Vegas Value Chart: Week 6

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
New England Indianapolis -8 55 31.5 +++ +++  
Green Bay San Diego -10 50 30 +++ +++ +
Atlanta New Orleans -3.5 51 27.25 ++ ++  
Philadelphia NY Giants -4 50 27 ++ ++  
Arizona Pittsburgh -3.5 44.5 24 + +  
Minnesota Kansas City -4 44 24 + + +
Seattle Carolina -7 41 24 ++ + +++
Cincinnati Buffalo -3.5 44 23.75      
New Orleans Atlanta 3.5 51 23.75      
NY Jets Washington -6.5 40.5 23.5 +   +++
Indianapolis New England 8 55 23.5   ++  
Chicago Detroit -3.5 43 23.25     +
Denver Cleveland -4 42 23     ++
Baltimore San Francisco -2.5 43.5 23      
NY Giants Philadelphia 4 50 23      
Tennessee Miami -2.5 43.5 23      
Houston Jacksonville -1.5 43.5 22.5      
Jacksonville Houston 1.5 43.5 21      
Miami Tennessee 2.5 43.5 20.5      
Pittsburgh Arizona 3.5 44.5 20.5      
San Francisco Baltimore 2.5 43.5 20.5      
Buffalo Cincinnati 3.5 44 20.25      
Kansas City Minnesota 4 44 20      
San Diego Green Bay 10 50 20   +  
Detroit Chicago 3.5 43 19.75      
Cleveland Denver 4 42 19      
Washington NY Jets 6.5 40.5 17   +  
Carolina Seattle 7 41 17   +  

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR