Vegas Value Chart: Week 12

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
Dallas Washington -7 51 29 +++ +++  
Pittsburgh Indianapolis -9 47.5 28.25 +++ +++  
New England NY Jets -8 47 27.5 +++ ++  
Atlanta Arizona -4.5 50.5 27.5 ++ ++  
Miami San Francisco -8 45.5 26.75 +++ ++ +
New Orleans Los Angeles -7.5 45.5 26.5 ++ ++  
Buffalo Jacksonville -7 45.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Oakland Carolina -3.5 49 26.25 + ++  
Philadelphia Green Bay -3.5 47.5 25.5 + +  
NY Giants Cleveland -6.5 44 25.25 + + +
Seattle Tampa Bay -5.5 45 25.25 + +  
Tennessee Chicago -4 43 23.5      
Houston San Diego -1 46 23.5      
Arizona Atlanta 4.5 50.5 23      
Carolina Oakland 3.5 49 22.75      
Detroit Minnesota -2.5 43 22.75      
San Diego Houston 1 46 22.5      
Baltimore Cincinnati -4.5 40.5 22.5     ++
Washington Dallas 7 51 22      
Green Bay Philadelphia 3.5 47.5 22      
Denver Kansas City -3.5 39.5 21.5     ++
Minnesota Detroit 2.5 43 20.25      
Tampa Bay Seattle 5.5 45 19.75      
Chicago Tennessee 4 43 19.5      
NY Jets New England 8 47 19.5      
Jacksonville Buffalo 7 45.5 19.25      
Indianapolis Pittsburgh 9 47.5 19.25      
Los Angeles New Orleans 7.5 45.5 19      
San Francisco Miami 8 45.5 18.75      
Cleveland NY Giants 6.5 44 18.75      
Cincinnati Baltimore 4.5 40.5 18      
Kansas City Denver 3.5 39.5 18      


SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR