Vegas Value Chart: Week 17

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Atlanta New Orleans -6.5 56 31.25 +++ +++  
New England Miami -9.5 44.5 27 ++ +++ ++
Seattle San Francisco -10 43.5 26.75 ++ +++ +++
Tampa Bay Carolina -6 46.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Washington NY Giants -8 44 26 ++ ++ +
Indianapolis Jacksonville -4.5 47 25.75 + +  
Green Bay Detroit -3 48 25.5 + +  
Kansas City San Diego -6 45 25.5 + +  
Pittsburgh Cleveland -6 44 25 + + +
New Orleans Atlanta 6.5 56 24.75 ++ +  
Philadelphia Dallas -4 43.5 23.75      
Arizona Los Angeles -6 41 23.5     ++
Minnesota Chicago -5.5 41 23.25     ++
Buffalo NY Jets -3.5 42 22.75      
Detroit Green Bay 3 48 22.5      
Tennessee Houston -3 40.5 21.75     +
Cincinnati Baltimore -2.5 41 21.75      
Jacksonville Indianapolis 4.5 47 21.25      
Denver Oakland -1 40.5 20.75      
Carolina Tampa Bay 6 46.5 20.25      
Dallas Philadelphia 4 43.5 19.75      
Oakland Denver 1 40.5 19.75      
San Diego Kansas City 6 45 19.5      
Baltimore Cincinnati 2.5 41 19.25      
NY Jets Buffalo 3.5 42 19.25      
Cleveland Pittsburgh 6 44 19      
Houston Tennessee 3 40.5 18.75      
NY Giants Washington 8 44 18      
Chicago Minnesota 5.5 41 17.75      
Miami New England 9.5 44.5 17.5      
Los Angeles Arizona 6 41 17.5      
San Francisco Seattle 10 43.5 16.75      


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR