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Rookie Cornerbacks To Target - Footballguys

Dave Larkin analyses the "rookie corner rule" and how it can be applied to the 2018 class.

NFL quarterbacks are no dummies. This manifests itself in their tireless work ethic to execute a game plan from conception in the classroom to the field. It is observable in the passer’s daily grind in the offseason to scout the latest tendencies by defenses and seize upon weaknesses therein. The hard yards and hours put in lend them prescience about the game and its many interconnected parts.

Quarterbacks hardly need a second invitation when you throw a fresh-faced rookie cornerback into the line-up. You may as well by tossing a prime piece of meat tantalizingly past the eye line of a hungry wolf; the animal can’t help but get a whiff and seize upon it.

This propensity for quarterbacks to pick on rookie cornerbacks is hardly a surprise given their lack of experience with the complexities of NFL passing games. What it means for fantasy owners is a veritable bonanza of points is on offer if we can identify the prime meat.

Thus, the so-called ‘rookie corner rule’ was born into IDP parlance. Before delving into the 2018 class of rookie cornerbacks to target, let us take a look at the data going back to 2014.

Note: This data is based on FBG Standard Scoring for defensive players, which follows the following format:
• 1.5 points per solo tackle, 0.75 per assisted tackle, 4 points per sack
• 4 points for forced fumbles, 4 points for fumble recoveries
• 5 points per interception, 1.5 points per pass defensed
• 6 points per touchdown, 2 points per safety

What the data tells us

2017

Analysis: A bountiful year for rookie cornerback production, four youngsters featured into the top 10 in fantasy scoring for the position. Buffalo’s TreDavious White produced an incredible rookie season, defending an impressive 18 passes, while Adoree Jackson and Desmond King rounded out the top 10 at eighth and ninth, respectively. Marshon Lattimore was arguably the best cornerback in the league last season, striking fear into quarterbacks, but still placed 13th despite missing three games.

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