Vegas Value Chart: Week 17

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
New England Miami -10.5 47 28.75 +++ +++ ++
Pittsburgh Cleveland -9.5 47.5 28.5 +++ +++ +
Carolina Tampa Bay -10.5 46.5 28.5 +++ +++ ++
Atlanta New Orleans -4 53 28.5 ++ +++  
NY Giants Philadelphia -3.5 51.5 27.5 ++ ++  
Arizona Seattle -6.5 47 26.75 ++ ++  
Houston Jacksonville -6 46 26 ++ ++  
St. Louis San Francisco -3.5 37.5 20.5      ++
Cincinnati Baltimore -9 41.5 25.25 ++ + +++
Kansas City Oakland -7 43.5 25.25 ++ + ++
Denver San Diego -9.5 41 25.25 ++ + +++
Indianapolis Tennessee -6 44 25 + + +
New Orleans Atlanta 4 53 24.5      
Green Bay Minnesota -3.5 45.5 24.5      
Philadelphia NY Giants 3.5 51.5 24      
Chicago Detroit -1 46 23.5      
NY Jets Buffalo -3 43 23      
Detroit Chicago 1 46 22.5      
San Francisco St. Louis 3.5 37.5 17      
Dallas Washington -3.5 40 21.75     ++
Minnesota Green Bay 3.5 45.5 21      
Seattle Arizona 6.5 47 20.25      
Jacksonville Houston 6 46 20      
Buffalo NY Jets 3 43 20      
Tennessee Indianapolis 6 44 19      
Cleveland Pittsburgh 9.5 47.5 19   +  
Oakland Kansas City 7 43.5 18.25   +  
Washington Dallas 3.5 40 18.25      
Miami New England 10.5 47 18.25   +  
Tampa Bay Carolina 10.5 46.5 18   +  
Baltimore Cincinnati 9 41.5 16.25   +  
San Diego Denver 9.5 41 15.75   +   

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR