DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 5

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

WEEK 5 TOURNAMENT VALUE CHART

The chart below is a value guide for this week’s DraftKings tournaments. In an effort to help the widest range of players, only tournaments ranging from $1-to-$100 buy-ins are listed. The color scaling favors lesser entry fees, lower entry limits, and flatter payout structures since these tournaments generally represent the best return on investment for average DFS players. But remember it’s important to consider your specific strengths and goals when choosing which tournaments to enter.

Do you excel at GPP roster construction and game theory? Then don’t avoid GPPs like the Millionaire Maker due to high entry limits and a top-heavy payout structure -- you can still profit in these types of tournaments while giving yourself a shot at a life-changing payday. Therefore, cells in red do not indicate tournaments to avoid. The color scaling serves primarily to highlight the differences between tournaments, which will make it easier for you to identify the best ones to enter based on your individual skills and goals.

 

ROSTER CONSTRUCTION

Before constructing your own GPP lineups, it’s important to consider how most of your opponents will be making theirs. Due to the salary cap, figuring out the most common roster construction each week isn’t necessarily as simple as looking at a list of projected ownership percentages for individual players.

This week, there are a few near-certainties when it comes to how most people will build their rosters:

  1. High priced workhorse running backs are en vogue this season. The top-3 season-to-date running back scorers on DraftKings (Todd Gurley, LeVeon Bell, Leonard Fournette) are also the only three on the main slate averaging over 23 total touches per game. As usual, the crowd will look to spend up at running back, with Gurley, Bell, and Ezekiel Elliott leading the way. 
  2. Running back and wide receiver pricing are tight as a drum, with very few attractive plays under $5K, particularly at wide receiver. The only route to pay up at RB1 and WR1 without punting RB2 and WR2/3 is to spend down at quarterback and tight end. Likewise, paying up for any two of Gurley, Bell, and Elliott without punting both quarterback and tight end, will leave you with precious little salary for all three of your starting wide receivers.
  3. Aaron Rodgers takes on a porous Cowboys defense in the game with the highest over/under on the slate. Many who don’t punt quarterback with a player like Josh McCown or Jacoby Brissett will try to get to Rodgers, leaving the mid-priced tier of quarterbacks under-owned.

Based on these factors, the clearest path to a unique roster is to pay down at both running back spots and spend on one or more high-end receiver. They might not jump off the page, but there are several sub-$5K running back options who could exceed value. Your goals when researching this week should be to uncover those plays, along with quarterbacks in the $5,800-to-$6,400 range, who are likely to go overlooked.

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