite play in each of these games?
Phil Alexander
Indianapolis at Tampa Bay - Mike Evans
Prototype WR1s have been bullying the Colts perimeter cornerbacks all season and Evans is bigger, taller, and just as fast as anyone Indianapolis can throw at him in coverage. Look for Evans to join Keenan Allen (10-8-123-1), Julio Jones (9-8-121-1), DeAndre Hopkins (12-9-106-1), D.J. Chark (15-8-104-2), and Hopkins again (8-6-94-2) on the list of dominant outside receivers who have skewered the Colts in 2019.
Kansas City at New England - Sony Michel
Michel's workload varies wildly from week to week due to Bill Belichick's opponent-specific game plans. But assuming Belichick sees the wisdom in keeping Patrick Mahomes II, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce off the field by attacking Kansas City's 30th ranked rush defense (DVOA), Michel should be in for some heavy run. It was only two weeks ago we saw him run the ball 20 times against Dallas before getting game-scripted out of last week's loss to Houston. With the exception of Dalvin Cook in Week 9, the Chiefs have allowed every running back who carried the ball at least 15 times against them to rush for over 100 yards in 2019.
Dan Hindery
Indianapolis at Tampa Bay
Jason Wood
The only Patriot I expect to have significant exposure to is Julian Edelman, who is as reliable as the atomic clock. Although Pat Mahomes is always in play, he's way down my main slate quarterback list and uninteresting unless you're doing a lot of diverse lineup builds. Travis Kelce will be among the highest-owned tight ends, with good reason. There aren't any Colts I'm particularly focused on this week, but I'm all aboard Jameis Winston stacks, mixing and matching Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
Justin Howe
Of course, the Tampa Bay wideouts are always great GPP plays thanks to their dazzling week-to-week ceilings. But on most weeks, I also seek out receivers facing the Buccaneers’ terrible secondary and give them huge value boosts. Zach Pascal isn’t as flashy or as consistent as most, and he does indeed carry a low floor, as seen in Weeks 10-12 (43 yards, no touchdowns). But he’s nearly the last man standing, with TY Hilton, Eric Ebron, and Chester Rogers all out long-term. Amazingly, the Buccaneers have already allowed 21 different wideouts to top 55 yards, which speaks to Pascal’s floor as the Colts’ new No. 1. The fact that they’ve allowed 10 touchdowns to the position over the past 5 weeks speaks to his ceiling - and it comes cheaply.
