Win. Your. League.

Receive 3 Free Downloads More Details

Vegas Value Chart: Week 2

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

**NOTE: Due to uncertainty surrounding Derek Carr's hand injury, there are no betting odds on the BAL/OAK game as of Tuesday, September 15th.  When odds are available, the table will be updated.**

TeamOpponentOddsGame TotalTeam TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Philadelphia Dallas -6 55.5 30.75 +++ +++  
New Orleans Tampa Bay -11 47 29 ++ +++ +++
Indianapolis NY Jets -6.5 47 26.75 ++ ++  
NY Giants Atlanta -2 51 26.5 ++ ++  
Green Bay Seattle -4 48.5 26.25 ++ ++  
Dallas Philadelphia 6 55.5 24.75 ++ +  
Pittsburgh San Francisco -5.5 44 24.75 + ++ +
Atlanta NY Giants 2 51 24.5 + +  
Cincinnati San Diego -3.5 45.5 24.5 + +  
Miami Jacksonville -6 41.5 23.75   + ++
Arizona Chicago -2 45 23.5      
Minnesota Detroit -3 44 23.5      
Kansas City Denver -3.5 42 22.75     +
New England Buffalo 0 45 22.5      
Buffalo New England 0 45 22.5      
St. Louis Washington -3.5 41 22.25     +
Seattle Green Bay 4 48.5 22.25      
Carolina Houston -3.5 40.5 22     ++
Chicago Arizona 2 45 21.5      
Tennessee Cleveland -1 41.5 21.25      
San Diego Cincinnati 3.5 45.5 21      
Detroit Minnesota 3 44 20.5      
NY Jets Indianapolis 6.5 47 20.25      
Cleveland Tennessee 1 41.5 20.25      
Denver Kansas City 3.5 42 19.25      
San Francisco Pittsburgh 5.5 44 19.25      
Washington St. Louis 3.5 41 18.75      
Houston Carolina 3.5 40.5 18.5      
Tampa Bay New Orleans 11 47 18      
Jacksonville Miami 6 41.5 17.75      
Baltimore Oakland  -6.5 42.5  24.5  ++    +++ 
Oakland Baltimore  6.5 42.5   18      

SUMMARY

3-STARS

  • Quarterback:  Sam Bradford (Eagles)
  • Running Back:  DeMarco Murray (Eagles), Ingram/Robinson (Saints)
  • Receivers:  Matthews/Agholor/Ertz (Eagles)

2-STARS

  • Quarterback:  Drew Brees (Saints), Andrew Luck (Colts), Eli Manning (Giants), Aaron Rodgers (Packers), Tony Romo (Cowboys)
  • Running Back:  Frank Gore (Colts), Jennings/Vereen (Giants), Eddie Lacy (Packers), DeAngelo Williams (Steelers)
  • Receivers:  Colston/Cooks/Coleman (Saints), Hilton/Moncrief/Johnson (Colts), Beckham/Randle/Donnell (Giants), Cobb/Adams/Jones (Packers), T.Williams/Witten/Beasley (Cowboys) 

1-STAR

  • Quarterback: Ben Roethlisberger (Cardinals), Matt Ryan (Falcons), Andy Dalton (Bengals)
  • Running Back:  Randle/McFadden/Dunbar (Cowboys), Coleman/Freeman (Falcons), Hill/Bernard (Bengals), Miller (Dolphins) 
  • Receivers: A.Brown/Wheaton/Miller (Steelers), J.Jones/White (Falcons), Green/Eifert (Bengals)