TipAndPick's: Tips and Picks, DK Edition

Cash game and GPP selections for DraftKings

For the uninitiated, playing daily games on DraftKings can be an enjoyable experience, but equally sobering is the fact that season-long knowledge does not always translate to success in the daily space.  FootballGuys will bring you a series of value- and strategic-based selections from a number of seasoned daily veterans throughout the NFL season.  Herein is another edition of “Tipandpick’s Tips and Picks,” where we will examine the salaries of players at each position on DraftKings and make value-based recommendations for both your cash games and tournaments.

Below you will find a list of recommended players for both formats.  GPP players generally have high-upside, but are too risky for cash games; cash game players are consistent with high fantasy floors.  In some instances, the value for a player is so strong, he may fall into both categories…let’s have a look.

QUARTERBACKS

GPP

Sam Bradford (Primarily GPP, Salary: $6000).  Most started the 2015 season with lofty expectations for Sam Bradford and the Eagles' offense, but they have disappointed to date and Bradford's fantasy numbers have decreased each week (18.4, 10.9, and 8.5, respectively).  Looking a bit closer at his output, it is not entirely surprising that he has stammered thus far.  In Week 2, Dallas played "keep-away" and the normally fast-paced Eagles ran only 62 plays from the line of scrimmage, their lowest since the Seahawks shut them out in 2014.  In Week 3, Bradford faced perhaps one of his toughest opponents all season in the form of the NY Jets, who have yielded only 41 points through the first three weeks of the season (best in the NFL).  This week, however, the Eagles' passing game could get back on track against the Redskins, who defend the run very well, but are prone to defensive lapses in their secondary.  Hurricane Joaquin is coming to Washington and people will be avoiding this game because of the weather, but the Eagles do not rely upon deep passes to move the ball, so I might argue their offense is not affected as dramatically as other offenses might be.  Given his ridiculously cheap salary, low ownership, and high upside, Bradford makes a great GPP play this weekend.

Derek Carr (Primarily GPP, Salary: $5300).  Since leaving the season-opener due to an injury in the second quarter, Derek Carr has averaged nearly 27 fantasy points over the subsequent two weeks.  Rookie sensation Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree have been highly-targeted by Carr and all are flourishing in this underrated offense.  This week, they will face-off against the winless Bears in Chicago, who have allowed 8 passing touchdowns in only 3 games this season.  Call it a hunch, but I suspect the Bears will win this game outright with a hefty dose of Matt Forte, which would call for more involvement from the Raiders' passing game than we currently anticipate; if that prediction is correct, Carr has 300-yard, multiple touchdown upside that could easily reach a 5x multiplier on DraftKings.

Ryan Mallett (Primarily GPP, Salary: $5000).  No team in the NFL, including the Eagles, is currently running more plays per week (86 per game) than the Houston Texans.  While Mallett is not a special talent, that kind of volume alone makes him an interesting option for GPP tournaments this weekend.  Adding to the allure is the fact that Mallett gets one of the more generous defensive secondaries in the form of the Atlanta Falcons; they are yielding over 280 passing yards per game this season and are FootballOutsiders' 28th ranked defense via their DVOA metric.  As six-point underdogs, gamescript might force the Texans to air the ball out and a Ryan Mallett-to-DeAndre Hopkins (or even Cecil Shorts) could represent an underowned combo with decent upside (and value) for your GPP lineups on Sunday.

CASH GAMES

Aaron Rodgers (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $7900).  Next to Tom Brady, no quarterback is hotter than Aaron Rodgers entering Week 4 and no defensive secondary has allowed more yardage per pass attempt (10.0) than the San Francisco 49ers...that is all the information you need to justify playing Rodgers in your cash games this weekend.  If you have the available salary, use it here.

Cam Newton (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $7000).  The Panthers' rushing game is far from stellar right now, which means that Cam Newton is routinely being asked to carry the offense on his back.  In doing so, Cam has thrown at least 30 times in each game this season, while also averaging 10 rush attempts and 50 yards per game.  This week, he gets a great matchup against the Buccaneers, who allowed 4 passing touchdowns to Marcus Mariota in Week 1 and then contained an injured Drew Brees and the generally untalented Ryan Mallett in subsequent games.  Cam is a solid cash game play because he is involved so heavily in all phases of the Panthers' offense and will often take it upon himself to run the ball into the endzone on goalline opportunities.  He should throw for 200 yards easily and collect another 40-60 on the ground, while accounting for two touchdowns, which puts him squarely in the value range for a $7,000 quarterback.

Tyrod Taylor (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $5800).  The NY Giants have allowed three quarterbacks (in three weeks) to throw for 300 yards this season, making them the worst passing defense in the league (335.7 passing yards allowed per game).  While Tyrod Taylor is not likely to throw for 300 yards on Sunday, he should have no problem finding the open receiver against ProFootballFocus' 31st ranked pass coverage unit.  Taylor will be without Sammy Watkins (calf), but Watkins' asbsence should not slow down the Bills' offensive attack.  Like Newton above, Taylor will scramble when necessary and is likely to pick up 30-50 rushing yards on those instances; add in a conservative 200 yards passing, a touchdown, and Tyrod should reach value once again for cash games, something he has done every game this season.

RUNNING BACKS

GPP

Matt Forte (Primarily GPP, Salary: $7100).  After starting the season with a 31-fantasy point performance against Green Bay, Matt Forte has had his fantasy output decreased by 50% in each subsequent week (14.5 and 7.4 points, respectively). This weekend, after a 26-0 drubbing at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks, most of the DFS world will be fading the entire Bears' offense, which makes them excellent options for GPP games.  Forte has been, and will continue to be, heavily-involved in the Bears' offense, having been targeted 68 times (~ 23 times/game) over the first three games.  With Alshon Jeffery already being announced as inactive this week, expect Forte to see similar action again this week against a Raiders' team that grades out as ProFootballFocus' 26th ranked defense against the run.  On a full-PPR site like DraftKings, Forte has a fantastic scoring floor that comes with upside that only a few running backs possess.

Eddie Lacy (Primarily GPP, Salary: $6900).  Aaron Rodgers distracted us all on Monday night and we barely noticed that Eddie Lacy had returned to football; Lacy rotated in with James Starks finishing with 10 carries, 3 receptions, and 87 all-purpose yards.  This week, Lacy practiced everyday and he should return to being the bellcow running back for the Packers.  His opponent, the 49ers, have been terrible against the run over the past two weeks (229 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns) after a strong start against Adrian Peterson on opening weekend; if Lacy is 100% healthy, expect the Packers to build an early lead and feed the ball to Lacy to run clock in the second half.  At $6,900, Lacy represents a solid play because he possesses 3-touchdown upside at a reasonable salary and will be not be as highly-owned as he should be because most people will have a piece of the Green Bay passing game.

Melvin Gordon (Primarily GPP, Salary: $4900).  Teammate Danny Woodhead has garnered much of the attention through the first three weeks, but the matchup against the Browns tilts the fantasy scales in Melvin Gordon's favor.  Gordon has been a victim of gamescript over the course of the season, as the Chargers have not been playing with a lead since the first half of Week 1; this week, however, the Chargers are 7-point favorites over the Browns, who bring to town the worst rushing defense in the league (158.3 yards per game).  Despite his team trailing for most of the season, Melvin Gordon has been receiving more action over the past few weeks than Woodhead (31 touches versus 21 touches, respectively), which bodes well for him this week, as the Chargers look to be playing with a lead in the second half.  A lot of people have bailed on Gordon because his highest scoring day on DraftKings was a dismal 10.8-point performance in Week 2; this matchup represents an ideal time to roster Gordon at low ownership with significant upside against a Browns defensive front that has not exhibited an ability to stop lesser caliber running backs this season.

Duke Johnson (GPP only, Salary: $3100).  For the same reasons I am recommending Melvin Gordon...I am also recommending Duke Johnson.  The rookie from the University of Miami is the Browns' lead pass-catching running back and the gamescript sets up perfectly for him to see a heavy dose of action in the second half.  Only the Browns have a worst-rated run defense (ProFootballFocus) this season, which means that Johnson should see plenty of daylight when he gets the ball on passing down situations.  At $3,000, Johnson needs only 12 points to reach value for tournament play, which is well within reach if the Chargers jump to an early lead and Johnson begins to pile up receptions and yardage later in the game; to add to the allure, he will be less than 2% owned.

CASH GAMES

Latavius Murray (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $6300).  There are not many (any?) high-dollar cash game running backs to recommend this week, so Latavius Murray leads the pack at $6,300.  Murray gets a nice matchup against the Bears, who were gouged by Thomas Rawls last week (16/104) and have yielded 4.7 yards per carry to opposing running backs this season.  Murray has been impressive thus far, averaging nearly 5 yards per carry and catching 100% of his targets (x 11) coming out of the backfield; he is the clear bellcow running back and should touch the ball 20 times on Sunday against a team that is struggling in every phase of the game.  Plug him in at a fair salary and expect 100 all-purpose yards and a touchdown to reach value.

Devonta Freeman (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $5200).  After looking a bit timid as the feature back in Week 2 against the Giants, Freeman bounced back with a bang last week against the Dallas Cowboys; the Florida State alum wore down the Cowboys with a 30/141/3 stat line plus another 5 receptions for 52 yards receiving.  While 35 touches is not likely every week, Freeman will still get the ball at least 20 times each week simply because the Falcons have zero depth at the position, as long as Tevin Coleman is injured (Terron Ward is the only backup RB).  This week, Freeman has a tougher matchup against a Texans' front that is allowing only 3.8 yards per carry this season, but the sheer quantity of touches that Freeman will see is enough to bump him into cash game territory.  As touchdown favorites, Freeman should carry the ball 20 times and pick up several receptions out of the backfield to steadily accrue fantasy points; his upside might be limited, but his floor is solid and well within the 15 fantasy points needed to reach value for cash games.

Karlos Williams (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $3400).  The chalk play of the weekend, Karlos Williams will be at least 65% owned and probably closer to 80% owned in cash games on DraftKings.  The matchup against the Giants is not particularly solid because they have been fairly stout against the rush this season (3.4 yards per carry), but Williams' salary is just too cheap for the type of volume he is going to receive on Sunday; he needs 11 fantasy points to reach value for cash games and he could conceivably have that number by halftime.  Because he will be so highly-owned, it is advisable to roster him in all of your cash games and hope to beat your opponents elsewhere; in GPP's, however, fading him could be the shark move at such high ownership levels (although it is admittedly risky).

*Thomas Rawls* (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $3000).  If Marshawn Lynch does not play on Monday night, you will want to have as much exposure to Thomas Rawls as possible.  The problem is that rostering him is risky because if Lynch plays, Rawls' usage could be minimal and there are not many similarly-priced options available to pivot to, if Lynch is announced as active.  For GPP's, you might be able to roster speedster Tyler Lockett ($3,500) in your flex position and pivot to Rawls if Lynch is inactive (hat tip to fellow Footballguy, Jeff Pasquino), but I would not advise running with Lockett in cash games, so that strategy is strictly GPP-oriented.  Perhaps the best piece of advice I can provide here is to monitor your cash game scores throughout the day...if you find yourself losing, you might want to make late swaps that get Rawls into your lineup, as he could provide high upside on Monday night; if you are doing well and believe you are well-positioned to cash, it makes sense to stay the course for the late afternoon games with your more predictable players.  Plan accordingly.  

WIDE RECEIVERS

GPP

Demaryius Thomas (Primarily GPP, Salary: $8100).  Demaryius Thomas is like a man smoking at a gas station--he's about to blow up!  Of the nine receivers with 35 or more targets through the first three games, only Jarvis Landry has less touchdowns (which is not surprising, given Landry's role and stature).  Basically, the opportunity has been there, but Thomas is still lagging behind in touchdowns and is due for positive regression.  We all know that Demaryius has multiple touchdown upside and his opponent (Vikings) just gave up a 12/133/2 stat line to Keenan Allen a week ago, which argues that this weekend could hold good things in store for his fantasy prospects.  He makes a prime GPP play because most people will either go to Julio Jones to spend their salary or drop down a bit to get the red-hot Randall Cobb, making Demarius Thomas the lesser-owned option between them.

DeAndre Hopkins (Primarily GPP, Salary: $7300).  Speaking of receivers seeing a lot of targets, DeAndre Hopkins is averaging 12.7 targets per game through the first three games.  As the primary receiver on a high-volume team, Hopkins possesses dramatic upside every week.  This week, he should steer clear of the Falcons' talented young cornerback, Desmond Trufant; instead, he will be covered by Robert Alford, who is allowing an opposing QB rating of 135.8, when passes are thrown into his coverage (111.6 in 2014).  If the Texans fall behind early, as Vegas is projecting, expect to see a heavy dose of DeAndre Hopkins on Sunday; Hopkins will be moderately owned, however, which makes Cecil Shorts running out of the slot an intriguing secondary option for a GPP play at $3,500.

Jordan Matthews (Primarily GPP, Salary: $6600).  The biggest news story coming out of Washington, D.C., this week has been the weather; the Vegas total on the game has dropped 4 points since it opened on Monday because of concerns of rain and wind associated with Hurricane Joaquin.  Despite early reports that the game could be canceled, it appears that the Eagles and Redskins will face-off in this NFC East rivalry.  After getting off to a blazing 13-target, 10-catch, 102-receiving yard day in Week 1, Jordan Matthews' productivity has slowed due to a strong Dallas gameplan and a tough Jets defense. This week, however, could be different; the Redskins boast one of the better run defenses in the league, but their secondary is suspect.  As the primary receiving option on an offense that is looking to get back to its fast-paced ways, Matthews will likely be underowned due to weather concerns and recency bias and, for those reasons, makes a sneaky GPP play against the Redskins.  *NOTE: If the winds in RFK Stadium are reported any higher than 20 MPH, my suggestion is to fade all players from this game except for possibly Darren Sproles, whose role would be unaffected by the wind conditions and strong Redskins' defensive front.*

Michael Crabtree (Primarily GPP, Salary: $4600).  Michael Crabtree might be my favorite GPP play on the weekend.  He has been largely overshadowed by Amari Cooper thus far, but is seeing similar action (33 targets versus 31 for Cooper) in that pass-heavy Raiders' offense. Furthermore, Crabtree has seen at least one redzone target every game this year, while Cooper has yet to be targeted inside the redzone; those high-value targets will eventually reach paydirt for Crabtree, who will be owned at a fraction of the rate of Cooper.  The Bears' secondary has yielded 8 passing touchdowns and managed only a single interception, meaning that the Raiders will not be averse to throwing for yardage, as needed.  Collectively, the opportunity, ownership, matchup, and cost savings make Crabtree the superior Raiders' WR selection for GPP contests this weekend.

Marvin Jones (GPP only, Salary: $3800).  Marvin Jones is the prototype of recency bias.  Playing as the WR3 behind A.J. Green and Mohamed Sanu in 2013, Jones managed to put together an impressive 10-touchdown season and was primed for a big 2014 campaign before an ankle injury caused him to miss the entire season.  This season, Jones has become the forgotten man in DFS circles because of A.J. Green's continued success and Tyler Eifert's emergence, but Jones has touchdowns in back-to-back games and has registered increasing snaps in each game this season.  The Chiefs' secondary has given up more passing touchdowns than any team this season and despite the return of top coverage cornerback, Sean Smith, they will struggle to contain this Bengals' passing attack.  With less than 3% ownership, Marvin Jones makes for a sneaky, but potent, GPP play.

CASH GAMES

Julio Jones (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $9300).  The price is getting dangerously high, but Jones is the hottest receiver in the NFL right now and you want as much exposure to him as you can get.  Just be cognizant of 'opportunity cost' when rostering Jones--if you roster him in your cash games at the expense of taking a risk at another position, it may not be worth rostering Jones at all.  It's not a knock on Jones or his fantasy prospects, but rather a commentary on lineup construction; sometimes the 'safe' play forces you to take chances that you would not otherwise need to take elsewhere in your roster.  All this said, Jones is approaching Antonio Brown territory and should be in as many of your cash game lineups as possible.  

Randall Cobb (Primarily cash games, Salary: $7400).  Aaron Rodgers has thrown 91 passes this season and 28 of those passes (30.8%) have gone in the direction of Randall Cobb.  Cobb's salary was released prior to his 3-touchdown performance on Monday Night Football, which means that he is offered at a significant savings this week; if he has another solid week against the Niners, his salary for Week 5 will enter the upper stratosphere of WR salaries ($8,500+).  There is good reason to believe that Cobb will excel again this week against the 49ers, who are allowing 10.0-passing yards per attempt and who have given up two consecutive 37+ point performances to opposing WR1's.  Aside from Karlos Williams, there is no better value play on the board at DraftKings for cash games this weekend.

Larry Fitzgerald (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $6500).  The return of Carson Palmer to the starting QB position in Arizona has rejuvenated the play of Larry Fitzgerald.  The savvy 32-year old veteran has back-to-back multiple touchdown games and is the backbone of this Cardinal offense after three weeks; he has received 28 targets (11 more than the next closest receiver) and has also been targeted in 55% of the passes to receivers in the redzone. In his last eight games with Palmer at the helm, Fitzgerald is averaging 23.4 fantasy points on DraftKings, which makes him an attractive play yet again this week against the Rams, who faced their first legitimate WR1 last week (Antonio Brown) and were beaten soundly for 24.8 fantasy points.

Amari Cooper (Primarily cash games, Salary: $6300).  The rookie phenom schooled two-time All Pro cornerback Joe Haden last week for 87 receiving yards on 6 receptions (6 targets with Haden in coverage).  This week, Cooper will line up across from far less talented defensive backs, including Alan Ball, who is allowing a league-high QB rating of 150.9 when passes are thrown into his coverage.  Cooper has averaged over 10 targets per game thus far and is Derek Carr's primary read on most routes, all of which makes him attractive for cash games this weekend.  At $6300, Cooper is not in the upper echelon of salaries (yet), which allows you to save and spend elsewhere; he needs ~ 19 fantasy points to reach value...a threshold he has reached in two out of his first three NFL games.

Donte Moncrief (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $5000).  James Jones, Brandon Marshall, and Donte Moncrief are the only wide receivers to score touchdowns in each of their first three games of 2015.  For his part, Moncrief has been the one consistently high-performing player on the Colts, finishing each game with no less than 13.2 DraftKings' points, which would still be close to achieving value for his current salary.  The Colts offense has looked terrible at times this season, but they are still projected to score 28 points on Sunday, which bodes well for the passing game because the Jaguars (their opponents) are fairly strong against the run (3.3 yards per carry).  All of this rests on the status of Andrew Luck, however...if Luck is announced as inactive on Sunday morning, it might be advisable to avoid the entire Colts' offense because Luck's backup, 40-year old Matt Hasselbeck is not the type of quarterback you want throwing passes to your cash game receivers.  **Andrew Luck is INACTIVE this morning, which downgrades Moncrief fairly dramatically; my recommendation is to come off Moncrief in your cash games and look for reasonable alternatives...Michael Crabtree is $4600 and has a reasonable floor for your cash games, if you are desperate.**

TIGHT ENDS

GPP

Jimmy Graham (Primarily GPP, Salary: $6000).  Coming off his best game of the season on his new team, Jimmy Graham is still somewhat overpriced for the production he has demonstrated in Seattle thus far.  Last week, Graham tied his season-high for targets (x 8), reeling in 7 passes for 83 yards and a touchdown (21.3 DraftKings points); this week, Graham faces off against a Lions team that has yielded a touchdown to the tight end position in each game this season (Ladarius Green, Kyle Rudolph, and Owen Daniels).  With one of the higher team totals on the weekend, Graham could be the 'Monday Night Hammer' you are looking for to complete your GPP chase, particularly because he will be only moderately owned with Greg Olsen offered at a $600 discount.

Tyler Eifert (Primarily GPP, Salary: $4600).  After racking up 34 and 15 fantasy points in his first two weeks, respectively, Tyler Eifert came crashing back to Earth in Week 3; Eifert laid a not-so-golden goose egg and finished his day with zero points, much to the chagrin of his fantasy owners.  That said, Eifert did catch a touchdown pass that would have otherwise salvaged that poor performance, but it was reversed after replay on a questionable call.  That zero point performance, however, will stick with a lot of the DFS community and Eifert will go underowned this week against the Chiefs; he possesses 20-point upside as we saw in Week 1, so there is reason to give Eifert another chance for your GPP lineups this weekend.

Charles Clay (Primarily GPP, Salary: $3300).  Early in the week, Charles Clay was my favorite GPP tight end; however, as the week progressed, I noticed that a lot of "DFS experts" were identifying Clay as a sneaky pick headed into the weekend, which was both validating and disappointing.  The number one thing that a great GPP selection must possess is upside, followed closely by low ownership; while the former is still intact, the latter (ownership) may be somewhat tainted by the number of people I have seen tout Clay's fantasy prospects this weekend.  Clay should not be ignored, however...he is a big redzone target on a team that will not suit up their WR1 (Sammy Watkins) and the Giants have yielded at least 60 yards (and 3 touchdowns) to opposing tight ends in every game this season.

CASH GAMES

Greg Olsen (Cash and GPP formats, Salary: $5400).  He's back!  After a disappointing opener against Jacksonville, Greg Olsen has once again become the primary receiver in Carolina, picking up 25 targets in the past two weeks and logging a 2-touchdown performance last week against the Saints. This weekend, Olsen will travel back to Florida, this time to play the Tampa Bay Bucs, who have yet to face a legitimate receiving tight end this season.  At the tight end position, no player is a more integral part of their offense than Olsen and that is reason enough to give him consideration for cash games at his higher, but fair, price tag.

Martellus Bennett (Primarily cash format, Salary: $4500).  Without Jay Cutler and Alshon Jeffery, the Bears' passing game takes a dramatic hit.  Cutler may not be a popular guy in Chicago these days, but he is certainly more talented than backup Jimmy Clausen, who has thrown only 5 career touchdowns versus 11 interceptions; despite his inadequacies, Clausen has looked to Martellus Bennett about 25% of the time this season (9 out of 40 pass attempts), which makes Bennett the primary receiver in Chicago right now.  The matchup for Bennett could not be more solid, as he faces an Oakland Raiders defense that has been absolutely shredded by the tight end position this season; they have yielded an average of 28.5 points to the opposing TE1 through the first three games.  Bennett needs approximately 13 DraftKings points to reach value for cash games, which appears reasonable given this plus matchup and the fact that the Bears have no other legitimate redzone target at the moment.

DEFENSES

GPP

Panthers (Primarily GPP, Salary: $3300).  Generally speaking, I prefer to roster home defenses because teams tend to play more inspired at home, but the Panthers' modus operandi this season (and every season, it seems) is to win through their defense.  Carolina travels to Tampa to take on Jameis Winston and the Bucs in an NFC South showdown, which Vegas thinks will be the lowest scoring game on the weekend's slate; Winston is averaging over a turnover per game and he will face his stiffest competition yet in this Carolina defense.

Packers (Primarily GPP, Salary: $2700).  The Packers are big favorites over Colin Kaeparnick and the 49ers, to the point where the Niners are only projected to score ~ 20 points at home.  If the Packers get out to a big lead and force Kaeparnick's hand, we saw last week how that can lead to fantasy production for the opposing defense (28.0 points for Arizona's defense).  The Packers are not necessarily a defensive juggernaut, but they can hold their own against this toothless San Francisco offense, while providing you significant salary relief at only $2,700.

Eagles (Primarily GPP, Salary: $2700).  If the weather is windy and rainy in Washington, D.C., on Sunday, you might consider saddling up the Eagles' defense for your GPP lineups.  Kirk Cousins does not induce fear into the hearts of many secondaries when the skies are clear, but if they are dark, rainy, and windy, Cousins will be forced to ground the ball, which is a strength of the Eagles' defense, who allow only 3.1 yards per rush attempt.  Two out of three team defenses have finished with more than 10 points against the Redskins offense this season and at a $1,000 discount over the most expensive defense on the slate, the Eagles represent solid value-based upside at the defense position.

CASH GAMES

Seahawks (Cash & GPP formats, Salary: $3700).  The addition of Kam Chancellor last week had an immediate impact, as the Seahawks shutout the visiting Bears 26-0 and logged an 18-fantasy point performance in the process.  This week, the Seahawks play host to the winless Lions, who have one of the lower team totals on the week and are fresh off a 24-12 drubbing at the hands of the Broncos.  Look for Seattle to do more of the same against this Lions team that just cannot seem to do anything right in 2015.

Cardinals (Cash & GPP formats, Salary: $3400).  The undefeated Arizona Cardinals will host the St. Louis Rams on Sunday afternoon in a game that oddsmakers think will end with the Rams scoring only 18 points.  After a surprising 34-31 upset of the Seahawks in Week 1, the Rams offense has sputtered, scoring only 16 total points against the Redskins and Steelers since that game; the Cardinals are fresh off a 28-fantasy point performance against the 49ers last week and will be looking to put Nick Foles into similar pressure situations to force him into making bad decisions that lead to defensive touchdowns. 

Broncos (Cash & GPP formats, Salary:  $3300).  The Broncos boast the best all-around defense in the league through three games, allowing only 259.0 yards of total offense and 16.3 points per game.  The Minnesota Vikings come to Denver on Sunday and will have difficulties moving the ball against this stout defense; in Week 1, the Niners, whose defense is far less talented than the Broncos, sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times, intercepted him once, and allowed only 3 points, while racking up 14 fantasy points in the process.  Expect something similar from the Broncos on Sunday.

 

For last-minute advice, player decisions, and injury news on Sunday morning, tune into the “NFL Gameday” webcast at 11:30 AM (EST) on RotoGrinders Live, where John “tipandpick” Lee, Justin "stlcardinals84" Van Zuiden, and Dean “Dean78904” Shavelson will analyze all NFL games every week.   You can find the webcast at:  https://rotogrinders.com/live.  All other daily fantasy questions can be directed to John’s Twitter page at: https://twitter.com/tipandpick