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The 10 Toughest Picks of 2018 - Footballguys

In Gut Check No. 438, Matt Waldman profiles 10 players with a combination of positives and negatives that make them his toughest fantasy picks of 2018.

Tough picks generate ambivalence within a fantasy owner. At the sight of their name, you can imagine the glorious heights of their ceilings and the dark and dank floors of their basements — and with little clarity about the direction that they're headed.  

These are my 10 toughest picks heading into 2018 drafts. Yours will surely differ, but you may find that your picks share similar reasons as mine. 

10. KIRK COUSINS (ADP 98, QB9)

A two-time top-5 fantasy QB in 2016-17, Cousins signed with a Vikings team that has more reliable starting receivers and a better defense than Washington. Dalvin Cook flashed his immense talent before suffering a knee injury that he's on track to return fully healthy this summer. 

How can Cousins be a risk? The Vikings offensive line and Cousins' pocket behavior under pressure.

Minnesota's offensive line was healthier last year than it was the previous two years and it upgraded through the draft. The unit allowed the third-fewest sacks last year. However, Pro Football Focus believes that Case Keenum's scrambling mitigated a lot of issues that would have been more apparent with a different quarterback under center. The site charted Keenum under pressure on nearly 40 percent of his drop-backs. 

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