Vegas Value Chart: Week 6

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Pass Run Defense
New England Cincinnati -8.5 47 27.75 +++ +++ +
Pittsburgh Miami -7.5 47 27.25 +++ +++ +
Carolina New Orleans -3 51 27 ++ ++  
Arizona NY Jets -7.5 46.5 27 ++ ++ +
Seattle Atlanta -6.5 46 26.25 ++ ++ +
Buffalo San Francisco -7.5 44.5 26 ++ ++ ++
Green Bay Dallas -4 47.5 25.75 ++ ++  
Tennessee Cleveland -7 43.5 25.25 + ++ ++
Chicago Jacksonville -3 47 25 + +  
Houston Indianapolis -3 46.5 24.75 + +  
Denver San Diego -3.5 45 24.25 + +  
New Orleans Carolina 3 51 24 + +  
Philadelphia Washington -2.5 45 23.75      
Detroit Los Angeles -4 43.5 23.75     +
Oakland Kansas City -1 46.5 23.75      
NY Giants Baltimore -3.5 43.5 23.5      
Kansas City Oakland 1 46.5 22.75      
Jacksonville Chicago 3 47 22      
Dallas Green Bay 4 47.5 21.75      
Indianapolis Houston 3 46.5 21.75      
Washington Philadelphia 2.5 45 21.25      
San Diego Denver 3.5 45 20.75      
Baltimore NY Giants 3.5 43.5 20      
Los Angeles Detroit 4 43.5 19.75      
Atlanta Seattle 6.5 46 19.75      
Miami Pittsburgh 7.5 47 19.75      
NY Jets Arizona 7.5 46.5 19.5      
Cincinnati New England 8.5 47 19.25      
San Francisco Buffalo 7.5 44.5 18.5      
Cleveland Tennessee 7 43.5 18.25      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR