Vegas Value Chart: Week 7

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Atlanta San Diego -6 53 29.5 +++ +++  
Kansas City New Orleans -6.5 50.5 28.5 +++ +++  
Cincinnati Cleveland -9.5 45.5 27.5 ++ +++ ++
Green Bay Chicago -7.5 46 26.75 ++ +++ +
New England Pittsburgh -7 45.5 26.25 ++ +++ +
Tennessee Indianapolis -3 48 25.5 + +  
Detroit Washington -1 49.5 25.25 + +  
Jacksonville Oakland -1 48.5 24.75 + +  
Tampa Bay San Francisco -2.5 46.5 24.5 + +  
Washington Detroit 1 49.5 24.25 + +  
Denver Houston -7.5 40.5 24 + ++ +++
Buffalo Miami -3.5 44 23.75      
Oakland Jacksonville 1 48.5 23.75      
San Diego Atlanta 6 53 23.5      
NY Giants Los Angeles -3 43.5 23.25      
Arizona Seattle -2 43.5 22.75      
Indianapolis Tennessee 3 48 22.5      
New Orleans Kansas City 6.5 50.5 22 +    
San Francisco Tampa Bay 2.5 46.5 22      
Minnesota Philadelphia -3 40 21.5     ++
Seattle Arizona 2 43.5 20.75      
NY Jets Baltimore -0.5 40.5 20.5      
Los Angeles NY Giants 3 43.5 20.25      
Miami Buffalo 3.5 44 20.25      
Baltimore NY Jets 0.5 40.5 20      
Chicago Green Bay 7.5 46 19.25      
Pittsburgh New England 7 45.5 19.25      
Philadelphia Minnesota 3 40 18.5      
Cleveland Cincinnati 9.5 45.5 18      
Houston Denver 7.5 40.5 16.5       

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR