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Dynasty Rankings Movement: Week 7

Movement within the dynasty rankings of the Footballguys staff and the reasoning behind the movement

Each week, Footballguys staff members will share the big movers in their respective Dynasty Rankings.  Since the contributors will rotate, please check in weekly.  The focus of this article will be on the “why” more than the movement itself.  Dynasty Rankings are fluid and we hope that sharing the rationale will help you in your quest to create dynasties with all of your teams.  The diversity of rankings will result in a variety of opinions weekly. 

Quarterback

Parsons

Carson Wentz - The small school rookie continues to perform well and beyond the box score. His line-of-scrimmage acumen is that of a refined veteran. What stands out is a knack for downfield accuracy. Wentz's mobility is a fantasy boost as well.

Ryan Fitzpatrick - While in recent seasons Fitzpatrick has been an undervalued veteran, capable of stopgap QB1-level performances, 2016 is turning into a house of horrors. Fitzpatrick is no longer boosted by his situation and the bad decision rate and inaccuracy is flooding his play to the point of being untrustworthy even with a strong matchup.

Hammond

Matt Ryan - Ryan continues to far outperform preseason expectations through six games, showing that the down year he had in 2015 was an aberration caused by difficulty adjusting to the new system of offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan.  With last year under his belt, he is on fire in 2016 and one of the leading producing quarterbacks.  He is doing a good job of involving not just star Julio Jones this year, but also other receivers, tight ends, and both running backs Freeman and Coleman.

Ryan Tannehill - The hoped for improvement in decision-making and production inspired by the addition of coach Adam Gase so far has not been apparent.  I know that Tannehill was mentioned in last week's column by other staff, but I'll mention him this week also after another low output performance.  He continues to be unable to show he can consistently move the ball through the air or score touchdowns and Miami has to rely on the running game and field goals to win.

Running Back

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David Johnson - Johnson came into the season projected as a top-5 running back, and after six weeks he is the #1 fantasy back.  Coach Arians has said he isn't concerned about workload. Johnson has 20-plus touches each of the last four weeks and also has five TDs the last two weeks.  Averaging 25.2 fantasy points through six weeks, it seems only an injury will keep him from remaining the top RB in fantasy.

Christine Michael - Michael continues to play well in Thomas Rawls' place with five total TDs and averaging nearly 90 total yards per game through five games.  Rawls will not be ready to go for at least a few more weeks, and it will be difficult to wrest the starting job from Michael when he does return.

Jeremy Hill - Hill continues to fall down the rankings as he struggles to find running room.  His yards per carry has been 3.4 or less in five of six weeks and his carries are now being reduced, with just 17 totes total the last two games.  Giovani Bernard is taking a larger role at Hill's expense.

Matt Forte - After a hot start the first two weeks of the season, Forte's touches have steadily declined each of the last four games:  17, 16, 14, and 10.  He is averaging only 3.5 yards per carry and has scored in just one game (3 rushing TDs in Week 2).  Bilal Powell is averaging 6.0 YPC on his 20 carries, has 24 catches to Forte's 14, and may begin to see a larger role.  Forte turns 31 in December and it is looking more and more like the cliff has arrived for him.

Parsons

Jonathan Williams - The rookie from Arkansas continues to simmer in the background of Buffalo's running back depth chart, but from the preseason to the regular season Williams has looked the part of a future three-down NFL starter. Williams has prototypical size with plus lateral explosion, balance, and power. While impatient owners may be bailing as he remains blocked behind LeSean McCoy and Mike Gillislee - with Reggie Bush even mixed in - savvy talent-collectors are stashing Williams on the end of their dynasty benches.

Latavius Murray - Murray was already a tenuous hold heading into 2016 when a prime cash-out window existed with his previous unquestioned starter role. Even with minimal competition to start the year (mid-Day 3 rookie and undrafted rookie), Murray began losing snaps within weeks and is now injured. I project Murray to be close to worthless on the dynasty trade market by mid-offseason.

Wide Receiver

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Allen Hurns - Marqise Lee's revival in Jacksonville is having a negative effect on Hurns, plus the natural touchdown regression of a big-play fueled 2015 breakout for Hurns. Blake Bortles continuing his bad decision rate and turnovers does not help matters. With Allen Robinson entrenched as the lead receiver for the Jaguars, Hurns will struggle to maintain even 75% of his 2016 offseason market value going forward.

Dorial Green-Beckham - With a fresh start in Philadelphia, Green-Beckham is one of my favorite talent acquisitions for dynasty owners. He is challenging Nelson Agholor for the No.2 role in snaps as of Week 6 and continues to flash impact plays weekly. Carson Wentz's strong play fans the flame of Green-Beckham's new team and opportunity with the Eagles.

Hammond

Terrelle Pryor - Another big day for Pryor in Week 6, his 2nd in four weeks, continues to affirm his importance in the offense.  Although his featured role will be reduced when Corey Coleman returns, Pryor will maintain his big play receiver, sometimes-quarterback, sometimes running back roles.  Arrow is clearly up for Pryor.

Kenny Britt - It is time to take Kenny Britt seriously.  He has caught 75% of his targets and currently is on pace for 80 catches and 1300 yards.  Britt is the preferred go-to receiver for the Rams over Tavon Austin.

Phillip Dorsett - It appeared 2015 1st round pick Dorsett had a golden opportunity to produce when Donte Moncrief went down for several weeks with an injury, but he has done very little with it.  Only 9-159-1 in the last five games despite starting, he is being out-produced in recent games by the likes of WR Chester Rogers and TE Jack Doyle.  Dorsett is looking like a disappointing use of a first-round pick for a team that desperately needs defense, a criticism that was made when he was drafted.

Julian Edelman - A stalwart in the Patriots' passing game the last several seasons, Edelman's role this year has been reduced.  In part due to a previous injury, in part due to the addition of TE Martellus Bennett and increased use of RB James White, over the last four games Edelman has totaled just 119 yards and no TDs.  Gronkowski is healthy again.  Now age 30 and somewhat fragile, I don't see Edelman coming close to previous seasons' stats.

Tight End

Hammond

Jimmy Graham - There was a lot of concern about Graham coming into the season.  Patella tendon injuries are among the most difficult to recover from, and Graham wasn't exactly clicking in the Seattle offense before the injury.  Weeks 1-2 of this year were poor for him too.  In his last three games though Graham has become a featured part of the offense, with six catches in each game and averaging 100 yards/game.  Clearly, he is again healthy and Russell Wilson has re-discovered the player who was once second only to Gronkowski at his position.

Zach Ertz - Ertz was up-and-down last season, and he has disappointed fantasy owners so far this year who were looking for a breakout season.  After a decent Week, 1 he was injured the next two games, and after returning from the Week 4 bye he has totaled just four catches on six targets in two games (1-22-0 in Week 6).  Many thought new head coach Doug Peterson under-utilized TE Travis Kelce when he was the offensive coordinator of the Chiefs, and it is looking so far as though the same thing might be happening with Ertz and the Eagles.

Parsons

Hunter Henry - The rookie's snap count remained sky-high even after Antonio Gates returned to the lineup. Henry has been one of the hottest tight end performers in recent weeks and looks the part of a well-rounded fantasy star for years to come. Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead's season-ending injuries accelerated Henry's passing game involvement, making him a top-half TE1 by midseason of his rookie year.