Vegas Value Chart: Week 10

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
Arizona San Francisco -13.5 48.5 31 +++ +++ +++
New England Seattle -8 49 28.5 +++ +++  
Baltimore Cleveland -10 45 27.5 +++ ++ +++
Pittsburgh Dallas -3 50 26.5 ++ ++  
San Diego Miami -4 48.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Green Bay Tennessee -3 49 26 + +  
New Orleans Denver -2.5 49 25.75 + +  
Atlanta Philadelphia 0 50 25 + +  
Philadelphia Atlanta 0 50 25 + +  
NY Giants Cincinnati -2 47 24.5 + +  
Dallas Pittsburgh 3 50 23.5      
Chicago Tampa Bay -1.5 45.5 23.5      
Carolina Kansas City -3 44 23.5      
Denver New Orleans 2.5 49 23.25      
Tennessee Green Bay 3 49 23      
Cincinnati NY Giants 2 47 22.5      
Miami San Diego 4 48.5 22.25      
Washington Minnesota -3 41.5 22.25     +
Tampa Bay Chicago 1.5 45.5 22      
Houston Jacksonville -1.5 42.5 22      
NY Jets Los Angeles -2 39.5 20.75     ++
Seattle New England 8 49 20.5      
Kansas City Carolina 3 44 20.5      
Jacksonville Houston 1.5 42.5 20.5      
Minnesota Washington 3 41.5 19.25      
Los Angeles NY Jets 2 39.5 18.75      
San Francisco Arizona 13.5 48.5 17.5      
Cleveland Baltimore 10 45 17.5      

 

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR