Vegas Value Chart: Week 15

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Atlanta San Francisco -13.5 51.5 32.5 +++ +++ +
Washington Carolina -4.5 51 27.75 +++ ++  
Dallas Tampa Bay -7 46 26.5 ++ +++  
Seattle Los Angeles -14.5 38.5 26.5 ++ +++ +++
Oakland San Diego -2.5 50 26.25 ++ ++  
Arizona New Orleans -2.5 50 26.25 ++ ++  
Buffalo Cleveland -10 42.5 26.25 ++ +++ +++
Green Bay Chicago -6.5 42.5 24.5 + + ++
Minnesota Indianapolis -4 44.5 24.25 + +  
Kansas City Tennessee -5.5 43 24.25 + + +
New Orleans Arizona 2.5 50 23.75      
San Diego Oakland 2.5 50 23.75      
New England Denver -3.5 44 23.75      
Pittsburgh Cincinnati -3.5 44 23.75      
Baltimore Philadelphia -6 41.5 23.75   + ++
Carolina Washington 4.5 51 23.25      
NY Giants Detroit -4.5 41.5 23     +
Houston Jacksonville -6 39 22.5   + +++
Miami NY Jets -2.5 38.5 20.5     ++
Indianapolis Minnesota 4 44.5 20.25      
Denver New England 3.5 44 20.25      
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 3.5 44 20.25      
Tampa Bay Dallas 7 46 19.5      
San Francisco Atlanta 13.5 51.5 19      
Tennessee Kansas City 5.5 43 18.75      
Detroit NY Giants 4.5 41.5 18.5      
Chicago Green Bay 6.5 42.5 18      
NY Jets Miami 2.5 38.5 18      
Philadelphia Baltimore 6 41.5 17.75      
Jacksonville Houston 6 39 16.5      
Cleveland Buffalo 10 42.5 16.25      
Los Angeles Seattle 14.5 38.5 12      


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR