DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 3

Looking for edges in DraftKings tournaments.

WEEK 3 TOURNAMENT VALUE CHART

The chart below is a value guide for this week’s DraftKings tournaments. In an effort to help the widest range of players, only tournaments ranging from $1-to-$100 buy-ins are listed. The color scaling favors lesser entry fees, lower entry limits, and flatter payout structures since these tournaments generally represent the best return on investment for average DFS players. But remember it’s important to consider your specific strengths and goals when choosing which tournaments to enter.

Do you excel at GPP roster construction and game theory? Then don’t avoid GPPs like the Millionaire Maker due to high entry limits and a top-heavy payout structure -- you can still profit in these types of tournaments while giving yourself a shot at a life-changing payday. Therefore, cells in red do not indicate tournaments to avoid. The color scaling serves primarily to highlight the differences between tournaments, which will make it easier for you to identify the best ones to enter based on your individual skills and goals.

ROSTER CONSTRUCTION

Before constructing your own GPP lineups, it’s important to consider how most of your opponents will be making theirs. Due to the salary cap, figuring out the most common roster construction each week isn’t necessarily as simple as looking at a list of projected ownership percentages for individual players.

This week, there are a few near-certainties when it comes to how most people will build their rosters:

  1. Vegas is projecting a low-scoring slate, with only two games -- Oakland at Washington and Atlanta at Detroit -- listed with over/unders north of 50 points. We’re likely to see a fair amount of ownership concentrated on these games, especially at quarterback and WR1. Green Bay and New England are both at home this week and expected to blow out inferior opponents. As usual, Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers will be popular plays, however, both stud quarterbacks are dealing with injuries (of varying degrees) to multiple receivers. Until inactives become official, it will be tough to get a clear read on which pass catchers stack best with them. 
  2. The crowd is going to spend up at running back. Kareem Hunt, Jay Ajayi, and Ty Montgomery are all in excellent spots and priced inside the top-6 players at the position. Expect to see plenty of rosters that include at least two of them together. 
  3. Tight end fantasy production has been hard to come by this season and that was before Greg Olsen, Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed, Jimmy Graham, and Tyler Eifert were injured last week. Expect to see significant spending on Travis Kelce (TE2) and Zach Ertz (TE4) -- the only reliable options with upside the position has to offer.

It’s tempting to say the clearest path to a unique lineup this week comes by spending down at running back and tight end, but the excess of potential low-scoring games sets this up as a week to swallow the chalk and focus on identifying one or two low-owned players per lineup (regardless of position) to differentiate your rosters.

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