Vegas Value Chart: Week 8

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassRunDefense
Atlanta Green Bay -2.5 52.5 27.5 ++ ++  
New England Buffalo -6.5 47 26.75 ++ +++  
Kansas City Indianapolis -3 50 26.5 ++ ++  
Tampa Bay Oakland -1.5 49.5 25.5 + +  
Carolina Arizona -3 48 25.5 + +  
Seattle New Orleans -2.5 48 25.25 + +  
Green Bay Atlanta 2.5 52.5 25 + +  
Cincinnati Washington -3 47 25 + +  
NY Jets Cleveland -5.5 43 24.25   + ++
Oakland Tampa Bay 1.5 49.5 24      
Houston Detroit -3 45 24      
Denver San Diego -4.5 43.5 24     +
Dallas Philadelphia -4.5 43.5 24     +
Tennessee Jacksonville -3.5 43.5 23.5      
Indianapolis Kansas City 3 50 23.5      
Minnesota Chicago -5.5 40.5 23     +++
New Orleans Seattle 2.5 48 22.75      
Arizona Carolina 3 48 22.5      
Washington Cincinnati 3 47 22      
Detroit Houston 3 45 21      
Buffalo New England 6.5 47 20.25      
Jacksonville Tennessee 3.5 43.5 20      
San Diego Denver 4.5 43.5 19.5      
Philadelphia Dallas 4.5 43.5 19.5      
Cleveland NY Jets 5.5 43 18.75      
Chicago Minnesota 5.5 40.5 17.5      

SUMMARY

3-STARS

  • Quarterback: None
  • Running Back: LeGarrette Blount (Patriots)
  • Receivers: None
  • Defense: Vikings

2-STARS

1-STAR