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Strength of Schedule: Defensive Linemen

An examination of the strength of schedule for defensive linemen

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown 
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2016" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W1" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Linemen

Note that the coloring will be added very soon.

Team
2016
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona
27.7 6 2 27 26.9 28.2 28.7 27.5
Atlanta
26.3 4 3 24.4 24.8 27.5 26.2 27.1
Baltimore
25.8 3 6 26.5 26.2 25.9 26 25.4
Buffalo
25.8 2 6 25.2 25 26.3 25.1 26.8
Carolina
26.2 3 4 27.7 27 26.1 26.9 27.1
Chicago
27.5 7 4 28.1 26.3 26.7 28.1 29.6
Cincinnati
26.5 4 2 25 25.5 27.7 25.7 25.3
Cleveland
26.2 4 4 27.4 27.5 26.1 26.1 25.6
Dallas
27.4 6 3 28.4 27.8 27 25.6 26.3
Denver
25.1 1 5 24.4 24.9 25.2 26.8 23.8
Detroit
27.7 6 3 28.7 28.7 27.2 26.7 28.2
Green Bay
27.2 5 4 24.8 25.7 27.5 29.1 25.9
Houston
25.7 3 6 25.7 27 26 24 26
Indianapolis
26.3 4 6 24.5 24.9 28 26.1 24.3
Jacksonville
26.7 6 4 26.9 26.3 25.7 29 27.9
Kansas City 25.2 2 5 27 25.8 24.3 25.8 26.9
Los Angeles 27.3 5 3 29.4 28.3 26.2 29.6 28.8
Miami 26.7 5 5 28.1 27.7 25.8 26.9 27.5
Minnesota 27 7 5 28.9 28.8 27 26.5 27.6
New England 26.9 5 4 26.7 27.1 27.2 25.9 26.7
New Orleans 25.7 2 4 25.3 25.1 26.3 24.9 25.1
NY Giants 26.6 5 4 27 28 26.3 26.1 27.7
NY Jets 26.3 4 5 26 26.6 25.6 27.6 27.6
Oakland 25.9 2 2 27.5 26.4 26 24.5 24.9
Philadelphia 26.9 5 3 25.1 24.6 27 27.6 26
Pittsburgh 26.3 4 3 28 27.1 26 26.1 24.8
San Diego 25.4 2 4 24.2 24.1 26 24.1 24
San Francisco 26.5 3 4 27.1 26 25.8 25.6 27.5
Seattle 26.8 5 4 27 27 26.7 26.2 25.8
Tampa Bay 25.8 2 3 24.5 24.8 25.5 25.8 25.4
Tennessee 25.8 3 4 24 25.7 26.4 24.6 25.8
Washington 26.3 3 4 25.1 25.2 26.3 27.4 26.7
Average
26.4 4 4 26.4 26.3 26.4 26.4 26.4

Week-By-Week Look

DLs W01 W02 W03 W04 W05 W06 W07 W08 W09 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
Ari 25.6 25.5 29.8 23.7 30 27.2 32.7 24.9 - 30 27.6 26.1 29.8 27.3 26.3 32.7 23.7
Atl 25.5 21.5 26.3 24.9 25.7 32.7 24.7 31.4 25.5 30.3 - 23.6 24.4 23.7 30 24.9 26.3
Bal 29.8 25.9 23.8 21.5 29.8 28.2 27.2 - 22.2 25.9 24.9 23.8 27.3 25.6 30.3 22.2 23.8
Buf 24.7 27.2 23.6 25.6 23.7 30 27.3 25.6 32.7 - 23.8 23.8 21.5 22.2 25.9 27.3 27.2
Car 25.7 30 27.6 26.1 25.5 26.3 - 23.6 23.7 24.4 26.3 21.5 32.7 24.7 29.8 26.1 25.5
Chi 29.1 30.3 24.9 23 24.4 23.8 31.4 27.6 - 25.5 28.2 30.3 30 23 31.4 29.8 27.6
Cin 27.2 22.2 25.7 27.3 24.9 25.6 25.9 29.8 - 28.2 29.8 24.7 30.3 25.9 22.2 29.1 24.7
Cle 30.3 24.7 27.3 29.8 25.6 30.3 23.8 27.2 24.9 24.7 22.2 28.2 - 23.8 29.8 24.7 22.2
Dal 28.2 29.8 27.1 30 23.8 31.4 - 30.3 25.9 22.2 24.7 29.8 27.6 28.2 25.5 23 30.3
Den 24.9 24.4 23.8 25.5 26.1 24.7 29.1 24.7 21.5 26.3 - 24.4 23.8 30.3 25.6 24.4 21.5
Det 24.4 30.3 31.4 27.1 30.3 23.7 29.8 29.1 27.6 - 23.8 27.6 26.3 27.1 28.2 24.9 31.4
GB 23.8 27.6 23 - 28.2 24.9 27.1 26.1 24.4 30.3 29.8 30.3 29.1 32.7 27.1 27.6 23
Hou 27.1 24.4 25.6 30.3 27.6 24.4 25.7 23 - 23.8 21.5 24.7 31.4 24.4 23.8 23.8 30.3
Ind 23 25.7 24.7 23.8 27.1 29.1 30.3 24.4 31.4 - 30.3 22.2 27.2 29.1 27.6 21.5 23.8
Jac 31.4 24.7 24.7 24.4 - 27.1 21.5 30.3 24.4 29.1 23 29.8 25.7 27.6 29.1 30.3 24.4
KC 24.7 29.1 27.2 22.2 - 21.5 26.3 24.4 23.8 24.9 25.5 25.7 26.1 21.5 30.3 25.7 24.7
LA 30 32.7 25.5 23.6 29.8 23 28.2 - 24.9 27.2 27.3 26.3 25.6 26.1 32.7 30 23.6
Mia 32.7 25.6 25.9 23.8 30.3 22.2 29.8 - 27.2 24.7 23.7 30 24.7 23.6 27.2 29.8 25.6
Min 30.3 31.4 24.9 28.2 29.1 - 30.3 27.1 23 29.8 23.6 23 24.9 23.8 24.4 31.4 27.1
NE 23.6 27.3 29.1 29.8 25.9 23.8 22.2 29.8 - 32.7 30 27.2 23.7 24.7 25.7 27.2 27.3
NO 21.5 28.2 26.1 24.7 - 24.9 24.4 32.7 30 25.7 24.9 23.7 23 25.5 23.6 25.5 26.1
NYG 24.9 26.3 29.8 27.6 31.4 24.7 23.7 - 30.3 23.8 27.1 25.9 22.2 24.9 23 30.3 29.8
NYJ 23.8 29.8 24.4 32.7 22.2 23.6 24.7 25.9 27.3 23.7 - 25.6 24.4 30 27.3 25.6 29.8
Oak 26.3 26.1 30.3 24.7 24.7 24.4 23.8 25.5 25.7 - 29.1 24.9 29.8 24.4 24.7 24.4 25.7
Phi 25.9 27.1 22.2 - 23 29.8 27.6 24.9 28.2 26.1 32.7 31.4 23.8 29.8 24.7 28.2 24.9
Pit 29.8 23.8 30.3 24.4 27.2 27.3 25.6 - 24.7 24.9 25.9 24.4 28.2 29.8 23.8 24.7 25.9
SD 24.4 23.8 24.4 26.3 21.5 25.7 26.1 25.7 30.3 27.3 - 29.1 25.5 24.9 21.5 25.9 24.4
SF 23.7 24.9 32.7 24.9 23.6 29.8 25.5 - 26.3 23.6 25.6 27.3 27.1 27.2 26.1 23.7 32.7
Sea 27.3 23.7 30 27.2 - 26.1 23.6 26.3 29.8 25.6 30.3 25.5 24.9 31.4 23.7 23.6 30
TB 26.1 23.6 23.7 25.7 24.9 - 30 21.5 26.1 27.1 24.4 32.7 24.7 26.3 24.9 26.3 24.9
Ten 27.6 23 21.5 29.1 27.3 25.9 24.4 23.8 24.7 31.4 24.4 27.1 - 25.7 24.4 23.8 29.1
Was 22.2 24.9 28.2 25.9 24.7 30.3 23 23.8 - 27.6 31.4 24.9 23.6 30.3 24.9 27.1 28.2
Avg 26.4 26.4 26.4 26.1 26.4 26.4 26.5 26.5 26.4 26.7 26.5 26.4 26.3 26.4 26.4 26.4 26.4