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Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks

An examination of the strength of schedule for quarterbacks

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown 
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2016" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W1" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Quarterbacks

Team
2016
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona 18.4 1 6 18.9 18.5 17.9 19.4 18.8
Atlanta 18.9 4 7 21.4 19.5 17.9 17.7 19.7
Baltimore 19.7 6 3 20.4 20.3 19.9 19.7 19.8
Buffalo 18.7 3 5 18.8 18.2 17.9 20.1 19.5
Carolina 18.9 3 4 17.5 18.1 19.2 18.6 19.3
Chicago 19.3 5 2 19 19.3 19.6 18.8 18.5
Cincinnati 19.4 4 3 18.3 18.3 19.7 19.6 19.3
Cleveland 19.4 3 4 20.1 19.5 19 18.4 19.2
Dallas 19.9 6 2 20.8 19.7 19.3 20.4 20.1
Denver 19.2 5 5 18.4 18.7 19.6 18.6 18.6
Detroit 19.7 7 3 19.6 20.2 20 20.1 19.1
Green Bay 19.4 5 1 19.4 20.1 19.7 18.1 19.3
Houston 19.2 6 5 18.5 18.9 19.2 19.7 19.9
Indianapolis 19.1 6 3 17.7 18.9 19.4 18.9 20
Jacksonville 19.1 3 3 18.5 19 19.1 19 19.7
Kansas City 19.2 5 3 18.2 18.7 20.1 19.2 18.3
Los Angeles 18.6 2 4 17.9 18.2 18.8 17.3 17.2
Miami 18.6 2 5 17.9 18.4 19 18.6 18.4
Minnesota 19.4 6 3 18.6 19.1 19.5 19.7 19.5
New England 18.5 1 3 18.3 19 18.6 18.1 17.9
New Orleans 18.3 2 6 20.3 19.7 17.4 19.3 18.7
NY Giants 19.6 5 2 20.3 19.4 19.1 19.4 20.1
NY Jets 18.6 2 6 18.2 18.1 18.9 18.3 18.6
Oakland 18.8 3 5 20.8 20.1 18.7 18.7 18.1
Philadelphia 19.2 4 3 20.6 20.2 18.5 20.6 19.9
Pittsburgh 19.4 4 4 19.6 19 19.1 18.9 19.4
San Diego 19.2 6 5 19.7 20.6 19.3 19.6 19.7
San Francisco 18.3 2 6 16.7 17.2 19.3 18 17
Seattle 18.7 2 5 18.3 18.4 19.1 17.7 17.9
Tampa Bay 18.6 4 6 17.8 17.3 18.3 21.5 19.5
Tennessee 19.1 5 3 19.3 19 19.4 18.2 18.8
Washington 19.5 6 3 20 20.1 19.1 19.7 20
NFL Average 19.1 4 4 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1

