The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position.
Player Receiving 7 Votes
Brandin Cooks, New England
Jeff Haseley: Brandin Cooks benefited from a potent Saints offense and a capable quarterback in Drew Brees, but can he produce similarly with Tom Brady and the Patriots offense? I have my doubts. After doing some research, only one Patriots wide receiver not named Welker or Edelman has reached 100 fantasy points in a season (standard scoring) since 2012. Brandon LaFell had 138 fantasy points in 2014. No wide receiver other than Welker and Edelman has had 1,000 yards receiving since Randy Moss last did so in 2009. Cooks brings a unique skill set to the Patriots which could translate to consistent fantasy success, but history isn't on his side. Patriots wide receivers tend to have low yards per reception metrics, keeping yardage numbers down. Additionally, they have multiple weapons on offense which dilute the effectiveness of individual players. It all points to uncertainty with Cooks, which leads me to believe he won't outperform his draft position this season.