Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassRunDefense
New Orleans Detroit -6 53.5 29.75 +++ +++  
New England Los Angeles -13 44.5 28.75 +++ +++ +++
Pittsburgh NY Giants -6 49 27.5 ++ +++  
Atlanta Kansas City -3.5 49 26.25 ++ ++  
Oakland Buffalo -3 49.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Arizona Washington -3 49.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Indianapolis NY Jets -2.5 49.5 26 ++ ++  
Green Bay Houston -6.5 45.5 26 + ++ +
San Diego Tampa Bay -4 47.5 25.75 + + +
Seattle Carolina -6.5 44.5 25.5 + +  
Dallas Minnesota -3.5 44 23.75      
Detroit New Orleans 6 53.5 23.75      
NY Jets Indianapolis 2.5 49.5 23.5      
Denver Jacksonville -5 41.5 23.25     ++
Buffalo Oakland 3 49.5 23.25      
Washington Arizona 3 49.5 23.25      
Kansas City Atlanta 3.5 49 22.75      
Chicago San Francisco -2 43.5 22.75      
Baltimore Miami -3.5 40.5 22     ++
Tampa Bay San Diego 4 47.5 21.75      
Philadelphia Cincinnati -1 42 21.5      
NY Giants Pittsburgh 6 49 21.5      
San Francisco Chicago 2 43.5 20.75      
Cincinnati Philadelphia 1 42 20.5      
Minnesota Dallas 3.5 44 20.25      
Houston Green Bay 6.5 45.5 19.5      
Carolina Seattle 6.5 44.5 19      
Miami Baltimore 3.5 40.5 18.5      
Jacksonville Denver 5 41.5 18.25      
Los Angeles New England 13 44.5 15.75       


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR