Vegas Value Chart: Week 2

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassRunDefense
Carolina San Francisco -13.5 45.5 29.5 +++ +++ +++
NY Giants New Orleans -4.5 52.5 28.5 +++ +++  
Arizona Tampa Bay -6.5 50 28.25 +++ +++  
Oakland Atlanta -4.5 49.5 27 ++ ++  
Detroit Tennessee -5.5 47 26.25 ++ ++  
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -3.5 48.5 26 ++ ++  
Denver Indianapolis -6 45.5 25.75 ++ ++ +
San Diego Jacksonville -4 47 25.5 + +  
Baltimore Cleveland -7 42.5 24.75 + + ++
New England Miami -6.5 41.5 24 + ++ ++
Washington Dallas -3 45 24 + +  
New Orleans NY Giants 4.5 52.5 24      
Chicago Philadelphia -4 42.5 23.25     +
Green Bay Minnesota -2 44 23      
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 3.5 48.5 22.5      
Atlanta Oakland 4.5 49.5 22.5      
Houston Kansas City -0.5 43.5 22      
Tampa Bay Arizona 6.5 50 21.75      
Kansas City Houston 0.5 43.5 21.5      
Jacksonville San Diego 4 47 21.5      
Minnesota Green Bay 2 44 21      
Dallas Washington 3 45 21      
Tennessee Detroit 5.5 47 20.75      
Seattle Los Angeles -3 38 20.5     ++
NY Jets Buffalo 0 40.5 20.25      
Buffalo NY Jets 0 40.5 20.25      
Indianapolis Denver 6 45.5 19.75      
Philadelphia Chicago 4 42.5 19.25      
Cleveland Baltimore 7 42.5 17.75 +    
Los Angeles Seattle 3 38 17.5      
Miami New England 6.5 41.5 17.5      
San Francisco Carolina 13.5 45.5 16 +    

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR