Vegas Value Chart: Week 10

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentAwayGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassTeam Defense
LA Rams Houston -12 46 29 +++ +++ ++
Detroit Cleveland -12.5 43.5 28 +++ +++ +++
New England Denver -7.5 47 27.25 ++ ++ +
Pittsburgh Indianapolis -10 44 27 +++ ++ ++
Atlanta Dallas -3 50.5 26.75 ++ ++  
Carolina Miami -9 40 24.5 ++ + +++
New Orleans Buffalo -2.5 46.5 24.5 + +  
Dallas Atlanta 3 50.5 23.75      
Seattle Arizona -6 41.5 23.75     ++
Tennessee Cincinnati -5 40.5 22.75     ++
Jacksonville LA Chargers -4 41 22.5     +
Buffalo New Orleans 2.5 46.5 22      
NY Jets Tampa Bay -2.5 41.5 22      
Minnesota Washington -1 42.5 21.75      
Chicago Green Bay -5 38 21.5     ++
NY Giants San Francisco -1 42 21.5      
Washington Minnesota 1 42.5 20.75      
San Francisco NY Giants 1 42 20.5      
Denver New England 7.5 47 19.75      
Tampa Bay NY Jets 2.5 41.5 19.5     +
LA Chargers Jacksonville 4 41 18.5      
Arizona Seattle 6 41.5 17.75      
Cincinnati Tennessee 5 40.5 17.75      
Houston LA Rams 12 46 17      
Indianapolis Pittsburgh 10 44 17      
Green Bay Chicago 5 38 16.5      
Cleveland Detroit 12.5 43.5 15.5      
Miami Carolina 9 40 15.5      


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR