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Early Target-Avoid Players by ADP: Running Backs

Outlining key running backs for 2017 by early average draft position (ADP)

While every player has their price in fantasy football where they offer potential value, most drafts will center around 40-50 target players and key avoid players on an owner's draft board. These strong takes for the upcoming season based on average draft position (ADP) sculpt a draft plan. Here is the early draft plan for the running back position by May ADP at myfantasyleague.com.

RUNNING BACKS TO TARGET

carlos hyde, rb17

Hyde has been one of the most dogged fantasy options this whole offseason. The new regime in San Francisco brings a strong track record of running back success, but also a fresh look at the roster. Kyle Shanahan hand-picked Joe Williams in the draft as well. However, Hyde is in a critical contract year to show his best and Joe Williams first needs to jump savvy veteran Tim Hightower for the No.2 role before approaching the lead gig. Hyde's biggest demerit has been durability, missing 14 games in this first three NFL season, but as the phrase goes 'injuries are a problem...until they aren't.' Hyde is a strong variance bet as an RB2 for fantasy considering his 67 and 76 running yards-per-game over the past two seasons and the likely uptick from a pass game of the 49ers which was No.29 in net yards-per-attempt in 2016.

alvin kamara, rb29

The Saints are a factory for passing game production from their running backs in the Sean Payton-Drew Brees era. The addition of Adrian Peterson will not impact Kamara's projection for receiving prowess and Mark Ingram caught just 46 of New Orleans' 127 running back receptions a year ago. Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles are recent dynamos for Drew Brees out of the backfield. Travaris Cadet caught 40 passes in 2016; C.J. Spiller even caught 34 in 2015. With even modest progression from Kamara early in the season, 40-50 catches is well within reach for the Day 2 rookie. An added boost is Adrian Peterson looking done before missing most of 2016 with injury and averaging less than 3.7 yards-per-carry in 7-of-8 games to close his most recent action dating back to 2015.

theo riddick, rb36

Ameer Abdullah is projected as the lead back, but Riddick is the option in Detroit's backfield with the most predictable and stable usage. Riddick is the premier pass-catcher on a Detroit offense which has produced the 9th, 3rd, and 2nd-most receptions by running backs over the past three seasons, fueled by Riddick averaging more than five receptions a game over the last two years. 

danny woodhead, rb44

Woodhead is one of the glaring values at running back. Kenneth Dixon is out for the opening month and Terrance West was used as a near-exclusive early-down back last year for Baltimore. Woodhead, while leaving the friendly confines of Philip Rivers' San Diego offense for PPR value at running back, Baltimore was one of the best fits among other NFL locales. The Ravens were second only to the Saints in running back receptions in 2016. Woodhead should thrive with uncertainty among the wide receivers and with Dixon out early in the season.

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