Each week, Footballguys staff members will share the big movers in their respective Dynasty Rankings. This week, we are discussing lessons learned. As we – dynasty staff – continue to learn more about getting better as dynasty owners, we want to pass along our knowledge.
One lesson I think dynasty owners can learn is not to overreact to one year - one way or the other. There were a great many player performances and trends that I do not feel will hold past this year, yet many owners will fall into the trap of assuming next year will be like this one.
I think we saw an outlier year in terms of wide receiver production. Part of that was marquee names like Odell Beckham Jr., Allen Robinson, and Amari Cooper getting hurt. Part of that was offenses that had been humming taking a step back, thus causing the connected assets to also lose steam. Tennessee (Rishard Matthews), Tampa Bay (Mike Evans), and Cincinnati (A.J. Green) come to mind. Conversely, we saw running backs (Todd Gurley, LeVeon Bell, and Alvin Kamara in particular) end up as top performers in PPR leagues. With a very good running back class on the way in 2018 and the memory of running backs dominating the landscape, we’re going to see people overpay for these rookie picks and sell off valuable assets that will rebound in the near future.