Week-By-Week Look

QBs W01 W02 W03 W04 W05 W06 W07 W08 W09 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
Ari 17.4 20 19.3 17.5 18.3 18.6 15.5 17.2 - 18.3 18.2 18 19.8 19.2 23.4 15.5 17.5
Atl 20 20.7 23.4 17.2 15.9 15.5 18.1 17.6 20 21.3 - 17.9 17.6 17.5 18.3 17.2 23.4
Bal 19.3 20.8 21 20.7 19.8 22 18.6 - 20.3 20.8 17.7 17.7 19.2 17.4 21.3 20.3 17.7
Buf 19.9 18.6 17.9 17.4 17.5 18.3 19.2 17.4 15.5 - 17.7 21 20.7 20.3 20.8 19.2 18.6
Car 15.9 18.3 18.2 18 20 23.4 - 17.9 17.5 17.6 23.4 20.7 15.5 18.1 19.8 18 20
Chi 17.8 21.3 17.7 19 20.4 21 17.6 18.2 - 20 22 20.9 18.3 19 17.6 19.8 18.2
Cin 18.6 20.3 15.9 19.2 17.7 17.4 20.8 19.8 - 22 19.3 19.9 21.3 20.8 20.3 17.8 19.9
Cle 21.3 19.9 19.2 19.8 17.4 20.9 17.7 18.6 17.7 19.9 20.3 22 - 17.7 19.3 18.1 20.3
Dal 22 19.8 20.6 18.3 17.7 17.6 - 21.3 20.8 20.3 19.9 19.8 18.2 22 20 19 21.3
Den 17.2 20.4 17.7 20 18 18.1 17.8 18.1 20.7 23.4 - 17.6 21 20.9 17.4 17.6 20.7
Det 20.4 20.9 17.6 20.6 21.3 17.5 19.8 17.8 18.2 - 21 18.2 23.4 20.6 22 17.7 17.6
GB 21 18.2 19 - 22 17.7 20.6 18 20.4 20.9 19.8 21.3 17.8 15.5 20.6 18.2 19
Hou 20.6 17.6 17.4 20.9 18.2 20.4 15.9 19 - 21 20.7 18.1 17.6 20.4 21 17.7 20.9
Ind 19 15.9 18.1 21 20.6 17.8 20.9 17.6 17.6 - 20.9 20.3 18.6 17.8 18.2 20.7 21
Jac 17.6 18.1 19.9 20.4 - 20.6 20.7 20.9 17.6 17.8 19 19.3 15.9 18.2 17.8 20.9 20.4
KC 18.1 17.8 18.6 20.3 - 20.7 23.4 20.4 21 17.2 20 15.9 18 20.7 20.9 15.9 18.1
LA 18.3 15.5 20 17.9 19.3 19 22 - 17.2 18.6 19.2 23.4 17.4 18 15.5 18.3 17.9
Mia 15.5 17.4 20.8 17.7 20.9 20.3 19.3 - 18.6 18.1 17.5 18.3 19.9 17.9 18.6 19.3 17.4
Min 20.9 17.6 17.2 22 17.8 - 21.3 20.6 19 19.8 17.9 19 17.7 21 20.4 17.6 20.6
NE 17.9 19.2 17.8 19.3 20.8 17.7 20.3 19.3 - 15.5 18.3 18.6 17.5 19.9 15.9 18.6 19.2
NO 20.7 22 18 18.1 - 17.2 17.6 15.5 18.3 15.9 17.2 17.5 19 20 17.9 20 18
NYG 17.7 23.4 19.8 18.2 17.6 19.9 17.5 - 21.3 17.7 20.6 20.8 20.3 17.7 19 21.3 19.8
NYJ 17.7 19.3 17.6 15.5 20.3 17.9 19.9 20.8 19.2 17.5 - 17.4 20.4 18.3 19.2 17.4 19.3
Oak 23.4 18 20.9 19.9 18.1 17.6 21 20 15.9 - 17.8 17.2 19.3 17.6 18.1 20.4 15.9
Phi 20.8 20.6 20.3 - 19 19.8 18.2 17.7 22 18 15.5 17.6 17.7 19.8 19.9 22 17.7
Pit 19.8 17.7 21.3 17.6 18.6 19.2 17.4 - 19.9 17.7 20.8 20.4 22 19.3 17.7 19.9 20.8
SD 17.6 21 20.4 23.4 20.7 15.9 18 15.9 20.9 19.2 - 17.8 20 17.2 20.7 20.8 17.6
SF 17.5 17.2 15.5 17.7 17.9 19.3 20 - 23.4 17.9 17.4 19.2 20.6 18.6 18 17.5 15.5
Sea 19.2 17.5 18.3 18.6 - 18 17.9 23.4 19.3 17.4 21.3 20 17.2 17.6 17.5 17.9 18.3
TB 18 17.9 17.5 15.9 17.2 - 18.3 20.7 18 20.6 17.6 15.5 18.1 23.4 17.7 23.4 17.2
Ten 18.2 19 20.7 17.8 19.2 20.8 20.4 21 18.1 17.6 20.4 20.6 - 15.9 17.6 21 17.8
Was 20.3 17.7 22 20.8 19.9 21.3 19 17.7 - 18.2 17.6 17.7 17.9 21.3 17.2 20.6 22
Avg 19.1 19.1 19.1 19 19 19.1 19.2 18.9 19.2 18.9 19.3 19.1 18.9 19.1 19.1 19.1 19.1